Le choc de Katrina est effectivement consid\u00e9rable. Le calcul r\u00e9cent de l’\u00e9volution pr\u00e9visible de l’index de confiance du consommateur<\/a> montre les Am\u00e9ricains aussi pessimistes qu’en 1992, avec une chute consid\u00e9rable entre ao\u00fbt et septembre 2005.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00ab U.S. consumer confidence plummeted to a 13-year low in early September, battered by record high gasoline prices and the full force of Hurricane Katrina, a report showed on Friday. Separate data showed the U.S. current account deficit, the broadest measure of U.S. trade with the rest of the world, narrowed in the second quarter but remained at levels seen as unsustainable over the long term.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00bb The University of Michigan’s closely-watched consumer sentiment index fell to 76.9 in September from 89.1 in August, far below Wall Street forecasts and the 81.8 hit after the September 11, 2001, attacks on New York and Washington. The current conditions dropped to the lowest level since December 2003 while the expectations index plummeted to the lowest since February 1992.<\/em> \u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n \tLes sp\u00e9cialistes qui suivent cet index jugent que cette chute ne devrait pas durer, sans quoi il faudrait juger que l’Am\u00e9rique est dans un \u00e9tat \u00e9conomique de r\u00e9cession (\u00ab If these declines were part of the normal economic cycle we would now call for a recession in the United States. But they aren’t; the index is responding to a shock, and we expect it quickly to rebound, said Ian Shepherdson, chief U.S. economist at High Frequency Economics.<\/em> \u00bb) L’explication avanc\u00e9e est alors d’ordre psychologique (\u00ab I think there’s probably also a degree of loss of confidence in the government, said David Sloan, economist at 4CAST Ltd. in New York<\/em> \u00bb).<\/p>\n<\/p>\n \tOn tend \u00e0 retrouver la situation psychologique de 1992 et au-del\u00e0. Lorsque l’index \u00e9tait aussi bas que 76,9, en f\u00e9vrier 1992, la situation \u00e9conomique \u00e9tait effectivement celle d’une r\u00e9cession et le pessimisme am\u00e9ricain \u00e0 mesure. Ensuite, la situation \u00e9conomique s’\u00e9tait notablement relev\u00e9e, jusqu’\u00e0 \u00eatre en expansion en 1994 mais le pessimisme, lui, avait dur\u00e9 jusqu’en 1996<\/a>. On retrouve les signes psychologiques de la crise.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n <\/p>\n \tMis en ligne le 17 septembre 2005 \u00e0 14H40<\/p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Le choc de Katrina est effectivement consid\u00e9rable. Le calcul r\u00e9cent de l’\u00e9volution pr\u00e9visible de l’index de confiance du consommateur montre les Am\u00e9ricains aussi pessimistes qu’en 1992, avec une chute consid\u00e9rable entre ao\u00fbt et septembre 2005. \u00ab U.S. consumer confidence plummeted to a 13-year low in early September, battered by record high gasoline prices and the… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"neve_meta_sidebar":"","neve_meta_container":"","neve_meta_enable_content_width":"","neve_meta_content_width":0,"neve_meta_title_alignment":"","neve_meta_author_avatar":"","neve_post_elements_order":"","neve_meta_disable_header":"","neve_meta_disable_footer":"","neve_meta_disable_title":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-66830","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-bloc-notes"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/66830","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=66830"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/66830\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=66830"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=66830"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=66830"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}