{"id":66082,"date":"2004-09-18T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2004-09-18T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/2004\/09\/18\/avec-moi-le-deluge-proclame-gw-et-on-le-suit\/"},"modified":"2004-09-18T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2004-09-18T00:00:00","slug":"avec-moi-le-deluge-proclame-gw-et-on-le-suit","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/2004\/09\/18\/avec-moi-le-deluge-proclame-gw-et-on-le-suit\/","title":{"rendered":"\u201cAvec moi le d\u00e9luge\u201d proclame GW, et on le suit\u2026<\/em><\/strong>"},"content":{"rendered":"

Avec moi le d\u00e9luge proclame GW, et on le suit<\/h2>\n<\/p>\n

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\t18 septembre 2004 Le rapport final des chercheurs d’ADM am\u00e9ricains, qui va prochainement \u00eatre rendu public, contiendra la piteuse r\u00e9v\u00e9lation qu’il n’y avait aucune arme de destruction massive en Irak, si l’on excepte celles qui y ont \u00e9t\u00e9 amen\u00e9es par les Am\u00e9ricains depuis l’invasion. La nouvelle ne vaudrait pas quatre lignes tant cette r\u00e9alit\u00e9 est connue depuis longtemps, si elle ne venait un peu plus bouleverser la perception que nous avons que l’Irak est un d\u00e9sastre absolu, pour les USA et pour les conceptions occidentales en g\u00e9n\u00e9ral. En Irak, bien entendu, chaque jour nous emm\u00e8ne un peu plus dans ce que The Independent d\u00e9crit comme \u00abInto the Abyss\u00bb<\/a>.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\tLa nouvelle sur l’absence des ADM est notamment donn\u00e9e par le Guardian de ce jour<\/a>.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

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\t\u00ab The comprehensive 15-month search for weapons of mass destruction in Iraq has concluded that the only chemical or biological agents that Saddam Hussein’s regime was working on before last year’s invasion were small quantities of poisons, most likely for use in assassinations.<\/em> <\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00bb A draft of the Iraq Survey Group’s final report circulating in Washington found no sign of the alleged illegal stockpiles that the US and Britain presented as the justification for going to war, nor did it find any evidence of efforts to reconstitute Iraq’s nuclear weapons programme. It also appears to play down an interim report which suggested there was evidence that Iraq was developing test amounts of ricin for use in weapons. Instead, the ISG report says in its conclusion that there was evidence to suggest the Iraqi regime planned to restart its illegal weapons programmes if UN sanctions were lifted.<\/em> <\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00bb Charles Duelfer, the head of the ISG, has said he intends to deliver his final report by the end of the month. It is likely to become a heated issue in the election campaign.<\/em> \u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

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\tIl para\u00eet que la crise irakienne revient, comme on dit, au centre de la campagne \u00e9lectorale US, comme s’il y avait un centre, comme s’il y avait une campagne \u00e9lectorale aux USA.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\tLa r\u00e9alit\u00e9 est que le commentaire et l’analyse de cette crise, aux USA plus qu’ailleurs, sont aujourd’hui au bord de l’\u00e9coeurement et de la naus\u00e9e d’une part, au bord de l’hyst\u00e9rie non-intellectuelle de l’autre. Les hommes politiques eux-m\u00eames ne savent comment en parler pour \u00e9viter jusqu’au bout la moindre r\u00e9f\u00e9rence \u00e0 la r\u00e9alit\u00e9.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t• Aujourd’hui, la campagne GW Bush s’active pour exp\u00e9dier toute trace d’un rapport d’estimations du renseignement US (National Intelligence Estimates), qui, en juillet, pr\u00e9voyait une aggravation de la situation pouvant aller jusqu’\u00e0 la guerre civile. \u00ab U.S. study has a dark forecast for Iraq<\/em> \u00bb titrait l’International Herald Tribune du 17 septembre<\/a>. R\u00e9agissant plus vite que l’\u00e9clair, puisque pr\u00e9c\u00e9dant la publication de la nouvelle, dans tous les cas telle que l’annonce le Financial Times de la veille<\/a>, le candidat GW Bush se contentait de rejeter le rapport, point final : \u00ab Bush rejects bleak Iraq intelligence assessment<\/em> \u00bb. Tout cela est accompagn\u00e9 des habituelles pitreries, y compris celles de Rumsfeld qui doit veiller au moral des troupes<\/a>. Rumsfeld, dont la gloire aurait pu se passer de la performance des douze derniers mois, nous assure que la guerre contre la terreur, tout compte fait (des comptes \u00e0 la Rumsfeld), globalement et tout bien consid\u00e9r\u00e9<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

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\tThe Taliban regime is gone. Those still not killed or captured are on the run. Despite a campaign of violence and intimidation, over 10 million Afghans have registered to vote, including 4 million women . . . And they’ve registered to vote in what will be the first free election in that country’s history. Saddam Hussein’s regime is finished. His sons are dead. He’s in a prison cell, where he awaits the justice of the Iraqi people, which he will soon face. Libya has said now that it is renouncing its illicit weapons programs, and it says it will cooperate with the efforts to stop the spread of weapons of mass destruction and that it’s seeking to reenter the community of civilized nations. Time will tell, but so far, so good…<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

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\t• A c\u00f4t\u00e9 de ces cornichonneries, il existe une tendance g\u00e9n\u00e9rale aux USA, \u00e0 Washington, dans les milieux des experts pas trop intoxiqu\u00e9s par la politique, pour d\u00e9noncer jusqu’\u00e0 la naus\u00e9e la course de la crise irakienne. L’analyse g\u00e9n\u00e9rale n’est plus l’analogie avec le Viet-n\u00e2m, mais qu’il s’agit de quelque chose de bien pire, comme l’explique Sidney Blumenthal<\/a>, qui a parl\u00e9 avec nombre d’experts militaires US : \u00ab Far graver than Vietnam, Most senior US military officers now believe the war on Iraq has turned into a disaster on an unprecedented scale.<\/em> \u00bb La tendance est largement confirm\u00e9e par une longue analyse de Jim Lobe, qui reprend les th\u00e8mes centraux des r\u00e9flexions des experts. (Lire aussi un excellent texte de WSWS.org<\/a> sur le sujet.) Quand nous parlons de naus\u00e9e, c’est pour marquer une situation qui n’est pas \u00e9loign\u00e9e de la r\u00e9volte chez ces experts ind\u00e9pendants am\u00e9ricains, constatant l’\u00e9loignement ahurissant du pouvoir ex\u00e9cutif et du monde politique des r\u00e9alit\u00e9s irakiennes. Le pouvoir ex\u00e9cutif s’en fout, investi d’une seule id\u00e9e qui est la r\u00e9\u00e9lection (GW, totalement indiff\u00e9rent \u00e0 la r\u00e9alit\u00e9 de la situation, inventant ainsi une formule renvers\u00e9e qui caract\u00e9riserait son \u00e9ventuelle r\u00e9\u00e9lection : avec moi le d\u00e9luge). Lisez quelques remarques de Jim Lobe<\/a>, qui donnent le ton de ce stup\u00e9fiant d\u00e9calage entre la r\u00e9alit\u00e9 du monde et la r\u00e9alit\u00e9 de GW (notez les r\u00e9flexions du s\u00e9nateur r\u00e9publicain Chuck Hagel, qui semble implicitement parler des th\u00e8ses de l’administration comme on revient d’une visite \u00e0 un h\u00f4pital d’ali\u00e9n\u00e9s) :<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

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\t\u00ab Against these stories putting aside the other headlines detailing deadly suicide and other attacks that have killed scores of Iraqis in the past week Bush’s insistence in a campaign address to a convention of the National Guard Tuesday that our strategy is succeeding appears awfully hollow, a point made repeatedly not only by Democratic, but by some Republican lawmakers at a hearing of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee Wednesday. It’s beyond pitiful, it’s beyond embarrassing, noted Nebraska Republican Sen. Chuck Hagel, who has long been skeptical of administration claims that the Iraq occupation was going well. It is now in the zone of dangerous.<\/em> <\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00bb Indeed, it is now very difficult to find any analysts outside of the administration or the Bush campaign who share the official optimism. Consider the case of Michael O’Hanlon, a defense specialist at the Brookings Institution and former National Security Council aide who has been among the most confident of independent analysts of the basic soundness of Washington’s strategy in Iraq.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00bb In my judgment the administration is basically correct that the overall effort in Iraq is succeeding, he testified to a Congressional panel just 10 months ago. By the standards of counterinsurgency warfare, most factors, though admittedly not all, appear to be working to our advantage. This week, however, O’Hanlon, who has developed a detailed index periodically published in the New York Times that measures U.S. progress in postwar Iraq, was singing an entirely different song at a forum sponsored by Brookings and the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS). We’re in much worse shape than I thought we’d ever be, he said. I don’t know how you get it back, he conceded, adding that his last remaining hope was that somehow the U.S. could train enough indigenous Iraqi security forces within two to three years to keep the country cohesive and permit an eventual U.S. withdrawal. A Lebanonization of Iraq was also quite possible, he said.<\/em> \u00bb <\/p>\n<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

\tL’embarras de Washington, de ceux qui, \u00e0 Washington, ne sont pas dans la farandole, le trip<\/em> de la campagne, est \u00e9videmment de savoir comment il serait possible de justifier, devant l’Histoire et devant le simple bon sens, la r\u00e9\u00e9lection de GW Bush le 2 novembre 2004. Pourtant, il y a de fortes indications pour que nous y courions. Le spectacle est simplement extraordinaire, tandis que les commentateurs parisiens comparent, sans rire, les valeurs respectives des programmes des deux candidats. La seule question qui se pose est de savoir si les Etats-Unis d’Am\u00e9rique pourront encore r\u00e9sister un gros mois \u00e0 cette extraordinaire bouffonnerie sans s’apercevoir de ce qui se passe. Apr\u00e8s ? Avec moi le d\u00e9luge.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Avec moi le d\u00e9luge proclame GW, et on le suit 18 septembre 2004 Le rapport final des chercheurs d’ADM am\u00e9ricains, qui va prochainement \u00eatre rendu public, contiendra la piteuse r\u00e9v\u00e9lation qu’il n’y avait aucune arme de destruction massive en Irak, si l’on excepte celles qui y ont \u00e9t\u00e9 amen\u00e9es par les Am\u00e9ricains depuis l’invasion. La… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"neve_meta_sidebar":"","neve_meta_container":"","neve_meta_enable_content_width":"","neve_meta_content_width":0,"neve_meta_title_alignment":"","neve_meta_author_avatar":"","neve_post_elements_order":"","neve_meta_disable_header":"","neve_meta_disable_footer":"","neve_meta_disable_title":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[10],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-66082","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-faits-et-commentaires"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/66082","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=66082"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/66082\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=66082"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=66082"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=66082"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}