aujourd’hui<\/a>, analyse assez \u00e9quilibr\u00e9e et qui met bien en \u00e9vidence la complexit\u00e9 du probl\u00e8me.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n\tEn r\u00e9alit\u00e9, estime l’analyse, le probl\u00e8me tel qu’il est pos\u00e9 par l’administration GW, pour des raisons d’abord int\u00e9rieures d’ailleurs, l’est d’une fa\u00e7on incompl\u00e8te et parcellaire. Il n’est pas s\u00fbr que les uns et les autres parlent de la m\u00eame chose. Aux accusations du plus haut niveau r\u00e9pondent les constats des forces occidentales, notamment britanniques, qu’il n’existe aucune preuve s\u00e9rieuse, et m\u00eame aucune preuve du tout de r\u00e9seaux iraniens alimentant les insurg\u00e9s, r\u00e9sistants, etc., en Irak. Puis on aboutit \u00e0 ce qui est finalement l’essentiel : la perception de la situation.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n
\tIl semble que les Am\u00e9ricains aient, d’une part, bien du mal \u00e0 comprendre la r\u00e9alit\u00e9 de la situation en Irak, notamment la proximit\u00e9 naturelle entre les chiites irakiens et les Iraniens, renforc\u00e9e par les liens tiss\u00e9s durant l’\u00e8re Saddam. D’autre part, il y a surtout le constat par l’article que le v\u00e9ritable enjeu, finalement, concerne l’influence grandissante de l’Iran aux d\u00e9pens de celle des USA dans la r\u00e9gion, renforc\u00e9e par la perception du recul de la puissance isra\u00e9lienne, avec les intentions isra\u00e9liennes de frapper l’Iran \u00e0 cause du d\u00e9veloppement de ses capacit\u00e9s nucl\u00e9aires.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n
\tQuelques extraits :<\/p>\n<\/p>\n
\t\u00abWhat is clear is the US intention. In a newspaper interview on Friday, US Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice revealed that Bush had decided to undertake a broad military offensive against Iranian operatives in Iraq. There has been a decision to go after these networks, Rice said, adding that Bush had decided to act acted after a period of time in which we saw increasing activity among Iranians in Iraq, and increasing lethality in what they were producing.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n\t()<\/p>\n<\/p>\n
\t\u00bbBut there is another crucial issue of perception. For what America sees as evidence of Iranian meddling, including the presence of numbers of Iranian officials, in Iraq, is not quite so obvious viewed from the perspective of Iraq’s Shia political parties, many of whose senior figures lived for two decades and more in exile in Iran, and look to its powerful Shia neighbour as both a friend and a religious and political exemplar in the midst of crisis. Iraq’s most senior Shia cleric was born in Iran although he rejects the role of the clerics in the Iranian state. Many of the returning Iranians, as Iraqis who stayed under Saddam have dubbed the returning exiles, speak Farsi as comfortably as Arabic and when they want a break from the violence they holiday in villas in Iran.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n\t\u00bbSeen from this point of view, many Shias would argue, it is the Americans who are meddling, not their Iranian brothers.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n\t\u00bbWhich brings the growing confrontation with Iran in Iraq down to a more fundamental issue: a straight competition for influence in the Middle East between the US and the growing power of Iran highlighted in last week’s ‘National Intelligence Estimate’ by director of national intelligence John Negroponte. Rice’s willingness to discuss the issue so openly reflects a new hostility to Iran that was first evident in Bush’s speech to the nation last week, in which he accused Tehran of providing material support for attacks on American troops and vowed to respond.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n\t\u00bbThe reality is that the policy of turning the screw on Iran is being driven by Washington’s wider regional concerns. Israel’s Prime Minister Ehud Olmert has warned that Iran’s nuclear programme will be critical over the next 12 months and officials have hinted broadly that Israel might attack Iran unilaterally if the US does not act.<\/em>\u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<\/p>\n
\tMis en ligne le 14 janvier 2007 \u00e0 14H18<\/p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Depuis le 10 janvier (discours de GW), la question est pos\u00e9e et ouverte : y a-t-il des Iraniens en Irak et qu’y font-ils ? The Observer consacre un long article \u00e0 cette question aujourd’hui, analyse assez \u00e9quilibr\u00e9e et qui met bien en \u00e9vidence la complexit\u00e9 du probl\u00e8me. En r\u00e9alit\u00e9, estime l’analyse, le probl\u00e8me tel qu’il… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"neve_meta_sidebar":"","neve_meta_container":"","neve_meta_enable_content_width":"","neve_meta_content_width":0,"neve_meta_title_alignment":"","neve_meta_author_avatar":"","neve_post_elements_order":"","neve_meta_disable_header":"","neve_meta_disable_footer":"","neve_meta_disable_title":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[3198,3090,857,2773,6328,3248],"class_list":["post-68408","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-bloc-notes","tag-gw","tag-influence","tag-irak","tag-iran","tag-reseaux","tag-washington"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/68408","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=68408"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/68408\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=68408"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=68408"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=68408"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}