{"id":65955,"date":"2004-05-01T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2004-05-01T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/2004\/05\/01\/mission-accomplished-laquelle-au-juste-la-grande-defaite-strategique\/"},"modified":"2004-05-01T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2004-05-01T00:00:00","slug":"mission-accomplished-laquelle-au-juste-la-grande-defaite-strategique","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/2004\/05\/01\/mission-accomplished-laquelle-au-juste-la-grande-defaite-strategique\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00abMission Accomplished\u00bb, \u2014 laquelle, au juste? La grande d\u00e9faite strat\u00e9gique?<\/em><\/strong>"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u00abMission Accomplished\u00bb, laquelle, au juste? La grande d\u00e9faite strat\u00e9gique?<\/h2>\n<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

\t1er mai 2004 A l’invitation de l’excellent Jim Lobe<\/a>, voyons les choses d’une fa\u00e7on strat\u00e9gique. La bataille de Falloujah \u00e9volue d\u00e9sormais vers le retrait des Marines et la prise en main de la s\u00e9curit\u00e9 de la ville par une force qui pourrait \u00eatre aussi bien au service des insurg\u00e9s, plut\u00f4t que les contenir comme c’est l’intention initiale. (Voir ce commentaire de News.com<\/a> : \u00ab US marines left the besieged Sunni Muslim city in the hands of a general from toppled leader Saddam Hussein’s Republican Guard, Jassem Mohammed Saleh, although senior Pentagon officials in Washington acknowledged they were not sure Saleh could be trusted.<\/em> \u00bb) <\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\tAu-del\u00e0, Lobe observe que la m\u00e9canique des \u00e9v\u00e9nements ne s’arr\u00eatera sans doute pas l\u00e0. Autrement dit : la marche vers la d\u00e9faite ? C’est, aujourd’hui, un an apr\u00e8s l’\u00e9bouriffant et hollywoodien \u00ab Mission accomplished<\/em> \u00bb de GW sur le USS Abraham-Lincoln<\/em>, de cette possibilit\u00e9 dont on parle \u00e0 Washington : la question du retrait d’Irak, et vite.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00c9coutons Lobe :<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

\t\u00ab But while the administration no longer appears to be heeding the neo-cons on Iraq policy, the big question is whether these policy reversals will save the U.S. occupation and Washington’s minimum goals of putting in place (with Brahimi’s help) a broadly representative government that can both ensure stability and go along with the indefinite presence of several discreetly situated U.S. military bases.<\/em> <\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00bb On this, opinions in Washington are deeply divided, but a growing number of analysts believe that policy changes might be too little, too late.<\/em> <\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00bb The foreign policy establishment was shocked by an interview in the Wall Street Journal by retired Gen. William E. Odom who, among other posts, served as director of the National Security Agency (NSA) under former President Ronald Reagan (198189). We have failed, he said last week, adding that even if an Iraqi election takes place next January as scheduled, anybody that’s pro-American cannot gain legitimacy.<\/em> <\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00bb Calling for a swift withdrawal, Odom, who is based at the conservative Hudson Institute and has never been inclined to traditional isolationism, warned that the continued presence of U.S. troops let alone a major military crackdown against Iraqi insurgents was simply radicalising both Iraqis and other Arabs, risking the destabilisation of the entire region.<\/em> <\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00bb The issue is how high a price we’re going to pay … less, by getting out sooner, or more, by getting out later?<\/em> \u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

\tIl est difficile d’avancer dans le commentaire. Les \u00e9v\u00e9nements, syst\u00e9matiquement ignor\u00e9s par la grande presse et les r\u00e9seaux TV qui n’ont plus aucun rapport avec la r\u00e9alit\u00e9 du monde, vont au rythme d’une histoire d\u00e9cha\u00een\u00e9e.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\tSi l’on parle d’un possible retrait d’Irak et d’une fa\u00e7on aussi urgente et d\u00e9sesp\u00e9r\u00e9e, alors on ne peut effectivement s’arr\u00eater l\u00e0, \u00e0 cette seule perspective catastrophique du retrait. Il s’agirait d’un \u00e9v\u00e9nement qui va au-del\u00e0 d’une d\u00e9faite strat\u00e9gique. La question pos\u00e9e est de savoir si le r\u00e9gime \u00e9tats-unien r\u00e9sisterait \u00e0 un tel choc, qui constituerait l’effondrement des seules valeurs sur lesquelles il tient encore : la force brutale des arm\u00e9es, les b\u00e9n\u00e9fices de la globalisation, le cat\u00e9chisme virtualiste de la d\u00e9mocratie, la dynamique virtualiste de la publicit\u00e9 et des relations publiques (le drapeau, le conformisme patriotard, la terreur conformiste, etc). Au-del\u00e0, rien, aucune transcendance dans le r\u00e9gime am\u00e9ricain actuel, aucune l\u00e9gitimit\u00e9.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\tSa survie et sa dur\u00e9e, c’est l’\u00e9nigme de notre temps historique. Elle vaut celle du sphinx. <\/p>\n<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

N’oubliez pas les impond\u00e9rables<\/h3>\n<\/p>\n

\tA cela, on ajoute les impond\u00e9rables, les \u00e9v\u00e9nements qui \u00e9chappent \u00e0 tout contr\u00f4le, les \u00e9v\u00e9nements impr\u00e9vus qui pr\u00e9cipitent les choses, les \u00e9v\u00e9nements h\u00e9rit\u00e9s de notre syst\u00e8me pervers. Par exemple, mais exemple qui sollicite diablement notre attention et soul\u00e8ve des orages anti-am\u00e9ricains dans le monde : les photos des tortures US. Il appara\u00eet que l’aspect \u00e9motionnel de ces r\u00e9v\u00e9lations sur les tortures et les humiliations a d\u00e9j\u00e0 un impact politique. Dans son \u00e9dition d’aujourd’hui, The Independent<\/a> nous donne quelques indications int\u00e9ressantes.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

\t\u00ab The US and British Governments said the American pictures represented the isolated actions of a handful of renegade GIs. But, hours later, the allegations of a more widespread problem were given dramatic support, with the emergence of a second, even more shocking set of photographs. This time, the pictures were of British soldiers appearing to beat up and urinate on an Iraqi detainee.<\/em> <\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00bb The two sets of images are likely to be disastrous for the Alliance’s attempts to pacify Iraq, endangering its troops in the country and shattering what remains of its standing in the Arab world.<\/em> <\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00bb Already, the firestorm over the pictures may have had an impact on the broader military strategy in Iraq. Quite possibly the first images influenced the decision to pull back the US Marines from Fallujah just a few days after those same commanders were insisting that insurgents would be crushed, and those responsible for the murder there of four US security contractors on 31 March would be brought to justice.<\/em> <\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00bb Instead, the US has been obliged to enlist a general from Saddam’s disbanded Republican Guard to head an all-Iraqi force in the city, and the insurgents can claim a moral victory.<\/em> <\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00bb Even beforehand, General John Abizaid, who is in overall charge of US military operations in Iraq, was privately warning the White House that the subjugation of Fallujah might lead to more, not less, resistance across Iraq.<\/em> <\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00bb That calculation would surely have been doubly true had a full-scale military assault followed the revelation of the demeaning treatment of Iraqi prisoners. Now, even assuming a peaceful solution in Fallujah, the prison abuse footage will be used by opponents of the US to turn public opinion decisively against the occupation.<\/em> \u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u00abMission Accomplished\u00bb, laquelle, au juste? La grande d\u00e9faite strat\u00e9gique? 1er mai 2004 A l’invitation de l’excellent Jim Lobe, voyons les choses d’une fa\u00e7on strat\u00e9gique. La bataille de Falloujah \u00e9volue d\u00e9sormais vers le retrait des Marines et la prise en main de la s\u00e9curit\u00e9 de la ville par une force qui pourrait \u00eatre aussi bien au… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"neve_meta_sidebar":"","neve_meta_container":"","neve_meta_enable_content_width":"","neve_meta_content_width":0,"neve_meta_title_alignment":"","neve_meta_author_avatar":"","neve_post_elements_order":"","neve_meta_disable_header":"","neve_meta_disable_footer":"","neve_meta_disable_title":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[10],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-65955","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-faits-et-commentaires"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/65955","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=65955"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/65955\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=65955"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=65955"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=65955"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}