\t28 d\u00e9cembre 2007 L’assassinat de Benazir Bhutto est un de ces actes tragiques qu’on pouvait ais\u00e9ment pr\u00e9voir, y compris elle-m\u00eame. Dans sa premi\u00e8re r\u00e9action \u00e0 l’\u00e9v\u00e9nement, hier<\/a> sur son site The Washington Note<\/em>, Steve Clemons (qui faisait partie des contacts proches de Bhutto \u00e0 Washington) \u00e9crit:<\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00abI met Bhutto during one of her recent trips through Washington in a session arranged by Harlan Ullman and I found her powerfully eloquent. She acknowledged to the group she was meeting that she was willing to risk her life to try and achieve a different course in Pakistan. I thought at the time that her chances of survival were low in the cauldron of a political scene that requires political leaders to mix with the masses.<\/em>\u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n \tAutre opinion int\u00e9ressante, celle de Tariq Ali, Britannique d’origine pakistanaise, de tendance de gauche extr\u00eame (il fut un leader \u00e9tudiant contestataire dans les ann\u00e9es 1960) et certainement pas politiquement proche de Butto. Dans le Guardian<\/em> d’aujourd’hui<\/a>: <\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00abEven those of us sharply critical of Benazir Bhutto’s behaviour and policies both while she was in office and more recently are stunned and angered by her death. Indignation and fear stalk the country once again.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00bbAn odd coexistence of military despotism and anarchy created the conditions leading to her assassination in Rawalpindi yesterday. In the past, military rule was designed to preserve order and did so for a few years. No longer. Today it creates disorder and promotes lawlessness. How else can one explain the sacking of the chief justice and eight other judges of the country’s supreme court for attempting to hold the government’s intelligence agencies and the police accountable to courts of law? Their replacements lack the backbone to do anything, let alone conduct a proper inquest into the misdeeds of the agencies to uncover the truth behind the carefully organised killing of a major political leader.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00bbHow can Pakistan today be anything but a conflagration of despair? It is assumed that the killers were jihadi fanatics. This may well be true, but were they acting on their own?<\/em>\u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n \tEffectivement, la question est pos\u00e9e de l’origine et des buts de l’assassinat, ce qui est l’in\u00e9vitable ran\u00e7on du d\u00e9sordre. Outre l’\u00e9vidente explication des jihadi fanatics<\/em>, certains affirment que Bhutto voulait rapprocher le Pakistan d’Isra\u00ebl et adopter l’\u00e9conomie de march\u00e9, ce qui aurait conduit certains groupes \u00e0 vouloir sa liquidation. D’autres avancent une explication inverse: ce sont les faucons US (avec l’aide d’\u00e9l\u00e9ments isra\u00e9liens?) qui auraient commandit\u00e9 l’assassinat, pour relancer la tension et permettre une intervention US qui se ferait, pourquoi pas? contre l’Iran. Le bon g\u00e9n\u00e9ral Musharaff est \u00e9galement pr\u00e9sent, comme il l’\u00e9tait dans l’esprit<\/a> de Bhutto, pour une \u00e9ventuelle explication. Toute explication a sa coh\u00e9rence aujourd’hui, ce qui est effectivement le signe le plus s\u00fbr du d\u00e9sordre.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n \tEt le Pakistan d’apr\u00e8s Bhutto? Les opinions varient dans le registre du pessimisme, toutes rassembl\u00e9es effectivement dans la perspective d’une situation aggrav\u00e9e. Un autre facteur qui fait l’unanimit\u00e9 est le constat que la politique US au Pakistan se trouve proche de l’impasse. Le m\u00eame Clemons a \u00e9t\u00e9 interview\u00e9 par RAW Story<\/em>, hier soir<\/a>:<\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00bbWhen people aren’t looking, you have a question of command and control of their nuclear warheads, Steve Clemons, a senior fellow at The New America Foundation, said in an interview Thursday.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00bbClemons said Bhutto’s assassination could cause the Doomsday Clock’ to tick forward. The Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists maintains the clock, which depicts how close the world is to midnight, representing a nuclear catastrophe. At the beginning of this year, the clock was set at 11:55 p.m.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00bbI think we’ve moved closer to midnight … to a potential apocalyptic situation, Clemons said. It doesn’t mean we’re going to get there, but we have moved closer.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00bbBased on conversations he’s had with associates of Bhutto, Clemons predicted the country would not disintegrate. However, he told RAW STORY that Bhutto’s death likely would prevent next month’s scheduled election and could lead to more security crackdowns against Pakistani citizens.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n