Without a technological or economic miracle, it would take a political miracle to reach an international agreement that would mandate the necessary emissions cuts to reverse the momentum behind our evolving global climate system. But once again, realities get in the way. The U.S. Congress is too divided to pass legislation sufficiently tough to make a major difference<\/em>\u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n\tLa pr\u00e9sentation de la situation semble laisser le soin de notre avenir \u00e0 la fatalit\u00e9, tandis que toutes les causes de la catastrophe (l’\u00e9conomie, le d\u00e9veloppement acc\u00e9l\u00e9r\u00e9e, la concurrence, la productivit\u00e9, etc.) continuent \u00e0 se d\u00e9velopper et \u00e0 \u00eatre lou\u00e9es comme vertueuses et n\u00e9cessaires. Les deux experts gardent un sens pratique roboratif, nous recommandant tout de m\u00eame de tenir \u00e0 jour la comptabilit\u00e9 des trillions et des trillions que tout cela va nous co\u00fbter. Assez curieusement, on n’aborde pas une question somme toute int\u00e9ressante, en d\u00e9crivant la crise climatique comme une sorte de passage catastrophique vers Justement: vers o\u00f9? Pour aboutir \u00e0 quoi? Voil\u00e0 la bonne question. Par contre, oui, nous continuons \u00e0 tenir \u00e0 jour les taux de croissance de la Chine, de l’Inde, et bie s\u00fbr des USA.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n
\tConclusion de nos deux sobres \u00e9claireurs de l’apocalypse:<\/p>\n<\/p>\n
\t\u00abA realistic look at climate change suggests that it is time to change the debate. In 2005, a paper published by the U.N. Environment Program put average global economic losses due to great weather disasters at $100 billion per year, and projected that it was increasing at about 6 percent per yearenough to double every twelve years, and to total $2 trillion for the period from 2007 to 2020. Policy makers in the United States and elsewhere must start hedging their bets and prepare us to live in this new world. This emphatically does not mean giving up on efforts to slow climate change, which could still measurably reduce the costs of protecting the people and infrastructure most vulnerable to higher temperatures and new weather patterns. Nor should it suggest that the task of adaptation will be easy or cheap. World leaders will face many of the same dilemmas that complicate the current debate: Developed countries, which have produced most of the human-origin carbon dioxide in the air, will be in the best position to cope with climate change and developing countries will want them to bear a disproportionate financial burden for its consequences.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n\t\u00bbStill, we do have some of the tools we will need already. International lenders like the World Bank have only begun to invest in projects that reduce greenhouse gas emissions; they need to give greater emphasis to projects that limit developing countries’ vulnerabilities to climate change. The scientific community will need to do a much better job of predicting climate impacts at a regional and local scale. Governments will need to support this process, to collect and assess the information that results, and develop their own plans. Riding out the consequences of a warming world will be difficult, and we need to prepare now.<\/em>\u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<\/p>\n
\tMis en ligne le 27 septembre 2007 \u00e0 16H02<\/p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Il se dit \u00e0 Bruxelles, capitale de l’Europe, qu’il se dit \u00e0 Washington (la forme est plaisante mais le propos est s\u00e9rieux) que le court article de Foreign Policy du mois de septembre, \u00abWhy Climate Change Can’t Be Stopped\u00bb, de Paul J. Saunders et Vaughan Turekian, repr\u00e9sente une appr\u00e9ciation sur la crise climatique qui est… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"neve_meta_sidebar":"","neve_meta_container":"","neve_meta_enable_content_width":"","neve_meta_content_width":0,"neve_meta_title_alignment":"","neve_meta_author_avatar":"","neve_post_elements_order":"","neve_meta_disable_header":"","neve_meta_disable_footer":"","neve_meta_disable_title":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[6045,3392,3228,2863,2864],"class_list":["post-69266","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-bloc-notes","tag-catastrophe","tag-climatique","tag-crise","tag-foreign","tag-policy"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/69266","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=69266"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/69266\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=69266"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=69266"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=69266"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}