26 janvier<\/a> une description comment\u00e9e de cette situation.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n\t\u00abAs expected, blacks made up half the voters in Saturday’s contest, slightly outnumbering whites and making up by far their biggest share in any presidential contest so far this year. Obama won about eight in 10 of their votes, with black men and women supporting the Illinois senator by about that same margin, according to preliminary results from exit polls of Democratic voters conducted Saturday for The Associated Press and the networks.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n\t\u00bbClinton and Edwards split the white vote about equally, with each getting support from nearly four in 10 and Obama getting about a quarter. Obama’s high-water mark among white voters so far this year has been the 36 percent he got in New Hampshire, where he finished second overall to Clinton; he also got a third of the white vote in the year’s first contest in Iowa, enough for him to win overall in that state.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n\t\u00bbHighlighting the decisive role race seemed to play in Saturday’s voting, about eight in 10 of Obama’s votes came from blacks. About six in 10 of Clinton’s, and nearly all of Edwards’, came from whites.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n\t\u00bbRacial attitudes were also in play in voters’ perceptions of how effective the candidates would be if elected. Whites were nearly twice as likely to name Clinton over Obama as being most qualified to be commander-in-chief and likeliest to unite the country, while blacks named Obama over Clinton by even stronger margins in both areas.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n\t\u00bbFollowing a week of sharp attacks between the Obama and Clinton campaigns in which race became a factor, Obama’s relatively small share of white supporters in South Carolina could raise questions about his ability to attract those voters in the crucial Super Tuesday contests on Feb. 5, when nearly half the country will vote.<\/em>\u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n\tCette orientation est largement favoris\u00e9e par les Clinton (Hillary et Bill, avec Bill dans le r\u00f4le du bad cop<\/em>), pr\u00e9cis\u00e9ment Bill qui attaque cruellement Obama pour l’enfermer dans le r\u00f4le du candidat des Noirs en le comparant \u00e0 Jesse Jackson. (Jackson, candidat en 1984 et en 1988, faisant ces deux campagnes sp\u00e9cifiquement comme candidat des Noirs. Bill Clinton r\u00e9pondant le 26 janvier \u00e0 David Wright, de ABC.News<\/em> : \u00abJesse Jackson won South Carolina in ’84 and ’88. Jackson ran a good campaign. And Obama ran a good campaign here.<\/em>\u00bb). C’est une tactique \u00e9vidente du clan Clinton. Au plus Obama est enferm\u00e9 dans sa position de candidat des Noirs, au moins il a de chance d’\u00eatre un candidat d’union capable de rassembler une majorit\u00e9 du parti d\u00e9mocrate.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n\tL’\u00e9volution de la campagne d\u00e9mocrate, avec ses rebondissements qui favorisent la radicalisation des deux principaux concurrents en exacerbant leur antagonisme, suit une voie d\u00e9sormais classique de mont\u00e9e aux extr\u00eames. L’aventure risque de d\u00e9chirer le parti d\u00e9mocrate et, surtout, de ranimer les tensions raciales. Elle divise d’ores et d\u00e9j\u00e0 cette campagne pr\u00e9sidentielle 2008 en deux campagnes pr\u00e9sidentielles bien distinctes, chacune avec ses incertitudes et les incertitudes de l’une alimentant les incertitudes de l’autre. La premi\u00e8re campagne est effectivement celle qui oppose Clinton \u00e0 Obama avec l’affrontement et les risques de division qu’on a vus. Au terme de cette premi\u00e8re campagne, une situation diff\u00e9rente existera, notamment avec la question de savoir si le parti d\u00e9mocrate aura toujours la position de favori qu’il avait l’automne dernier. En face, il y aura un parti r\u00e9publicain d’autant plus inclin\u00e9 \u00e0 monter aux extr\u00eames contre le d\u00e9mocrate qu’il aura craint longtemps une d\u00e9route. Si John McCain est d\u00e9sign\u00e9 du c\u00f4t\u00e9 r\u00e9publicain (hypoth\u00e8se favoris\u00e9e actuellement), cet extr\u00eame sera une r\u00e9affirmation tonitruante de la politique belliciste de l’administration Bush. Encore n’\u00e9voque-t-on pas la possibilit\u00e9 d’une candidature ind\u00e9pendante puissante qui favorisera encore la radicalisation g\u00e9n\u00e9rale. La perspective est le contraire de ce qu’on attend (esp\u00e8re) apr\u00e8s l’administration Bush, le contraire d’un apaisement autour d’une campagne d’union et de rassemblement.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n
\tMis en ligne le 28 janvier 2008 \u00e0 05H10<\/p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Grande et nette victoire de Barack Obama dans la primaire de Caroline du Sud: 55% contre 27% \u00e0 Hillary Clinton et 18% \u00e0 Edwards. Mais une victoire qui va peut-\u00eatre enfermer Obama dans une strat\u00e9gie \u00e9ventuellement perdante, dans tous les cas tr\u00e8s difficile \u00e0 conduire \u00e0 terme. Obama se bat depuis le d\u00e9but pour ne… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"neve_meta_sidebar":"","neve_meta_container":"","neve_meta_enable_content_width":"","neve_meta_content_width":0,"neve_meta_title_alignment":"","neve_meta_author_avatar":"","neve_post_elements_order":"","neve_meta_disable_header":"","neve_meta_disable_footer":"","neve_meta_disable_title":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[3156,934,2997,7316,2834,6208,6449],"class_list":["post-69638","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-bloc-notes","tag-aux","tag-clinton","tag-extremes","tag-montee","tag-noirs","tag-obama","tag-radicalisation"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/69638","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=69638"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/69638\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=69638"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=69638"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=69638"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}