{"id":69296,"date":"2007-10-07T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2007-10-07T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/2007\/10\/07\/hillary-est-elle-deja-elue\/"},"modified":"2007-10-07T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2007-10-07T00:00:00","slug":"hillary-est-elle-deja-elue","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/2007\/10\/07\/hillary-est-elle-deja-elue\/","title":{"rendered":"Hillary est-elle d\u00e9j\u00e0 \u00e9lue?<\/em><\/strong>"},"content":{"rendered":"

Hillary est-elle d\u00e9j\u00e0 \u00e9lue?<\/h2>\n<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

\t7 octobre 2007 GW isol\u00e9? La politique belliciste US r\u00e9duite \u00e0 la folie du roi George? Ces clich\u00e9s pour commentateurs parisiens ne sont pas du go\u00fbt de l’establishment<\/em>. Catastrophe ou pas, on est dans la m\u00eame gal\u00e8re. Et il se produit un fait extraordinaire.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\tLe Sunday Times<\/em> de ce jour<\/a> nous avise qu’au contraire de ce que ferait croire sa r\u00e9putation d’isol\u00e9, \u00abGeorge Bush smooths path for Hillary<\/em>\u00bb. Cela signifie, pour rester dans un langage extr\u00eamement conformiste, que GW pr\u00e9pare une transition avec celle qu’il cro\u00eet \u00eatre la future pr\u00e9sidente et, d’une fa\u00e7on plus g\u00e9n\u00e9rale, avec une administration d\u00e9mocrate dont il pense qu’elle lui succ\u00e9dera. En termes un peu plus nets, cela signifie que GW Bush v\u00e9rifie qu’il verrouille bien la prochaine administration \u00e0 sa politique belliciste, et cela, avec l’approbation g\u00e9n\u00e9rale, de l’establishment<\/em> \u00e0 Hillary elle-m\u00eame. En un mot, tout le monde est d’accord.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\tL’article annonce qu’un pas important, concret, vient d’\u00eatre franchi avec la nomination de John Hamre \u00e0 la fonction de pr\u00e9sident du Defense Policy Board (DPB). L’op\u00e9ration est conduite par Robert Gates, qui serait l’homme id\u00e9al de la transition et de la continuit\u00e9. Le fait extraordinaire, qui indique le caract\u00e8re extraordinaire de la situation, est que cette d\u00e9cision est officiellement pr\u00e9sent\u00e9e comme un acte effectif de continuit\u00e9 entre deux administrations qui se succ\u00e8dent puisque la nomination d’Hamre est accompagn\u00e9e de l’annonce que le DPB aura d\u00e9sormais pour mission de pr\u00e9parer la transition vers une nouvelle administration en 2008.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00abIn the clearest sign of a shift in gear, Gates is to appoint John Hamre, a former official in President Bill Clinton’s administration, to chair the Defense Policy Board once led by Richard Perle, a leading neoconservative advocate of the invasion of Iraq. The board’s job will be to prepare for the transition to a new administration in 2008, according to a Pentagon spokesman.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00bbHamre, who was Bill Clinton’s deputy defence secretary in the 1990s, has been highly critical of the conduct of the war on terror. In The Washington Post last year he wrote: The policies that led to Guantanamo Bay, Abu Ghraib, secret renditions and warrantless wiretaps have undermined America’s towering moral authority.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00bbIn common with Gates, Hamre is sceptical about the value of the Iraq troop surge. He recently served on a bipartisan commission on Iraq chaired by James Jones, the former Nato commander. In evidence to Congress last month, Hamre said: Absent political reconciliation, it’s hard to see how this<\/em> [the war] ends well.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00bbHowever, Hamre, who heads the influential Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington, also argued that America will be hurt if we crawl out or run out of Iraq. He believes the next president should maintain a vital but scaled-down presence in the country in order to oversee the training of Iraqi security forces and to direct operations against known bad guys.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00bbLawrence Korb, a defence expert at the Center for American Progress, a Democratic think tank, described Hamre’s imminent appointment as a brilliant move which would mark a dramatic break with Perle’s era. Most people think the next president will be a Democrat and Gates, who has been around for a long time, believes it is his job to ensure that national security is not affected, Korb said.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00bbClinton has been sidestepping calls to pull US troops out of Iraq if she wins, sticking to a broader promise to begin a phased withdrawal. In a recent television interview, the New York senator refused to state that all US combat troops would leave Iraq by the end of her first term in office. She voted in the Senate last month to designate the Iranian Revolutionary Guards a terrorist organisation.<\/em>\u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\tPlusieurs autres points sont \u00e0 consid\u00e9rer:<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t Une autre nomination dans le m\u00eame sens, avec la m\u00eame interpr\u00e9tation: \u00abThe Treasury, under Henry Hank Paulson, has also been appointing Democrat supporters to senior positions. Robert Novak, the conservative columnist, reported that Paulson last week named Eric Mindich, a leading Democratic fundraiser, for a key role as an adviser on financial markets. One Republican in the Bush administration wrote disapprovingly in an e-mail: This leads some to wonder whether this Treasury has become the preplaced Hillary Clinton team.<\/em>\u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t Pr\u00e9d\u00e9cesseur le plus fameux de Hamre \u00e0 la t\u00eate du DPB (il d\u00e9missionna de ce poste fin mars 2003 \u00e0 la suite de r\u00e9v\u00e9lations de Seymour Hersh<\/a> sur ses pratiques affairistes), Richard Perle a eu des mots tendres pour cette d\u00e9cision. Cela signifie que les n\u00e9o-conservateurs, loin d’\u00eatre \u00e9limin\u00e9s, jouent le jeu washingtonien, notamment parce que cela leur convient professionnellement (ils en vivent grassement) et que cela leur convient politiquement. Selon le Sunday Times<\/em>: \u00abPerle believes that Clinton might be prepared to order military strikes against Iran if President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad takes Tehran’s nuclear programme to the brink. If President Clinton is informed in March 2009 that we’ve got ironclad intelligence that if we don’t act within the next 30 days it’s going to be too late, I wouldn’t begin to predict what she would do, Perle said. Nobody wants to act before it is absolutely essential . . . but things can change very quickly.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00bbPerle is generous about the appointment of Hamre, arguing that the Defense Policy Board has a tradition of bipartisanship. He’s an experienced professional and a very good choice, Perle said, noting that George W Bush had kept on George Tenet, a Clinton appointee, as CIA chief after winning the 2000 election.<\/em>\u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t Le m\u00eame article met en \u00e9vidence les bons sentiments de GW vis-\u00e0-vis de son successeur \u00e9ventuel\/probable\/d\u00e9j\u00e0 d\u00e9sign\u00e9, ce qui nous donne les platitudes habituelles, par ailleurs compl\u00e8tement vraies: \u00abBush believes Clinton will win the Democratic nomination and has privately advised her not to voice antiwar rhetoric on Iraq that she may come to regret, according to a new book, The Evangelical President, by Bill Sammon. It’s different being a candidate and being the president, Bush said. No matter who the president is, no matter what party, when they sit here in the Oval Office and seriously consider the effect of a vacuum being created in the Middle East . . . they will then begin to understand the need to continue to support the young democracy.<\/em>\u00bb<\/p>\n

Est-il n\u00e9cessaire de voter en novembre 2008?<\/h3>\n<\/p>\n

\tNous assistons \u00e0 une extraordinaire manuvre. L’establishment<\/em>, GW Bush compris en l’occurrence, est en train d’installer Hillary Clinton comme 44\u00e8me POTUS (pour ceux qui h\u00e9siteraient: POTUS pour Pr\u00e9sident Of The United States<\/em>). A temps extraordinaires, manuvre extraordinaire. L’establishment<\/em> est tellement t\u00e9tanis\u00e9 par les \u00e9v\u00e9nements qui affectent la politique US qu’il prend des pr\u00e9cautions extraordinaires pour tenter de contr\u00f4ler sa propre situation, y compris cette d\u00e9cision de para\u00eetre pr\u00e9juger de 13 mois du r\u00e9sultat du vote de novembre 2008, ou bien de nous donner les r\u00e9sultats de novembre 2008, 13 mois \u00e0 l’avance John Hamre \u00e0 la t\u00eate du DPB, c’est comme si nous connaissions, en plus<\/strong> du nom du 44\u00e8me POTUS (et \u00e9ventuellement<\/a> du Vice-Roi Bill et du secr\u00e9taire d’Etat Holbrooke), celui du nouveau secr\u00e9taire \u00e0 la d\u00e9fense succ\u00e9dant en janvier 2009, en toute complicit\u00e9, \u00e0 Robert Gates.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t(John Hamre<\/a> est \u00e9videmment un homme s\u00fbr. Il a \u00e9t\u00e9 n\u00b02 du Pentagone du temps de Clinton. Homme de qualit\u00e9, sp\u00e9cialiste des questions de d\u00e9fense, l’armement surtout, dont la vision a \u00e9t\u00e9 \u00e9largie par la pr\u00e9sidence du CSIS de Georgetown University, il sera un parfait homme de transition et un parfait \u00e9ventuel futur secr\u00e9taire \u00e0 la d\u00e9fense. Continuit\u00e9 assur\u00e9e.)<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\tIl s’agit d’une initiative vraiment extraordinaire, qui pourrait figurer plus tard, selon sa fortune, comme une sorte de coup d’Etat soft<\/em> avec lequel tout le monde est d’accord. Toutes les coutumes sont bouscul\u00e9es, comme si le temps se raccourcissait. (La logique traditionnelle aurait voulu que Hamre soit nomm\u00e9 \u00e0 ce poste en novembre 2008, au lendemain de l’\u00e9lection pr\u00e9sidentielle, avec une victoire d\u00e9mocrate la veille.) C’est comme s’il \u00e9tait demand\u00e9 \u00e0 tout le monde, aux adversaires d\u00e9mocrates d’Hillary durant les primaires, \u00e0 l’adversaire r\u00e9publicain du candidat d\u00e9mocrate Hillary Clinton \u00e0 partir de septembre 2008, accessoirement aux \u00e9lecteurs US en novembre 2008, de se rassembler derri\u00e8re la future pr\u00e9sidente, en fait ex-future pr\u00e9sidente puisque pas loin d’\u00eatre d’ores et d\u00e9j\u00e0 pr\u00e9sidente, c’est-\u00e0-dire d’ores et d\u00e9j\u00e0 \u00e9lue.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\tIl est possible, c’est-\u00e0-dire qu’il est probable et m\u00eame plus que les derniers engagements de Hillary, notamment son vote favorable \u00e0 la motion du S\u00e9nat demandant la d\u00e9signation des Gardiens de la R\u00e9volution iraniens comme organisation terroriste, aient rassur\u00e9 compl\u00e8tement son futur pr\u00e9d\u00e9cesseur, GW; ou bien ce vote fait-il partie du march\u00e9 Lee Sustar, sur le site CounterPunch<\/em> ce 5 octobre<\/a>, nous fait, avec un \u00e9coeurement manifeste, un tableau \u00e9difiant de l’\u00e9volution du parti d\u00e9mocrate, Hillary en t\u00eate.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00ab Voting to declare one of Iran’s security forces a terrorist organization. Authorizing yet more funding for Bush’s war on Iraq. Declaring that U.S. troops might occupy Iraq until at least January 2013.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00bbSounds like the posturing of one of the whatshisnames running for the Republican presidential nomination. But these are the policies and political positions of the Democratic Congress and its leading presidential contenders.<\/em>\u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\tL’establishment<\/em> resserre les rangs. Il d\u00e9signe de facto<\/em> le prochain pr\u00e9sident. Tout le monde est d’accord parce que tout le monde est sur la m\u00eame gal\u00e8re. L’administration Billary sait d\u00e9j\u00e0 la politique qui l’attend et Bill fourbit<\/a> ses arguments pour convaincre le Rest Of the World<\/em> que America the Beautiful<\/em> est de retour. Il aura fort \u00e0 faire, malgr\u00e9 la bonne volont\u00e9 de ROW. Quels que soient les arrangements de l’establishment<\/em>, la gal\u00e8re tangue de plus en plus et il sera difficile de lui donner l’allure d’un yacht flambant neuf de milliardaire nouveau riche. L’affaire des pr\u00e9misses de la succession est si bien trouss\u00e9e qu’on ne r\u00e9siste pas \u00e0 l’hypoth\u00e8se de consid\u00e9rer comme tr\u00e8s possible que les arrangements en question n’arrangent rien du tout, selon la longue tradition des planifications washingtoniennes d\u00e9bouchant sur des catastrophes. <\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\tD’autre part Ah oui, les Am\u00e9ricains votent en novembre 2008. La d\u00e9mocratie existe. Et s’ils nous faisaient une surprise, les Am\u00e9ricains? Lee Sustar remarque: \u00abBut the anger among ordinary people that made itself felt in the 2006 elections over the war specifically, and falling standards of livings for worker more generally hasn’t gone away.<\/em>\u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\tPuis Sustar cite Frank Rich, pour nous confirmer cette \u00e9vidence que ce syst\u00e8me n’a cess\u00e9 de pr\u00e9parer ses coups, ses ambitions, ses desseins, pour se tromper avec une r\u00e9gularit\u00e9 qui en dit long et qui pourrait nous para\u00eetre prometteuse<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00abSo nothing can go wrong for the Democrats? wrote New York Times columnist Frank Rich. Of course it can. Rich points out that the Washington insiders who have already anointed Hillary Clinton as the next president are the same political pros who predicted that scandal would force an early end to the Clinton presidency and that Mission Accomplished’ augured victory in Iraq and long-lasting Republican rule.<\/em>\u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\tSomme toute, m\u00eame si tout est pr\u00e9vu, et parce que<\/strong> tout est pr\u00e9vu, les 13 mois \u00e0 venir ne manqueront pas de piquant.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Hillary est-elle d\u00e9j\u00e0 \u00e9lue? 7 octobre 2007 GW isol\u00e9? La politique belliciste US r\u00e9duite \u00e0 la folie du roi George? Ces clich\u00e9s pour commentateurs parisiens ne sont pas du go\u00fbt de l’establishment. Catastrophe ou pas, on est dans la m\u00eame gal\u00e8re. Et il se produit un fait extraordinaire. Le Sunday Times de ce jour nous… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"neve_meta_sidebar":"","neve_meta_container":"","neve_meta_enable_content_width":"","neve_meta_content_width":0,"neve_meta_title_alignment":"","neve_meta_author_avatar":"","neve_post_elements_order":"","neve_meta_disable_header":"","neve_meta_disable_footer":"","neve_meta_disable_title":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[10],"tags":[7104,3984,4144,3278,4377,3014,3248],"class_list":["post-69296","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-faits-et-commentaires","tag-billary","tag-gates","tag-hamre","tag-hillary","tag-petagone","tag-systeme","tag-washington"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/69296","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=69296"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/69296\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=69296"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=69296"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=69296"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}