Steve C. Clemons est un commentateur souvent bien inform\u00e9 et avis\u00e9 des questions de politique ext\u00e9rieure US. Son avis sur les projets de conf\u00e9rence<\/a> o\u00f9 Am\u00e9ricains seraient conduits \u00e0 parler aux Iraniens, hier soir<\/a> sur son site The Washington Note<\/em>, nous donne un \u00e9clairage instructif. Clemons rapporte notamment nombre de r\u00e9actions positives, surtout venues de parlementaires tels que Joe Biden et Chuck Hagel.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n \tClemons montre un certain optimisme. Son raisonnement est le suivant (avec l’int\u00e9ressante pr\u00e9cision que l’intervention de l’Europ\u00e9en Javier Solana et du Saoudien Prince Bandar a jou\u00e9 un r\u00f4le d\u00e9terminant) :<\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00abThis could be a pre-meeting for a true regional conference that draws together all of the key stakeholders in and around Iraq, and that is a key pillar of the Iraq Study Group Report’s New Diplomatic Offensive proposal.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00bbTime will tell whether this is meaningless flirtation or whether this is a carefully crafted confidence building measure that could lead to more meaningful engagement between the US and Iran over outstanding issues and between the US and Syria.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00bbThis has the markings of European and Saudi stage direction.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00bbThis writer has reasons to suspect that European Union High Commissioner for Common Foreign and Security Policy Javier Solana and National Security Advisor to the Saudi King Prince Bandar bin Sultan have been moving chess pieces in consultation with departing US Ambassador to Iraq and incoming US Ambassador to the United Nations Zalmay Khalilzad to make this neighbors meeting work.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00bbThis is a necessary but not sufficient first step in re-establishing a new and more stable equilibrium of interests in the Middle East.<\/em>\u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n \tClemons termine sur une note sibylline qui implique \u00e0 la fois une explication de la d\u00e9cision US et ses \u00e9ventuelles limites : \u00abNot to be too snarky, it does seem remarkable that these kind of breakthroughs tend to happen when the Vice President is sidelined or flying off somewhere.<\/em>\u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t tandis que le premier commentaire de lecteur (\u00abPosted by Zathras’ at February 27, 2007 06:45 PM<\/em>\u00bb) \u00e0 suivre le texte de Clemons confirme cette perspective en y explicitant la r\u00e9serve de taille qu’il faut avoir \u00e0 l’esprit.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00abBut as Steve suggests, in the era of the co-Presidency decisions in Washington will get made by the last person to have George Bush’s ear, usually the Vice President. And since Cheney will not be in Southwest Asia forever steps toward a regional conference might lead to something, or lead nowhere. Most changes of course in foreign policy during any administration occur because everyone understands that they are what the President wants. Right now all we have is tentative movement in a direction that some of his subordinates, plus some foreign governments, favor.<\/em>\u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n <\/p>\n \tMis en ligne le 28 f\u00e9vrier 2007 \u00e0 12H43<\/p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Steve C. Clemons est un commentateur souvent bien inform\u00e9 et avis\u00e9 des questions de politique ext\u00e9rieure US. Son avis sur les projets de conf\u00e9rence o\u00f9 Am\u00e9ricains seraient conduits \u00e0 parler aux Iraniens, hier soir sur son site The Washington Note, nous donne un \u00e9clairage instructif. Clemons rapporte notamment nombre de r\u00e9actions positives, surtout venues de… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"neve_meta_sidebar":"","neve_meta_container":"","neve_meta_enable_content_width":"","neve_meta_content_width":0,"neve_meta_title_alignment":"","neve_meta_author_avatar":"","neve_post_elements_order":"","neve_meta_disable_header":"","neve_meta_disable_footer":"","neve_meta_disable_title":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[1235,1294,6179,4841,857,2773,3867],"class_list":["post-68578","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-bloc-notes","tag-biden","tag-cheney","tag-clemons","tag-hagel","tag-irak","tag-iran","tag-syrie"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/68578","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=68578"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/68578\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=68578"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=68578"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=68578"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}