{"id":67636,"date":"2006-06-08T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2006-06-08T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/2006\/06\/08\/limmigration-au-centre-du-debat-americain-et-la-polarisation-aux-extremes-devient-structurelle\/"},"modified":"2006-06-08T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2006-06-08T00:00:00","slug":"limmigration-au-centre-du-debat-americain-et-la-polarisation-aux-extremes-devient-structurelle","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/2006\/06\/08\/limmigration-au-centre-du-debat-americain-et-la-polarisation-aux-extremes-devient-structurelle\/","title":{"rendered":"L’immigration au centre du d\u00e9bat am\u00e9ricain et la polarisation aux extr\u00eames devient structurelle<\/em><\/strong>"},"content":{"rendered":"

L’immigration au centre du d\u00e9bat am\u00e9ricain et la polarisation aux extr\u00eames devient structurelle<\/h2>\n<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

\t8 juin 2006 Les r\u00e9publicains ont remport\u00e9, aux USA, en Californie, une victoire \u00e9lectorale partielle qui leur met un peu de baume au coeur. Il s’agissait d’un vote dans le 50\u00e8me district de Californie, pour remplacer le d\u00e9put\u00e9 Randy Duke<\/em> Cunningham, d\u00e9missionnaire en novembre dernier, et depuis jug\u00e9 et condamn\u00e9 \u00e0 sept ans de prison (la condamnation la plus s\u00e9v\u00e8re pour corruption pour un parlementaire dans l’histoire des Etats-Unis, il faut dire que l’affaire Cunningham<\/a> vaut le d\u00e9placement).<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\tPartout les \u00e9lecteurs (r\u00e9publicains) sont \u00e9coeur\u00e9s de l’administration GW, ses murs, son incomp\u00e9tence, etc. Le Pr\u00e9sident explore, en fait d’impopularit\u00e9, des situations jamais vues sinon du temps de Nixon juste avant sa d\u00e9mission. Les perspectives des \u00e9lections mid-term<\/em> sont, dans les pr\u00e9dictions des analystes et dans les enqu\u00eates statistiques, rien moins qu’impressionnantes (n\u00e9gativement pour les r\u00e9publicains). L’\u00e9lection partielle du 50\u00e8me district devait \u00eatre, pour les d\u00e9mocrates, l’occasion de frapper un grand coup, d’ouvrir leur campagne par le coup d’\u00e9clat de la capture d’un district \u00e9lectoral imperturbablement r\u00e9publicain. C’est rat\u00e9.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\tR\u00e9sultats et images de campagne, d’apr\u00e8s The Independent<\/a>, ce matin :<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00ab Together, the two parties spent about $10m, only to see the seat in California’s 50th district follow a predictable demographic pattern. Mr Bilbray took about 49 per cent of the vote, to Ms Busby’s 45. This was hardly an endorsement of either Mr Bilbray or the Bush administration voters in the most conservative parts of the district expressed dismay, even disgust, at the direction the country is taking. Rather, it highlighted just how rigid the country’s partisan battle lines and district boundaries are, and thus how difficult it is for any seat to change hands, no matter how unpopular the incumbent.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00bb The challenge for Democrats is to affirm an agenda that is not only not the Republican agenda but also wins Republicans over to their side, said Rob Richie of the Centre for Voting and Democracy, a thinktank which has tracked the diminishing competitiveness of US election races over the past two decades. What this election shows is that, even in a relatively good climate for Democrats, a district that should be competitive can be surprisingly difficult to win.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00bb Mr Bilbray was hardly an ideal candidate for the Republicans. He is a professional lobbyist, a dirty word these days because of the scandals involving Cunningham and a whole clutch of other congressmen linked to Jack Abramoff, a lobbyist convicted on multiple counts of corruption and fraud. He is also a moderate on issues like gay marriage and abortion, making him unpopular with the conservative Republican grassroots.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00bb In Escondido, the most conservative city in the 50th district, voter after voter made clear they had to hold their noses as they checked his name on the ballot. I voted for Bilbray, but my biggest concern is that he will go back to exactly what he was before, the guy making the deals and ignoring the people he’s supposed to represent, Gordon Axelson, a civil engineer, said. Escondido Republicans also revealed a disappointment bordering on rage against the Bush administration on an array of issues from the president’s moderate stance on immigration reform to his deficit spending to his failure to pacify Iraq. I can’t wait for him to get out of office, Mr Axelson said.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t(…)<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00bb Angry as they were, these Republicans could not bring themselves to vote for Ms Busby, a school board activist on the liberal north San Diego county coast. Ms Busby had counted on a lopsided turnout to see her through to victory. In the end, though, she was sunk by a gaffe on the issue of immigration. It was probably no more than a verbal slip she appeared to suggest illegal immigrants were welcome to vote for her but it was enough to prompt a last-minute surge of Republicans and doom her to defeat.<\/em> \u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\tL’\u00e9v\u00e9nement est simple, clair, net, avec les principaux facteurs qui le caract\u00e9risent \u00e9galement bien d\u00e9finis (auxquels on ajoutera celui de rappeler que le candidat r\u00e9publicain fit une campagne ax\u00e9e sur la question de l’immigration, en soutenant une politique d’extr\u00eame fermet\u00e9). D’autre part, tout cela confirme ce qu’on observe en formation et en d\u00e9veloppement de fa\u00e7on \u00e9parse depuis plusieurs ann\u00e9es, et plus pr\u00e9cis\u00e9ment depuis quelques mois.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\tQuelques remarques s’imposent donc naturellement:<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t• Effectivement, l’immigration est un sujet central dans les pr\u00e9occupations des Am\u00e9ricains aujourd’hui (m\u00eame si le 50\u00e8me district, situ\u00e9 \u00e0 20 miles de la fronti\u00e8re mexicaine, est un cas plus marqu\u00e9). La derni\u00e8re remarque sur le destin de la candidate d\u00e9mocrate va dans ce sens : \u00ab In the end, though, she was sunk by a gaffe on the issue of immigration. It was probably no more than a verbal slip she appeared to suggest illegal immigrants were welcome to vote for her but it was enough to prompt a last-minute surge of Republicans and doom her to defeat.<\/em> \u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t• La fermet\u00e9 de la position des \u00e9lecteurs est remarquable. Elle marque une polarisation des attitudes et des choix vers les extr\u00eames. Dans ce domaine (l’immigration), l’\u00e9lectorat r\u00e9publicain est largement plus \u00e0 droite que l’administration, et il reste fermement r\u00e9publicain malgr\u00e9 l’\u00e9coeurement palpable pour le comportement des \u00e9lus et pour l’incomp\u00e9tence de l’administration GW.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t• Le dernier point doit \u00eatre soulign\u00e9 : l’\u00e9coeurement \u00e0 l’\u00e9gard de Washington, et pourtant l’on vote pour des gens qu’on sait certainement corruptibles et sans doute d’ores et d\u00e9j\u00e0 corrompus. Cela signifie que le vote est de moins en moins une marque quelconque, confiance ou d\u00e9fiance, \u00e0 l’\u00e9gard de ceux qui sont \u00e9lus. C’est une compl\u00e8te d\u00e9l\u00e9gitimation<\/strong> du syst\u00e8me, r\u00e9sultat de six ann\u00e9es de gouvernement consacr\u00e9 aux int\u00e9r\u00eats priv\u00e9s, \u00e0 la corruption et aux mensonges, aux projets strat\u00e9giques \u00e9labor\u00e9s \u00e0 partir de complots int\u00e9rieurs de petits groupes id\u00e9ologiques.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\tD’une fa\u00e7on plus g\u00e9n\u00e9rale, cette \u00e9lection est une bonne photographie du paysage politique am\u00e9ricain, du c\u00f4t\u00e9 des citoyens. On peut y voir rassembl\u00e9es toutes les tares et les obsessions du syst\u00e8me, loin des arguments pompeux comme la guerre contre la terreur. Le legs de GW et du syst\u00e8me dont il est encore (pour deux ans) l’homme-sandwich commence \u00e0 se dessiner \u00e0 gros traits. C’est la perp\u00e9tuation d’une situation pseudo-politique polaris\u00e9e aux extr\u00eames, qui a perdu le peu de caract\u00e8re r\u00e9galien de souverainet\u00e9 qu’elle avait encore avant l’administration GW ; une situation o\u00f9 l’Am\u00e9rique est fractionn\u00e9e, divis\u00e9e et hostile, sans arbitre ou un arbitre d’une telle faiblesse que c’est pire ; et une situation affect\u00e9e de probl\u00e8mes fondamentaux dont l’un l’est particuli\u00e8rement parce qu’il a \u00e0 la fois le caract\u00e8re \u00e9motionnel et la substance (il porte sur l’identit\u00e9 nationale) qui font les grandes crises et qu’il ne peut faire que s’approfondir et s’aggraver dans les ann\u00e9es qui viennent, l’immigration certes.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

L’immigration au centre du d\u00e9bat am\u00e9ricain et la polarisation aux extr\u00eames devient structurelle 8 juin 2006 Les r\u00e9publicains ont remport\u00e9, aux USA, en Californie, une victoire \u00e9lectorale partielle qui leur met un peu de baume au coeur. Il s’agissait d’un vote dans le 50\u00e8me district de Californie, pour remplacer le d\u00e9put\u00e9 Randy Duke Cunningham, d\u00e9missionnaire… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"neve_meta_sidebar":"","neve_meta_container":"","neve_meta_enable_content_width":"","neve_meta_content_width":0,"neve_meta_title_alignment":"","neve_meta_author_avatar":"","neve_post_elements_order":"","neve_meta_disable_header":"","neve_meta_disable_footer":"","neve_meta_disable_title":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[10],"tags":[2942,1571,3330,5484],"class_list":["post-67636","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-faits-et-commentaires","tag-californie","tag-cunningham","tag-immigration","tag-partielle"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/67636","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=67636"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/67636\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=67636"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=67636"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=67636"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}