{"id":65300,"date":"2002-10-21T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2002-10-21T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/2002\/10\/21\/un-air-de-desillusion\/"},"modified":"2002-10-21T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2002-10-21T00:00:00","slug":"un-air-de-desillusion","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/2002\/10\/21\/un-air-de-desillusion\/","title":{"rendered":"Un air de d\u00e9sillusion"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><h2 class=\"common-article\">Un air de d\u00e9sillusion<\/h2>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\t21 octobre 2002  On a d\u00e9j\u00e0 envisag\u00e9 \u00e0 plus d&rsquo;une reprise, depuis le 11 septembre 2001, que les USA soient sur le point d&rsquo;envisager de changer de politique, ou l&rsquo;opinion publique sur le point de basculer. Cette fois pourrait n&rsquo;\u00eatre qu&rsquo;une fois de plus. D&rsquo;autre part, les circonstances, l&rsquo;\u00e9volution de l&rsquo;administration et l&rsquo;\u00e9volution de divers groupes allant dans le m\u00eame sens, tout cela concorde suffisamment pour qu&rsquo;on s&rsquo;attache cette fois \u00e0 consid\u00e9rer avec le plus grand s\u00e9rieux l&rsquo;hypoth\u00e8se d&rsquo;un changement de cap. A tout le moins, on doit observer que le d\u00e9bat aux USA sur la guerre en Irak, loin d&rsquo;\u00eatre clos comme on le croyait en g\u00e9n\u00e9ral apr\u00e8s le vote des pouvoirs de guerre par le S\u00e9nat, est plus intense que jamais m\u00eame si de fa\u00e7on plus discr\u00e8te qu&rsquo;en d&rsquo;autres occasions.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\tCe sont notamment des d\u00e9clarations de <a href=\"http:\/\/story.news.yahoo.com\/news?tmpl=story2&#038;ncid=716&#038;e=2&#038;u=\/ap\/20021021\/ap_on_go_ca_st_pe\/us_iraq\" class=\"gen\">Colin Powell ce week-end<\/a> qui alimentant les sp\u00e9culations. Powell a clairement d\u00e9clar\u00e9 que le d\u00e9sarmement de l&rsquo;Irak suffirait aux \u00c9tats-Unis, \u00e9cartant <MI>de facto>D> l&rsquo;exigence de changement de r\u00e9gime qui impliquerait quasi-automatiquement un conflit.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\t\u00ab <em>Secretary of State Colin Powell, who has spoken of \u00a0\u00bbregime change\u00a0\u00bb in Iraq for at least 18 months, said Sunday the United States might not seek to remove Saddam Hussein if he abandoned his weapons of mass destruction. It was the latest in a series of recent comments by Powell that seemed to back away from the goal of deposing the Iraqi president, which remains Bush administration policy.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\t\u00bb <em>\u00a0\u00bbWe think the Iraqi people would be a lot better off with a different leader, a different regime,\u00a0\u00bb Powell said. \u00a0\u00bbBut the principal offense here is weapons of mass destruction, and that&rsquo;s what this (U.N.) resolution is working on. The major issue before us is disarmament.\u00a0\u00bb<\/em> \u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\tD&rsquo;autres indications montrent que cette attitude, dans tous les cas la mod\u00e9ration qu&rsquo;elle implique, semble au moins en partie partag\u00e9e par Condoleeza Rice et par GW lui-m\u00eame, Le New York <em>Times<\/em>, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2002\/10\/21\/international\/middleeast\/21DIPL.html?ex=1036167501&#038;ei=1&#038;en=33b61b38bf539c75\" class=\"gen\">dans un article dat\u00e9 d&rsquo;hier,<\/a> estime qu&rsquo;il s&rsquo;agit l\u00e0 d&rsquo;une cons\u00e9quence directe de la situation aux Nations-Unies. Les USA ne pourraient plus, d\u00e9sormais, \u00e9viter de suivre le processus ONU, avec les inspections, la recherche et la destruction de syst\u00e8mes, etc.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\t\u00ab <em> The Bush administration, anticipating approval of a United Nations Security Council resolution that falls short of what it was seeking, is now pressing harder than ever for inspections of Iraq&rsquo;s weapons program to be carried out quickly and forcefully. Administration officials say the goal is to prevent months of delay that could postpone retaliation for Iraq&rsquo;s noncompliance.<\/em> \u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\tD&rsquo;autre part, il existe des signes selon lesquels l&rsquo;opposition \u00e0 la possibilit\u00e9 d&rsquo;une guerre grandit et touche des milieux tr\u00e8s divers aux USA.<D> Le plus sensationnel dans ces constats est \u00e9videmment l&rsquo;annonce que le chef de l&rsquo;\u00c9glise m\u00e9thodiste dont d\u00e9pend GW Bush est contre la guerre (point tr\u00e8s important comme on sait, puisque le pr\u00e9sident am\u00e9ricain est tr\u00e8s religieux). <a href=\"http:\/\/www.observer.co.uk\/international\/story\/0,6903,815411,00.html\" class=\"gen\">Un article de l&rsquo;Observer<\/a> rapporte ces diverses indications.  <\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\t\u00ab <em>As the United States edges towards a possible war against Iraq, a sudden torrent of concern has begun to flow &#8211; a revolt by the intelligentsia spreading beyond the expected opposition political circles and penetrating the heart of the media and foreign policy establishment. From New York to the plains of Kansas, local and provincial papers, glossy magazines, serious periodicals and heavyweight national dailies have carried a range of articles and essays that challenge not only the proposed war, but the notion and conduct of unilateral American power in the world.<\/em> <\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\t\u00bb <em>But the most dramatic intervention comes from President George Bush&rsquo;s own United Methodist church which launched a scathing attack on his plans for war. Jim Winkler, responsible for the application of the church&rsquo;s teachings to social policy, said war against Iraq was without any justification according to the teachings of Christ.<\/em> \u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\tPour la premi\u00e8re fois depuis plusieurs mois, il semble que l&rsquo;abandon de la guerre contre l&rsquo;Irak ne soit plus impossible, et qu&rsquo;au mieux (?) des d\u00e9lais importants sont probables. Cette situation est essentiellement due \u00e0 l&rsquo;\u00e9norme erreur strat\u00e9gique am\u00e9ricaine de l&rsquo;acceptation d&rsquo;entrer dans le processus ONU (discours de GW le 12 septembre), et au refus acharn\u00e9 des Fran\u00e7ais d&rsquo;accepter la ligne am\u00e9ricaine.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\tLa motion de l&rsquo;ONU qui devrait finalement \u00eatre adopt\u00e9e, devrait refl\u00e9ter ces nouvelles positions, avec la possibilit\u00e9 que l&rsquo;inspection en Irak devienne un v\u00e9ritable enjeu de la crise.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\tSi cette \u00e9volution se confirme, plusieurs questions se posent :<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\t&bull; Quel va en \u00eatre l&rsquo;impact, s&rsquo;il y a effectivement un impact, sur le r\u00e9sultats des \u00e9lections am\u00e9ricaine ?<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\t&bull; Comment va r\u00e9agir l&rsquo;aile dure qui soutient GW, notamment les <em>neo-cons<\/em>, \u00e0 l&rsquo;int\u00e9rieur et en-dehors du gouvernement ? (La semaine derni\u00e8re, John Bolton, le repr\u00e9sentant des extr\u00e9mistes au sein du d\u00e9partement d&rsquo;\u00c9tats, d\u00e9clarait que \u00ab <MI>non seulement Saddam mais les Irakiens qui ont \u00e9t\u00e9 une partie du r\u00e9gime de Saddam devront s&rsquo;en aller <MI>\u00bb)<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\t&bull; Quel va \u00eatre le destin de l&rsquo;administration GW si elle n&rsquo;a plus la guerre pour mobiliser le monde politique et le public, alors que l&rsquo;\u00e9conomie et les scandales financiers constituent d&rsquo;\u00e9normes hypoth\u00e8ques et menacent son \u00e9quilibre ?<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Un air de d\u00e9sillusion 21 octobre 2002 On a d\u00e9j\u00e0 envisag\u00e9 \u00e0 plus d&rsquo;une reprise, depuis le 11 septembre 2001, que les USA soient sur le point d&rsquo;envisager de changer de politique, ou l&rsquo;opinion publique sur le point de basculer. Cette fois pourrait n&rsquo;\u00eatre qu&rsquo;une fois de plus. D&rsquo;autre part, les circonstances, l&rsquo;\u00e9volution de l&rsquo;administration&hellip;&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"neve_meta_sidebar":"","neve_meta_container":"","neve_meta_enable_content_width":"","neve_meta_content_width":0,"neve_meta_title_alignment":"","neve_meta_author_avatar":"","neve_post_elements_order":"","neve_meta_disable_header":"","neve_meta_disable_footer":"","neve_meta_disable_title":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[10],"tags":[3198,857,1391,981],"class_list":["post-65300","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-faits-et-commentaires","tag-gw","tag-irak","tag-powell","tag-saddam"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/65300","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=65300"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/65300\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=65300"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=65300"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=65300"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}