Le sondage Zogby que pr\u00e9sente Jim Lobe dans sa chronique \tLe sondage rend compte d’une opinion iranienne extr\u00eamement radicalis\u00e9e, \u00e0 la fois anti-isra\u00e9lienne et anti-am\u00e9ricaniste, surtout chez les jeunes. Jim lobe observe notamment ceci :<\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00ab Some two-thirds of the sample expressed agreement with the assertion that the state of Israel is illegitimate and should not exist. Nearly 52 percent said they strongly agreed with that position.<\/em> <\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00bb The survey results, which were released at a time of rising tensions between Iran and both the United States and Israel, was carried out by telephone by 30 Farsi-speaking Iranian interviewers based outside of Iran due to U.S. government regulations that prohibit U.S. research firms from working inside the country. The sample, which consisted of 470 men and 340 women, was drawn from randomly selected adults with land line or mobile phones throughout Iran. Nearly 85 percent of respondents were city-dwellers, and the remainder lived in rural areas.<\/em> <\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00bb Consistent with its findings about popular attitudes toward Israel, the survey suggested that the defiant nationalism and anti-Western views voiced by Ahmadinejad may resonate more deeply with most Iranians than the more zealous U.S. foes of the Islamic Republic have asserted.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00bb For several years now, neoconservatives and other anti-Iran hawks have argued that younger, urban Iranians, in particular, are strongly pro-U.S., fed up with theocracy, and thus represent the greatest hope, along with presumably disaffected minorities, for regime change in Iran. Iran is a country of young people, most of whom wish to live in freedom and admire the liberal democracies that Ahmadinejad loathes and fears, wrote Richard Perle, the influential former chair of the Pentagon’s Defense Policy Board, just last month in an appeal for a more-confrontational stance toward Iran. His colleague at the neoconservative American Enterprise Institute (AEI), Michael Ledeen, has long claimed that Iranian youth will rise up against the mullahs when they receive political support from Washington.<\/em> <\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00bb The survey results paint a much different picture, however. Asked which of six countries they most admired, just 11.5 percent cited the U.S. (behind Britain and Turkey and just ahead of Germany and Saudi Arabia), while respondents over 50 were twice as likely to cite the U.S. than those between the ages of 18 and 29.<\/em> <\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00bb Asked which of six foreign governments they admired the least, the U.S. was the most cited by one in four of all respondents, and almost one in three of those aged 18 to 29.<\/em> \u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n \tL’enseignement principal de ce sondage, pour l’\u00e9quilibre politique des pays occidentaux engag\u00e9s dans la crise, c’est que l’argument du changement de r\u00e9gime est consid\u00e9rablement affaibli. Dans les discussions informelles avec ses trois (les 3.UE) alli\u00e9s europ\u00e9ens, l’administration GW a plaid\u00e9 (surtout aupr\u00e8s des Britanniques, les plus sensibles \u00e0 cette perspective) en faveur d’une approche dure (jusqu’\u00e0 l’option militaire) selon l’argument que celle-ci favoriserait, voire pr\u00e9cipiterait un changement de r\u00e9gime. Les arguments US \u00e9taient appuy\u00e9s sur l’affirmation que deux tiers \u00e0 trois quarts de la population, et plus encore chez les jeunes, \u00e9taient oppos\u00e9s au r\u00e9gime, selon les estimations des n\u00e9o-conservateurs prises pour argent comptant par la Maison-Blanche avec l’appui de Cheney. Le sondage montre que la proportion r\u00e9elle est plus proche de l’inverse. (Des sources ind\u00e9pendantes US affirment que des pressions auraient \u00e9t\u00e9 exerc\u00e9es par l’administration sur le centre d’enqu\u00eate Zogby pour qu’il ne r\u00e9alise pas ce sondage, puis qu’il n’en publie pas les r\u00e9sultats. Bien entendu, selon l’interpr\u00e9tation que font ces sources, ce serait le signe de l’inqui\u00e9tude US quant aux cons\u00e9quences des r\u00e9sultats du sondage sur la position des 3.UE dans la crise.)<\/p>\n<\/p>\n <\/p>\n \tMis en ligne le 14 juillet 2006 \u00e0 15H49<\/p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Le sondage Zogby que pr\u00e9sente Jim Lobe dans sa chronique du jour, sur Antiwar.com, constitue un \u00e9l\u00e9ment important dans la crise iranienne, et surtout pour la coh\u00e9sion des pays occidentaux. Le sondage rend compte d’une opinion iranienne extr\u00eamement radicalis\u00e9e, \u00e0 la fois anti-isra\u00e9lienne et anti-am\u00e9ricaniste, surtout chez les jeunes. Jim lobe observe notamment ceci :… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"neve_meta_sidebar":"","neve_meta_container":"","neve_meta_enable_content_width":"","neve_meta_content_width":0,"neve_meta_title_alignment":"","neve_meta_author_avatar":"","neve_post_elements_order":"","neve_meta_disable_header":"","neve_meta_disable_footer":"","neve_meta_disable_title":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[1294,2773,1094,3831,5612],"class_list":["post-67748","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-bloc-notes","tag-cheney","tag-iran","tag-lobe","tag-neo-conservateurs","tag-zogby"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/67748","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=67748"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/67748\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=67748"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=67748"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=67748"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}