{"id":67368,"date":"2006-03-20T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2006-03-20T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/2006\/03\/20\/les-imbroglios-de-limpeachment-hypothetique\/"},"modified":"2006-03-20T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2006-03-20T00:00:00","slug":"les-imbroglios-de-limpeachment-hypothetique","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/2006\/03\/20\/les-imbroglios-de-limpeachment-hypothetique\/","title":{"rendered":"Les imbroglios de l’\u201cimpeachment\u201d hypoth\u00e9tique<\/em><\/strong>"},"content":{"rendered":"

Les imbroglios de l’impeachment<\/em> hypoth\u00e9tique<\/h2>\n<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

\t20 mars 2006 Bien s\u00fbr, le Times<\/em> de Londres (le Sunday Times<\/em>) n’est pas pr\u00e9cis\u00e9ment \u00e0 classer parmi les adversaires de GW Bush qui, aux Etats-Unis, proclament que la mise en accusation de l’actuel pr\u00e9sident est de plus en plus probable. L’article d’hier<\/a>, sur cette question, n’en est que plus significatif. Il met en \u00e9vidence que la question de la mise en accusation est en train de devenir un probl\u00e8me national aux Etats-Unis. (Nous avons d\u00e9j\u00e0 cit\u00e9 cet article \u00e0 propos des rumeurs sur un retour d’Al Gore<\/a>. Ce retour est consid\u00e9r\u00e9 en fonction de cette question de la mise en accusation de GW.)<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\tQuelques lignes du Subday Times<\/em> : \u00ab The movement to impeach President George W Bush over the war on terror began with a few tatty bumper stickers on the back of battered old Volvos and slogans such as Bush lied, people died on far-left websites. But as Democrat hopes rise of gaining control of Congress this autumn, dreams of impeaching Bush are no longer confined to the political fringe.<\/em> <\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00bb A poll last week found that voters, by 50% to 37%, would prefer the Democrats to win control of Congress. If Bush’s opponents find themselves in a position of power, the temptation to humiliate him is likely to be irresistible.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t(…)<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00bb AfterDowningStreet.org, a web-based group, commissioned a poll last autumn showing that by 50% to 44% Americans would like Congress to consider impeaching Bush if he were found to have lied about the case for war. None of this would have much impact were it not for Bush’s dire polling figures and grave doubts about the president’s competence.<\/em> <\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00bb With the Senate voting last week to increase the national debt to $9 trillion, it is not only Democrats who are wondering about Bush’s ability to govern. Republicans, anxious about losing the November mid-term elections, have been calling for a cabinet reshuffle to replace some of the tired figures in Bush’s administration. The war in Iraq is increasingly regarded as a vote loser for the party. Last week’s Wall Street Journal\/NBC News poll put the president’s approval rating at 37%.<\/em> <\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00bb By 50% to 28% voters said they believed that the war had weakened America’s standing in the world and by 44% to 18% they believed that it had increased the threat from Iran. By 50% to 35% they said they would vote for a congressional candidate who favoured withdrawing troops from Iraq in a year.<\/em> <\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00bb A compilation of state-wide polls has further bad news for Bush. In mid-America’s Republican heartlands the president is almost as unpopular as he is nationally. In Texas, his own back yard, only 41% approve of his performance. People in Texas like George Bush and he was a popular governor, said Wayne Slater, chief political correspondent of the Dallas Morning News. But even his biggest supporters are losing confidence in him. They say they don’t understand what Bush is doing.<\/em> \u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\tAjoutons \u00e0 cette description le sel de la l\u00e9g\u00e8ret\u00e9 et de la futilit\u00e9. Au point o\u00f9 nous sommes d’accumulation de m\u00e9diocrit\u00e9 catastrophique, la situation demande en effet de voir les choses d’un cur l\u00e9ger : \u00ab Many conservatives are wondering why Karen Hughes, Bush’s top aide from his home state in two victorious elections, is wandering around the Middle East as a goodwill diplomat on a futile mission to persuade Muslims that America has got their best interests at heart, when she is needed to bolster the president at home.<\/em> <\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00bb The only person more unpopular than Bush right now is Dick Cheney, the vice-president, who bottomed out at 18% in a recent poll. Bush joked at a Washington dinner last week: When Dick first heard that my approval rating was 38% he said, What’s your secret?’<\/em> \u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\tLa (l’hypoth\u00e9tique ) mise en accusation de GW Bush, si elle se pr\u00e9cise, devient un cas fascinant \u00e0 tous \u00e9gards. C’est d’abord le cas fascinant o\u00f9 l’on voit la dictature de la majorit\u00e9, peut-\u00eatre mieux nomm\u00e9e dans ce cas : tyrannie de la majorit\u00e9, exercer sa pression de plus en plus forte sur les \u00e9lites washingtoniennes plus que r\u00e9ticentes. D’une fa\u00e7on g\u00e9n\u00e9rale, les caciques du parti unique (r\u00e9publicains et d\u00e9mocrates) ne veulent pas entendre parler d’une crise institutionnelle qui serait extr\u00eamement dangereuse dans le contexte actuel aux USA, qui serait beaucoup plus risqu\u00e9e encore que celle du Watergate. Mais GW et sa bande font tout si mal, la guerre d’Irak est si catastrophique, ainsi que les sondages par cons\u00e9quent La pression pour une mise en accusation augmente \u00e0 mesure de l’empilement des sottises et des cons\u00e9quences de ces sottises.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\tC’est un cas fascinant parce que les \u00e9lites n’ont pas tort, de leur point de vue mais aussi sur le cas lui-m\u00eame consid\u00e9r\u00e9 du point de vue de la stabilit\u00e9 du r\u00e9gime. Une mise en accusation est une perspective tr\u00e8s risqu\u00e9e, qui pourrait se retrouver coinc\u00e9e entre deux extr\u00e9mismes de mati\u00e8re diff\u00e9rente. D’une part l’extr\u00e9misme impliqu\u00e9 par la pression de la tyrannie de la majorit\u00e9, d’autre part l’extr\u00e9misme de r\u00e9actions possibles, voire probables, de la base de soutien la plus extr\u00e9miste (notamment les chr\u00e9tiens \u00e9vang\u00e9listes) de l’actuelle administration.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\tOn a un exemple, ou une illustration de cette situation en \u00e9v\u00e9nement r\u00e9el avec le cas de la petite ville de Newfane, de notre cher \u00c9tat du Vermont<\/a>. Newfane, 1.680 habitants (!), a vot\u00e9 r\u00e9cemment (le 7 mars) sur la question de la mise en accusation de GW, au cours d’un de ces scrutins locaux qui constituent la trame de l’extraordinaire complexit\u00e9 de la vie politique US. Les r\u00e9actions de l’ext\u00e9rieur du Vermont ont \u00e9t\u00e9 tr\u00e8s vives, voire mena\u00e7antes. (Souvenir, souvenir, et mauvais pr\u00e9sage ? En mars 1974, une petite ville du Vermont avait vot\u00e9 pour la mise en accusation de Nixon. Le vote avait \u00e9galement provoqu\u00e9 des r\u00e9actions tr\u00e8s vives.)<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\tVoici ce qu’en dit un article du Boston Globe<\/em> du 18 mars, repris par CommonDreams.org<\/a> : \u00ab The protest unfolded in a white meeting house on one of the prettiest town commons in Vermont. The debate at the Town Meeting was by all accounts unfailingly polite. And when the secret ballots were counted, residents of this tiny resort town had voted 121 to 29 to impeach President Bush.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00bb The roomful of rural neighbors expected a reaction. But none of them thought their small act of dissent would provoke national outrage. Angry calls and e-mails flooded Newfane, population 1,680, the next day. One critic sent a mock thank-you note, signed Usama Bin Ladin, that applauded the town for its help in bringing down America. Some regular guests of the picturesque, 175-year-old Four Columns Inn notified its owners that they would never visit again.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\tL’aspect extr\u00eamement r\u00e9duit en nombre de votants du vote de Newfane ne doit pas dissimuler l’ampleur potentielle du mouvement, dans le Vermont et, \u00e9ventuellement, ailleurs. On sent cette possibilit\u00e9 \u00e0 la lecture du processus ayant men\u00e9 au vote, lequel nous signale que d’autres villes du Vermont ont \u00e9galement vot\u00e9 (sans que nous sachions s’il y a eu des r\u00e9actions) : \u00ab Dan DeWalt, the Newfane selectman who proposed the vote on impeachment, said he had not anticipated the scale of the backlash when he decided to bring the debate to Town Meeting. To DeWalt, a ponytailed musician, woodworker, and teacher who displays a running tally of Iraq war deaths outside his home on a muddy hillside near the Rock River, the vote seemed like one more way to push back against a government he sees as dangerous. I’m constantly trying to think of what I can do because I just feel powerless, he said. Town meeting is this democratic thing, and it seemed like a real opportunity instead of me writing a letter, this would be the town speaking.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00bb DeWalt, 49, moved to Vermont in the 1970s and won election to the Board of Selectmen last year. He had no trouble placing the impeachment article on the Town Meeting agenda; of the first 82 people he asked to sign his petition, 78 agreed, he said. Distracted by another time-consuming project starting a free local newspaper DeWalt said he did little to get out the vote or campaign for his cause.<\/em> <\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00bb He did alert three other Vermont towns Marlboro, Putney, and Dummerston which adopted his idea and called for votes on impeachment at their town meetings. Voters in all three towns approved the measures. A fifth town, Brookfield, also voted for impeachment. Heartened by the votes in neighboring towns, and even by the backlash, DeWalt said he is encouraging more Vermont towns to take impeachment votes. In nearby Brattleboro, Town Meeting member Dora Bouboulis said she plans to call for a vote on impeachment at her town meeting next Saturday.<\/em> \u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\tL’impression qui ressort de cette situation est diverse: une r\u00e9elle confusion sur cette sorte de proc\u00e9dure, des r\u00e9actions tr\u00e8s marqu\u00e9es favorables \u00e0 la proc\u00e9dure, puis \u00e0 la mise en accusation, tout cela renvoyant \u00e0 la majorit\u00e9 am\u00e9ricaine de plus en plus favorable \u00e0 cette d\u00e9cision; \u00e0 c\u00f4t\u00e9 de cela, une tr\u00e8s grande crainte de lancer de tels mouvements, au nom du conformisme patriotard qui s’est abattu sur les USA depuis le 11 septembre et des r\u00e9actions tr\u00e8s violentes des extr\u00e9mistes soutenant GW Bush. Tr\u00e8s curieusement, on a l’impression, en lisant le reportage sur le vote de Newfane, d’une communaut\u00e9 compl\u00e8tement isol\u00e9e, quasiment en dissidence, alors qu’elle exprime un sentiment majoritaire dans la population US. <\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t(Cela nous permet d’affiner les conceptions. La tyrannie de la majorit\u00e9 est une situation passive, qui n’implique pas l’activisme de cette majorit\u00e9 mais une pression constante dans la perception qu’en ont les \u00e9lus. L’activisme, lui, est le fait de minorit\u00e9s extr\u00e9mistes. L\u00e0 aussi, la confusion est reine.)<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\tIl n’est pas difficile d’observer dans cette situation un m\u00e9lange potentiellement explosif de tensions antagonistes. L’esp\u00e8ce d’auto-restriction que s’imposent, notamment, les adversaires de GW Bush, ne fait qu’aggraver la tension. Elle favorise l’activisme des extr\u00e9mistes pro-Bush jusqu’\u00e0 des attitudes provocatrices avec diverses cons\u00e9quences possibles. On peut envisager des effets possibles d\u00e9stabilisants dans la vie publique si, finalement, le Congr\u00e8s entamait une proc\u00e9dure de mise en accusation. On en aura probablement un avant-go\u00fbt d’ici novembre prochain, puisqu’il semble de plus en plus assur\u00e9 que les \u00e9lections de novembre seront consid\u00e9r\u00e9es par certains comme une sorte de r\u00e9f\u00e9rendum sur la mise en accusation du pr\u00e9sident, et que cette perspective figurera tr\u00e8s haut dans la liste des arguments de la campagne.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t(D’ores et d\u00e9j\u00e0, les r\u00e9publicains envisagent ces \u00e9lections dans cette perspective, d’ailleurs pour s’en r\u00e9jouir comme du seul th\u00e8me de mobilisation qui leur reste : \u00ab Republicans are practically begging them to bring it on in the hope that the chatter will tar their opponents as loony leftists who care nothing for national security. This is such a gift, said Rush Limbaugh, the right-wing radio chat show host.<\/em> <\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00bb For demoralised conservatives, the issue is a call to arms for the mid-term congressional elections. Impeachment, coming your way if there are changes in who controls the House right now, Paul Weyrich, a top conservative organiser, warned in an e-mail newsletter to supporters. With impeachment on the horizon maybe, just maybe, conservatives would not stay at home after all, Weyrich wrote.<\/em> \u00bb) <\/p>\n<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Les imbroglios de l’impeachment hypoth\u00e9tique 20 mars 2006 Bien s\u00fbr, le Times de Londres (le Sunday Times) n’est pas pr\u00e9cis\u00e9ment \u00e0 classer parmi les adversaires de GW Bush qui, aux Etats-Unis, proclament que la mise en accusation de l’actuel pr\u00e9sident est de plus en plus probable. L’article d’hier, sur cette question, n’en est que plus… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"neve_meta_sidebar":"","neve_meta_container":"","neve_meta_enable_content_width":"","neve_meta_content_width":0,"neve_meta_title_alignment":"","neve_meta_author_avatar":"","neve_post_elements_order":"","neve_meta_disable_header":"","neve_meta_disable_footer":"","neve_meta_disable_title":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[10],"tags":[5046,2852,4462],"class_list":["post-67368","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-faits-et-commentaires","tag-impeachment","tag-times","tag-vermont"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/67368","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=67368"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/67368\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=67368"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=67368"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=67368"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}