ce jour<\/a>). Toujours excellent, Kolko, lorsqu’il traite d’Isra\u00ebl, parce qu’il va au cur des sujets essentiels.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n\tKolko parle des possibilit\u00e9s d’une nouvelle guerre apr\u00e8s avoir donn\u00e9 une mesure de l’ampleur r\u00e9elle, extr\u00eamement grande, de ce qui est incontestablement une grave d\u00e9faite isra\u00e9lienne en ao\u00fbt dernier. Citons ce passage, particuli\u00e8rement sur les conditions d’une possible prochaine guerre :<\/p>\n<\/p>\n
\t\u00abThe Next War<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/p>\n\t\u00bbThe Lebanon War is only a harbinger of Israeli defeats to come. For the first time there is a rough equivalence in military power.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n\t\u00bbTechnology everywhere is now moving far faster than the diplomatic and political resources or will to control its inevitable consequences. Hezbollah has far better and more rockets over 10,000 short-range rockets is one figure given than it had a few years ago, and Israel’s military intelligence believes it has more firepower than it had last spring, before it was attacked. Israel has failed to convince Russia not to sell or give their highly effective anti-tank missiles to nations or movements in the region. They fear that even Hamas will acquire them. Syria is procuring thousands of advanced anti-tank missiles from Russia, which can be fired from five kilometers away, as well as far better rockets that can hit Israeli cities.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n\t\u00bbIf the challenges of producing a realistic concept of the world that confronts the mounting dangers and limits of military technology seriously are not resolved soon there is nothing more than wars to look forward to. The IDF intelligence branch does not think a war with Syria is likely in 2007; other Israeli military commentators think that any war with Syria would produce, at best, a bloody standoff just like the war in Lebanon last summer. Israel has about 3,700 tanks and they are all now highly vulnerable. Its ultra-modern air arm, most of which the US has provided, only kills people but it cannot attain victory.<\/em>\u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n\tCe qui est remarquable dans ce passage, et renvoie \u00e9videmment \u00e0 la fascinante ambigu\u00eft\u00e9 de la guerre de quatri\u00e8me g\u00e9n\u00e9ration (G4G), c’est ce que dit Kolko de la technologie. Dans un cas, celui du Hezbollah et d’autres, ces groupes compl\u00e8tement adapt\u00e9s \u00e0 la G4G, la technologie existe, elle afflue et elle constitue un formidable renforcement de puissance. Dans l’autre (Isra\u00ebl), elle constitue un frein toujours plus puissant et une dynamique vers la catastrophe, comme elle le fut en juillet-ao\u00fbt 2006. Dans les passages pr\u00e9c\u00e9dents, Kolko fait effectivement un proc\u00e8s serr\u00e9 de ce que l’emploi des hautes technologies a co\u00fbt\u00e9 aux Isra\u00e9liens en juillet-ao\u00fbt dernier.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n
\tMis en ligne le 17 mars 2007 \u00e0 12H32<\/p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
La situation en Isra\u00ebl, les cons\u00e9quences de la troisi\u00e8me guerre du Liban (juillet-ao\u00fbt 2006), la situation en constante d\u00e9gradation d’Isra\u00ebl, voil\u00e0 les th\u00e8mes du nouvel article de Gabriel Kolko sur le sujet (sur Antiwar, ce jour). Toujours excellent, Kolko, lorsqu’il traite d’Isra\u00ebl, parce qu’il va au cur des sujets essentiels. Kolko parle des possibilit\u00e9s d’une… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"neve_meta_sidebar":"","neve_meta_container":"","neve_meta_enable_content_width":"","neve_meta_content_width":0,"neve_meta_title_alignment":"","neve_meta_author_avatar":"","neve_post_elements_order":"","neve_meta_disable_header":"","neve_meta_disable_footer":"","neve_meta_disable_title":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[2645,2774,4908,5611,3867,3519],"class_list":["post-68632","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-bloc-notes","tag-guerre","tag-israel","tag-kolko","tag-liban","tag-syrie","tag-technologie"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/68632","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=68632"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/68632\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=68632"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=68632"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=68632"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}