{"id":65269,"date":"2002-09-30T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2002-09-30T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/2002\/09\/30\/question-de-confiance\/"},"modified":"2002-09-30T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2002-09-30T00:00:00","slug":"question-de-confiance","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/2002\/09\/30\/question-de-confiance\/","title":{"rendered":"Question de confiance<\/em><\/strong>"},"content":{"rendered":"

Question de confiance<\/h2>\n<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

\t30 septembre 2002 Les Am\u00e9ricains soutiennent-ils la guerre ? C’est une question extraordinairement controvers\u00e9e. Les r\u00e9ponses, m\u00eame au travers des sondages, restent \u00e9tonnamment ambigu\u00ebs. Un des plus r\u00e9cents sondages, r\u00e9alis\u00e9 les 12-16 septembre<\/a> sur 1,150 adultes, par le Pew Research Center for the People & the Press, avec une marge d’erreur de 3,5%, donne les r\u00e9sultats suivants, surtout marqu\u00e9es par un extraordinaire (pour les Am\u00e9ricains) appel aux alli\u00e9s. :<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

\t\u00ab Would you favor or oppose taking military action in Iraq to end Saddam Hussein’s rule?<\/em> \u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t• Overall 64 percent favor, but that drops to 33 percent if the United States must act without allies.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t• Republicans 77 percent favor, dropping to 43 percent if no allies.<\/em> <\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t• Democrats 42 percent favor; 13 percent favor if no allies.<\/em> <\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t• Independents 65 percent favor; 38 percent favor if no allies.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00ab Would you favor or oppose taking military action in Iraq to end Saddam Hussein’s rule, even if it meant that U.S. forces might suffer thousands of casualties?<\/em> \u00bb <\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t• Overall 48 percent favor, but that drops to 25 percent if no allies.<\/em> <\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t• Republicans 66 percent favor; 20 percent favor if no allies.<\/em> <\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t• Democrats 35 percent favor; 13 percent favor if no allies.<\/em> <\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t• Independents 47 percent favor; 24 percent favor if no allies<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

\tUn autre document int\u00e9ressant a \u00e9t\u00e9 publi\u00e9 par le site democracynow.org<\/em> et nous rapporte les messages que re\u00e7oivent les parlementaires de leurs \u00e9lecteurs. Ces messages sont oppos\u00e9s \u00e0 la guerre, souvent dans une \u00e9crasante majorit\u00e9. <\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\tVoici le texte qu’a diffus\u00e9 democracynow.org<\/em> :<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

\t\u00ab Republican and Democratic Senate offices report overwhelming opposition from their constituents to war with Iraq. This comes as Congress prepares to pass a war resolution granting President Bush sweeping powers to invade Iraq.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00bb The national news radio show Democracy Now! conducted an informal survey on Thursday of 70 Republican and Democratic Senate offices.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00bb Of the 26 offices which responded to our inquires, 22 reported an overwhelming majority in some cases up to 99 percent — of constituents opposed war in Iraq; three said the response was split and just one office reported a majority called backing the war. Among the findings:<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00bb Democrats<\/em> <\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t• Wisconsin Sen. Herb Kohl: Aides say they are receiving 1,000-2,000 calls per week with the overwhelming number opposed to an attack on Iraq.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t• Washington Sen. Patty Murray: Over 5,000 letters and phone calls were received last week on Iraq, aides say. Only about 100 came from constituents who supported an attack.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t• California Sen. Dianne Feinstein: Staff in her San Francisco office reported about 200 calls a day with 99 percent of the callers opposing the war.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t• New Mexico Sen. Jeff Bingaman: The D.C. office has been receiving at least 1,300 calls a day with about 70 percent opposed to war.<\/em> <\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00bb Republicans<\/em> <\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t• North Carolina Sen.Jesse Helms: Staff declined to give figures but said the majority is against when it comes to calls on Iraq.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t• Nebraska Sen. Charles Hegal: According to aides, constituents favor diplomacy over war at a rate of 5 to 1.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t• Virginia Sen. John Warner: About 150 constituents a day are calling into the D.C. offices. A very small minority supported military action, said one aide.<\/em> \u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

\tCes divers constats sont particuli\u00e8rement significatifs. Ils indiquent des tendances profondes. Ils m\u00e9ritent des commentaires. Nous en ferons deux.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t• Le premier est tr\u00e8s simple et nous para\u00eet \u00e9vident. Il concerne le constat que les Am\u00e9ricains, en g\u00e9n\u00e9ral, ont du mal \u00e0 comprendre cette guerre et, surtout sa justification ; que leur sentiment est plut\u00f4t le d\u00e9sarroi, l’incertitude, le doute. On ne peut imaginer plus grave pour les Am\u00e9ricains. <\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t• Le second est beaucoup plus complexe et concerne les extraordinaires r\u00e9sultats du premier sondage, qui est particuli\u00e8rement impressionnant \u00e0 cause de ce qu’il montre du besoin des Am\u00e9ricains d’avoir le soutien de leurs alli\u00e9s. Les id\u00e9ologues parleront, avec enthousiasme s’ils sont europ\u00e9ens, de la force du sentiment internationaliste mais c’est tr\u00e8s accessoire \u00e0 notre sens, et d’ailleurs assez douteux. Ce que refl\u00e8te plut\u00f4t cette pr\u00e9occupation des personnes interrog\u00e9es, c’est une extraordinaire absence de confiance des Am\u00e9ricains dans leur direction, et, par cons\u00e9quent dans la politique de cette direction. L’appel aux alli\u00e9s, c’est une demande de confirmation de la justesse de cette politique.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\tCe constat est d’une importance tout simplement essentielle. Il rejoint une autre de nos analyses du 28 septembre<\/a>, sur la proposition de mobilisation de l’\u00e9conomie US par des d\u00e9penses d’armement tr\u00e8s fortement augment\u00e9es. Comme compl\u00e9ment de l’analyse que nous donnions le 28 octobre, nous dirions que cette proposition de mobilisation de l’\u00e9conomie implique effectivement que l’\u00e9tat de l’\u00e9conomie est jug\u00e9 tr\u00e8s mauvais aux USA ; nous dirions, dans la logique de notre analyse, que cette perception tr\u00e8s pessimiste, d’ailleurs confirm\u00e9e par les r\u00e9sultats de Wall Street, se r\u00e9f\u00e8re essentiellement, l\u00e0 aussi, \u00e0 l’effondrement de la confiance des Am\u00e9ricains depuis le 11 septembre. Cet effondrement de la confiance pour l’\u00e9conomie rencontre et confirme l’absence de confiance dans la politique de la direction US et pour la guerre qu’on rel\u00e8ve dans le sondage ci-dessus.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\tIl s’agit d’une crise de confiance dans le destin des USA. Notre appr\u00e9ciation g\u00e9n\u00e9rale est tr\u00e8s nette : les USA traversent aujourd’hui la plus grave crise de confiance de leur histoire, \u00e9quivalente seulement \u00e0 la crise de confiance de la grande D\u00e9pression (1929-33) qui faillit conduire \u00e0 la dislocation du pays, qui aurait conduit \u00e0 la dislocation du pays si Roosevelt n’\u00e9tait pas devenu pr\u00e9sident. On en d\u00e9duira que les USA attendent, inconsciemment, leur Roosevelt version-XXIe si\u00e8cle. Il n’y a pas lieu d’\u00eatre optimiste \u00e0 cet \u00e9gard.<\/p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Question de confiance 30 septembre 2002 Les Am\u00e9ricains soutiennent-ils la guerre ? C’est une question extraordinairement controvers\u00e9e. Les r\u00e9ponses, m\u00eame au travers des sondages, restent \u00e9tonnamment ambigu\u00ebs. Un des plus r\u00e9cents sondages, r\u00e9alis\u00e9 les 12-16 septembre sur 1,150 adultes, par le Pew Research Center for the People & the Press, avec une marge d’erreur de… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"neve_meta_sidebar":"","neve_meta_container":"","neve_meta_enable_content_width":"","neve_meta_content_width":0,"neve_meta_title_alignment":"","neve_meta_author_avatar":"","neve_post_elements_order":"","neve_meta_disable_header":"","neve_meta_disable_footer":"","neve_meta_disable_title":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[10],"tags":[3621,3083,2891,2645,857,1492,2804],"class_list":["post-65269","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-faits-et-commentaires","tag-confiance","tag-depression","tag-grande","tag-guerre","tag-irak","tag-sondages","tag-usa"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/65269","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=65269"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/65269\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=65269"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=65269"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=65269"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}