Une curiosit\u00e9 significative des commentaires de la campagne \u00e9lectorale US est qu’\u00e0 un jour d’intervalle, des analystes qu’on doit tenir pour s\u00e9rieux, quel que soient leurs partis-pris qui sont plus ou moins marqu\u00e9s mais sans cons\u00e9quence pour ce cas, disent exactement le contraire \u00e0 propos de cette campagne. Cela ne signifie pas que ces analystes ont perdu la t\u00eate mais, plut\u00f4t, que la campagne est folle, et qu’elle commence \u00e9galement \u00e0 se fatiguer jusqu’\u00e0 offrir un visage incoh\u00e9rent.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n
\t D’une part, l’Observer<\/em> du 9 mars<\/a> consacre un long article \u00e0 la campagne, d’une fa\u00e7on g\u00e9n\u00e9rale, d\u00e9mocrates et r\u00e9publicains confondus, pour constater que la r\u00e9cession, la catastrophique situation \u00e9conomique US, fait une entr\u00e9e tonitruante dans les d\u00e9bats. Cela devrait notamment pousser les deux candidats \u00e0 la d\u00e9signation d\u00e9mocrate vers une position plus populiste, vers la gauche.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00abThe prospect of recession is looming over the American presidential election campaign, amid a wave of job losses and collapsing home prices that could see the political battle being fought in the middle of an economy in crisis.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00bbLast week was marked by rising oil prices, tens of thousands of lost jobs and plummeting share prices that will have a profound impact on the candidates vying to succeed President George W Bush.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00bbSome experts believe the bad news could boost the chances of Hillary Clinton. She has scored wins against rival Barack Obama in states such as Ohio, where the economy is a dominating local issue. But the Obama campaign had a much-needed boost last night as he won the Wyoming caucuses 58 per cent to 41 with most of the votes counted. His win appeared to have been propelled by the heavy turnout of voters, especially among the state’s college students.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00bbThough Wyoming’s caucuses are worth just 12 of the vital convention delegates needed to clinch the Democratic nomination, the win is never the less a boost to the Obama campaign.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00bbClinton’s victories last week have allowed her to paint herself as a comeback candidate. As the economy falters yet further, it could provide Clinton’s revitalised campaign with more momentum, especially since the next key electoral battleground is Pennsylvania, which has a similar social make-up to Ohio. However, Obama has also struck a more populist economic tone in recent weeks, seeking to capitalise on middle-class fears over vulnerable jobs and losing their homes.<\/em>\u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t Pour WSWS.org<\/em> de ce jour<\/a>, au contraire, c’est la question de l\u00e0 s\u00e9curit\u00e9 nationale qui s’impose (\u00e0 nouveau?) comme th\u00e8me central de la campagne. Il s’agit notamment d’une manuvre de Clinton pour isoler Obama et le forcer dans des positions d\u00e9fensives. Cons\u00e9quence selon WSWS.org<\/em>: toute la campagne est en train d’\u00e9voluer vers la droite, et particuli\u00e8rement les deux candidats d\u00e9mocrates.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00bbWhatever the final outcome, this increasingly intense political battle is pushing both Democratic candidates sharply to the right.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00bbClinton’s position has begun to largely dovetail with that of McCain, with both running principally on their supposed qualifications to serve as the US commander in chief, and both having launched attacks on Obama, questioning his own credentials on this score.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00bbThe New York senator and former First Lady spelled out her national security campaign at an extraordinary press conference in Washington, DC last Thursday in which she surrounded herself with 13 retired senior military officers and appeared before a massed array of American flags. The assembled top brass were invited to weigh in on Clinton’s national security capabilities and Obama’s lack thereof.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t()<\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00bbIn her own remarks to the media following her appearance with the former members of the top brass, Clinton elaborated on her national security campaign by building up the Republican Party’s presumptive presidential nominee, Senator John McCain, while tearing down her fellow Democrat, Obama.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00bb I think that since we now know Senator McCain will be the nominee for the Republican Party, national security will be front and center in this election. We all know that, Clinton told reporters. And I think it’s imperative that each of us be able to demonstrate we can cross the commander-in-chief threshold.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00bbPraising McCain as a good friend and a distinguished man with a great history of service to our country, she affirmed that both she and McCain had crossed this threshold. As for her Democratic opponent: You’ll have to ask Senator Obama with respect to his candidacy.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00bbLeaving no room for ambiguity in her message, Clinton stressed that both she and McCain bring a lifetime of experience to the campaign, while Senator Obama will bring a speech he gave in 2002, when he spoke out against the impending Iraq war while serving in the Illinois state senate.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00bbClinton’s right-wing campaign on national security has proven effective, putting the Obama campaign itself on the defensive, pushing it to the right and provoking evident disarray.<\/em>\u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n \tEst-il utile de trancher? Deux analyses si oppos\u00e9es, menant \u00e0 deux conclusions si oppos\u00e9es, l’une et l’autre appuy\u00e9es sur des arguments solides et sur une logique imparable. La derni\u00e8re primaire (Wyoming) a donn\u00e9 une victoire remarquable de Obama (58% contre 41%) mais un nombre presque \u00e9quivalent de d\u00e9l\u00e9gu\u00e9s (7 pour Obama, 5 pour Clinton). De ce point de vue, \u00e9galement, la campagne est confuse et il semble de plus en plus que les primaires ne d\u00e9partageront pas les deux candidats d\u00e9mocrates et que l’on devra en venir pour d\u00e9signer le vainqueur \u00e0 diverses affaires pol\u00e9miques, comme notamment la possibilit\u00e9 de faire voter \u00e0 nouveau<\/a> le Michigan et la Floride.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n \tL’impression est celle d’un certain d\u00e9sordre chez les candidats et d’une fatigue des diverses campagnes. (Du c\u00f4t\u00e9 r\u00e9publicain, John McCain n’est pas tellement plus \u00e0 l’aise malgr\u00e9 sa nomination, avec ses multiples probl\u00e8mes personnels et ses probl\u00e8mes vis-\u00e0-vis de sa propre base \u00e9lectorale naturelle.) La violence et la duret\u00e9 des \u00e9changes et des coups bas sont significatives<\/p>\n<\/p>\n \tMais le plus marquant est que cette campagne n’arrive pas \u00e0 d\u00e9gager et \u00e0 imposer ses plus grandes lignes de force (ni ses candidats d\u00e9finitifs) alors que son intensit\u00e9 et sa tension sont consid\u00e9rables. Rien d’assur\u00e9 ne peut \u00eatre dit sur les orientations et les programmes des candidats, comme le montrent les deux interpr\u00e9tations qui figurent au d\u00e9but de ce texte. Il y a un d\u00e9calage consid\u00e9rable entre cette incertitude et la tension de l’\u00e9lection, qui tient sans doute autant \u00e0 la concurrence entre les uns et les autres qu’\u00e0 la crainte qu’un engagement trop affirm\u00e9 sur un th\u00e8me ou sur l’autre n’aboutisse \u00e0 une perte de contr\u00f4le sous la pression populaire. M\u00eame s’ils sont souvent sur l’offensive les uns par rapport aux autres, les candidats sont tous sur la d\u00e9fensive par rapport \u00e0 la campagne elle-m\u00eame. Notre appr\u00e9ciation est que d’autres surprises sont probables, qui viendront plus s\u00fbrement des \u00e9v\u00e9nements ext\u00e9rieurs et des interventions et pressions des diverses bases populaires, tant celles des partis que celles de l’\u00e9lectorat en g\u00e9n\u00e9ral. <\/p>\n<\/p>\n <\/p>\n \tMis en ligne le 10 mars 2008 \u00e0 13H49<\/p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Une curiosit\u00e9 significative des commentaires de la campagne \u00e9lectorale US est qu’\u00e0 un jour d’intervalle, des analystes qu’on doit tenir pour s\u00e9rieux, quel que soient leurs partis-pris qui sont plus ou moins marqu\u00e9s mais sans cons\u00e9quence pour ce cas, disent exactement le contraire \u00e0 propos de cette campagne. Cela ne signifie pas que ces analystes… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"neve_meta_sidebar":"","neve_meta_container":"","neve_meta_enable_content_width":"","neve_meta_content_width":0,"neve_meta_title_alignment":"","neve_meta_author_avatar":"","neve_post_elements_order":"","neve_meta_disable_header":"","neve_meta_disable_footer":"","neve_meta_disable_title":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[6120,934,7464,2937,6208,5303,4205],"class_list":["post-69741","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-bloc-notes","tag-campagne","tag-clinton","tag-defensiver","tag-nationale","tag-obama","tag-populisme","tag-securite"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/69741","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=69741"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/69741\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=69741"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=69741"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=69741"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}