Guardian<\/a> du jour, nous fait une description effectivement apocalyptique de ce que pourrait \u00eatre le sort des r\u00e9publicains aux \u00e9lections de novembre prochain aux USA. Mais, surtout, il nous trace, en filigrane, le portrait d’une Am\u00e9rique tr\u00e8s pessimiste, d\u00e9pressive, en plein d\u00e9sarroi. Une Am\u00e9rique impr\u00e9visible, avec une administration corrompue et \u00e0 la d\u00e9rive, une opposition inexistante, des guerres catastrophiques, une crise financi\u00e8re et budg\u00e9taire \u00e0 peine dissimul\u00e9e Cela fait beaucoup d’\u00e9l\u00e9ments troublants. Par cons\u00e9quent, le vocabulaire pour appr\u00e9cier tout cela est \u00e0 la fois biblique et m\u00e9t\u00e9orologique, type crise climatique.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n\t\u00ab …As the political analyst Charlie Cook puts it: It’s bad. It’s very bad. All the diagnostic indicators suggest that 2006 will be Armageddon for the Republicans. The only good news for the party is that it is five months away.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n\t\u00bb It is important to be clear that what Cook calls the diagnostic indicators of Republican decline extend far beyond the president’s own lamentable approval ratings, currently in the low 30s. This is normally the only polling yardstick to attract any notice in Europe. But American politics are more subtle, various and, above all, local than that. Yet here the rot goes much further.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n\t\u00bb In four polls over the last month, for example, Americans have been asked whether they think the country is, overall, heading in the right or the wrong direction. Normally this is a good general guide to the political health of the incumbent president’s party. Yet in each case less than a third of Americans have answered the right direction, while more than two-thirds have said wrong track. A volcanologist would say that this is eruption territory.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n\t\u00bb When American voters are asked whether they approve or disapprove of the job that the Congress (currently Republican-controlled but not the president’s puppet) is doing, the result backs this up. Congress approval rates ranged between 23% and 33% in seven recent national polls; disapproval ranged from 52% to 70%. American election lore has it that when Congress’s approval rating hits 40%, the ruling party can expect to lose about five seats in the 435-seat House of Representatives. Well, the latest poll has Congressional approval at 27%. We’ve got a category four or five hurricane shaping up for November, predicts Thomas Mann at the Brookings Institution. The question is whether the levees will hold.<\/em> \u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<\/p>\n
\tMis en ligne le 31 mai 2006 \u00e0 09H35<\/p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Martin Kettle, dans le Guardian du jour, nous fait une description effectivement apocalyptique de ce que pourrait \u00eatre le sort des r\u00e9publicains aux \u00e9lections de novembre prochain aux USA. Mais, surtout, il nous trace, en filigrane, le portrait d’une Am\u00e9rique tr\u00e8s pessimiste, d\u00e9pressive, en plein d\u00e9sarroi. Une Am\u00e9rique impr\u00e9visible, avec une administration corrompue et \u00e0… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"neve_meta_sidebar":"","neve_meta_container":"","neve_meta_enable_content_width":"","neve_meta_content_width":0,"neve_meta_title_alignment":"","neve_meta_author_avatar":"","neve_post_elements_order":"","neve_meta_disable_header":"","neve_meta_disable_footer":"","neve_meta_disable_title":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[5448,3811,4141,5450,5449,5310],"class_list":["post-67607","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-bloc-notes","tag-armageddon","tag-cook","tag-elections","tag-kettle","tag-novembre","tag-republicains"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/67607","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=67607"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/67607\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=67607"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=67607"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=67607"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}