Comme on a pu le voir dans les r\u00e9actions contradictoires \t\u00ab Hispanic voters, many of whom responded favorably to President Bush’s campaign appeals emphasizing patriotism, family and religious values in Spanish-language media in 2004, are turning away from the administration on immigration and a host of other issues, according to a new survey.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00bb At the same time, separate polls show that conservative white Republicans are the voting group most hostile to the administration’s support for policies that would move toward the legalization of many undocumented immigrants.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00bb Cumulatively, the data underscore the perils for Bush and his party in the immigration debate churning on Capitol Hill, one that threatens to bleed away support simultaneously from the Republican base and from Hispanic swing voters, whom Bush strategists had hoped to make an important new part of the GOP coalition.<\/em> \u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n \tCette affaire est, du point de vue \u00e9lectoral, promise \u00e0 peser de plus en plus sur le destin de l’establishment<\/em> washingtonien. Un exemple pris dans quatre \u00c9tats-clefs (le Nevada, le Nouveau Mexique, l’Iowa et Ohio) montre l’\u00e9volution dans les quinze prochaines ann\u00e9es. Les \u00e9lecteurs d’origine latino<\/em> vont y faire basculer la situation \u00e9lectorale. Sans attendre les dates appr\u00e9hend\u00e9es (2016 et 2020), on peut ais\u00e9ment conclure que ces perspectives vont tr\u00e8s rapidement bouleverser la situation politique aux USA, l’action des \u00e9tats-majors politiques \u00e9tant en g\u00e9n\u00e9ral tr\u00e8s pr\u00e9visionnelle dans cette sorte d’occurrence.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00ab Ken Strasma, a Democratic strategist who specializes in using demographic data to target potential voters, and the Hispanic Voter Project at Johns Hopkins University conducted a study concluding that, if past voting patterns hold, the growing Hispanic population means that Democrats will increase their 2004 vote totals by nearly half a million votes in 2008.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00bb The impact is even stronger farther out in the future, as Hispanic vote growth would move two Southwestern battleground states Nevada and New Mexico into the Democratic column by 2016, and add Iowa and Ohio by 2020, the study said. If the 2004 election had been held in an electorate based on the one forecast for 2020, with all other factors held constant, the higher Hispanic vote would have given Democrat John F. Kerry a slight victory in both the electoral college and the popular vote, the study added.<\/em> \u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n <\/p>\n \tMis en ligne le 21 mai 2006 \u00e0 16H22<\/p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Comme on a pu le voir dans les r\u00e9actions contradictoires au vote du S\u00e9nat sur l’affaire de l’English, national language, GW Bush est de plus en plus coinc\u00e9 entre deux groupes ethnico-politiques qui ont constitu\u00e9 la base de sa r\u00e9\u00e9lection de 2004. Des sondages r\u00e9cents, d\u00e9taill\u00e9s dans le Washington Post, montrent qu’il perd du terrain… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"neve_meta_sidebar":"","neve_meta_container":"","neve_meta_enable_content_width":"","neve_meta_content_width":0,"neve_meta_title_alignment":"","neve_meta_author_avatar":"","neve_post_elements_order":"","neve_meta_disable_header":"","neve_meta_disable_footer":"","neve_meta_disable_title":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[4141,3198,5216,1492],"class_list":["post-67577","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-bloc-notes","tag-elections","tag-gw","tag-latinos","tag-sondages"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/67577","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=67577"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/67577\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=67577"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=67577"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=67577"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}