{"id":69353,"date":"2007-10-24T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2007-10-24T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/2007\/10\/24\/la-proposition-us-sur-la-bmde-semble-bien-du-type-asymetrique\/"},"modified":"2007-10-24T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2007-10-24T00:00:00","slug":"la-proposition-us-sur-la-bmde-semble-bien-du-type-asymetrique","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/2007\/10\/24\/la-proposition-us-sur-la-bmde-semble-bien-du-type-asymetrique\/","title":{"rendered":"La proposition US sur la BMDE semble bien du type \u201casym\u00e9trique\u201d"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><p>La question des anti-missiles US en Europe ne cesse d&rsquo;\u00eatre de plus en plus caract\u00e9ris\u00e9e par l&rsquo;ambigu\u00eft\u00e9 et le soup\u00e7on en g\u00e9n\u00e9ral fond\u00e9, apr\u00e8s les derni\u00e8res propositions US. Pendant que nous parlons d&rsquo;<a href=\"http:\/\/www.dedefensa.org\/article.php?art_id=4564\" class=\"gen\">atmosph\u00e8re<\/a>, les propositions US d\u00e9taill\u00e9es par le secr\u00e9taire \u00e0 la d\u00e9fense Gates sont pr\u00e9sent\u00e9es et comment\u00e9es. Un commentaire nous a arr\u00eat\u00e9s, dans l&rsquo;article que le <em>Guardian<\/em> consacre <a href=\"http:\/\/www.guardian.co.uk\/usa\/story\/0,,2197766,00.html\" class=\"gen\">aujourd&rsquo;hui<\/a> \u00e0 cette affaire.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\t\u00ab<em>Jonathan Eyal, the director of international security studies at the Royal United Services Institute, said the American offer was too one-sided to form the basis of a sustainable agreement. All the American concessions are reversible, literally with a switch of a button, but the concessions the Americans are asking of the Russians are irreversible, he said. Those concessions include a harder line on Iran and acceptance of independence for Kosovo.<\/em>\u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\tLe commentaire de Eyal propose une interpr\u00e9tation plus nette des propositions US que celles donn\u00e9es jusqu&rsquo;ici, notamment par l&rsquo;International <em>Herald Tribune<\/em> (voir notre <em>Bloc-Notes<\/em> du <a href=\"http:\/\/www.dedefensa.org\/article.php?art_id=4551\" class=\"gen\">21 octobre<\/a>).<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\t D&rsquo;une part, il met bien en \u00e9vidence le caract\u00e8re extr\u00eamement virtualiste des concessions US, qui se r\u00e9sument pour l&rsquo;instant \u00e0 un bouton sur lequel on appuie ou on n&rsquo;appuie pas (diff\u00e9rence entre un r\u00e9seau de missiles anti-missiles activ\u00e9 ou pas). Il l&rsquo;oppose aux concessions demand\u00e9es en \u00e9change \u00e0 Moscou, justement qualifi\u00e9es d&rsquo;irr\u00e9versibles.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\t C&rsquo;est l&rsquo;interpr\u00e9tation que Eyal donne de ces concessions demand\u00e9es aux Russes. On connaissait les demandes concernant un durcissement de la position russe vis-\u00e0-vis de l&rsquo;Iran, on savait que le Kosovo \u00e9tait impliqu\u00e9 \u00e9galement dans la proposition US, mais on ignorait qu&rsquo;il s&rsquo;agisse aussi clairement d&rsquo;une demande d&rsquo;acceptation par les Russes de l&rsquo;ind\u00e9pendance du Kosovo. Si cela s&rsquo;av\u00e8re \u00eatre le cas, les demandes US sont effectivement extravagantes par rapport \u00e0 ce qui est offert au niveau de la BMDE.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\tEyal consid\u00e8re logiquement, que les propositions US ne constituent pas la base d&rsquo;un accord tenable. L&rsquo;esprit de la proposition US est d&rsquo;ailleurs singulier et pourrait \u00eatre caract\u00e9ris\u00e9 par le qualificatif d&rsquo;asym\u00e9trique. Les USA ont eux-m\u00eames cr\u00e9\u00e9 le probl\u00e8me central (la BMDE) et demandent aux Russes des concessions significatives dans d&rsquo;autres domaines alors qu&rsquo;ils ne font que des concessions r\u00e9versibles sur ce probl\u00e8me central. Si les termes de la proposition US suivent bien l&rsquo;interpr\u00e9tation d&rsquo;Eyal, l&rsquo;intervention US, faite, selon le titre du <em>Guardian<\/em>, pour apaiser Moscou, a toutes les chances de produire l&rsquo;effet contraire.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p><p>\tMis en ligne le 24 octobre 2007 \u00e0 07H42<\/p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>La question des anti-missiles US en Europe ne cesse d&rsquo;\u00eatre de plus en plus caract\u00e9ris\u00e9e par l&rsquo;ambigu\u00eft\u00e9 et le soup\u00e7on en g\u00e9n\u00e9ral fond\u00e9, apr\u00e8s les derni\u00e8res propositions US. Pendant que nous parlons d&rsquo;atmosph\u00e8re, les propositions US d\u00e9taill\u00e9es par le secr\u00e9taire \u00e0 la d\u00e9fense Gates sont pr\u00e9sent\u00e9es et comment\u00e9es. Un commentaire nous a arr\u00eat\u00e9s, dans l&rsquo;article&hellip;&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"neve_meta_sidebar":"","neve_meta_container":"","neve_meta_enable_content_width":"","neve_meta_content_width":0,"neve_meta_title_alignment":"","neve_meta_author_avatar":"","neve_post_elements_order":"","neve_meta_disable_header":"","neve_meta_disable_footer":"","neve_meta_disable_title":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[4314,7164,7165,2671],"class_list":["post-69353","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-bloc-notes","tag-bmde","tag-eyal","tag-proposition","tag-us"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/69353","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=69353"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/69353\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=69353"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=69353"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=69353"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}