{"id":69744,"date":"2008-03-11T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2008-03-11T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/2008\/03\/11\/les-retombees-de-la-nie-2007\/"},"modified":"2008-03-11T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2008-03-11T00:00:00","slug":"les-retombees-de-la-nie-2007","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/2008\/03\/11\/les-retombees-de-la-nie-2007\/","title":{"rendered":"Les retomb\u00e9es de la NIE 2007"},"content":{"rendered":"

Il semble qu’il y ait une s\u00e9rieuse \u00e9volution en cours de l’opinion publique mondiale vis-\u00e0-vis de l’Iran. Aujourd’hui<\/a>, sur Antiwar.com<\/em>, Jim Lobe fait un commentaire d’une enqu\u00eate de la BBC sur la question. L’enqu\u00eate est d’une dimension impressionnante (\u00abThe latest BBC poll covered a total of 31 countries, including, for the first time, the five Spanish-speaking Central American countries, and queried some 32,000 adults. It was carried out between early November and late January.<\/em>\u00bb) Suivant une enqu\u00eate du m\u00eame type de 2006, elle permet de distinguer effectivement l’\u00e9volution du sentiment de ce qu’on pourrait d\u00e9signer comme l’opinion publique mondiale, qui est d\u00e9sormais fortement en faveur d’une approche beaucoup plus conciliante de la crise iranienne.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\tUn point tr\u00e8s int\u00e9ressant concerne les rapports de cette enqu\u00eate avec la NIE 2007<\/a>. Le constat est fait par les enqu\u00eateurs que l’influence du document (qui a \u00e9t\u00e9 publi\u00e9 en diverses phases entre le 29 novembre et le 3 d\u00e9cembre 2007) a \u00e9t\u00e9 d\u00e9terminante pour orienter l’opinion vers une approche beaiucoup plus conciliante (Dans l’extrait ci-dessous, Lobe cite Steven Kull, qui est pr\u00e9sent\u00e9 comme \u00abdirector of the University of Maryland’s Program on International Policy Attitudes (PIPA), which helped design and conduct the survey, along with the private firm Globescan.<\/em>\u00bb)<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00abMost of the polling, however, took place after the release by the administration of U.S. President George W. Bush in late November of a National Intelligence Estimate (NIE) on Iran’s nuclear program.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00bbContrary to its earlier estimates, the NIE concluded that Iran had suspended one key part of what its authors claimed had been a secret nuclear weapons program in 2003. Iran has long denied that any intention to develop or obtain nuclear weapons, either secretly or otherwise.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00bbThe release of the report, which U.S. neoconservatives and other hawks have argued was deeply flawed, nonetheless appeared to put an abrupt halt to efforts by these same forces both inside and outside the administration to rally public opinion behind a possible military attack on Tehran before Bush leaves office in January 2009.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00bbKull told IPS that he thought the NIE’s conclusions and the way they were reported in the press clearly had an impact not only on U.S. public opinion, but on public sentiment abroad as well.<\/em>\u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\tCette enqu\u00eate peut \u00eatre consid\u00e9r\u00e9e comme une confirmation int\u00e9ressante de l’impact de la NIE 2007 sur la politique de s\u00e9curit\u00e9 nationale et sur la perception publique de la crise iranienne. Elle justifie plus encore l’appr\u00e9ciation<\/a> que nous avons donn\u00e9e de la publication de la NIE, comme d’une arme politique de premi\u00e8re importance contre une politique \u00e0 pr\u00e9tention belliciste suivie par l’administration GW Bush. Elle renforce l’appr\u00e9ciation que nous avons d’une \u00e9poque o\u00f9 la communication joue un r\u00f4le essentiel de cr\u00e9atrice de puissance politique, par les effets indirects puissants qu’elle suscite. Devant une telle \u00e9volution de l’opinion publique, la perspective d’une attaque contre l’Iran continue \u00e0 se transformer en une possibilit\u00e9 de plus en plus irr\u00e9aliste, sinon surr\u00e9aliste. De m\u00eame, les politiques dures des pays occidentaux, notamment de la France sarkozyste, apparaissent de plus en plus infond\u00e9es et d\u00e9nu\u00e9es de toute substance s\u00e9rieuse.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

\tMis en ligne le 11 mars 2008 \u00e0 10H27<\/p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Il semble qu’il y ait une s\u00e9rieuse \u00e9volution en cours de l’opinion publique mondiale vis-\u00e0-vis de l’Iran. Aujourd’hui, sur Antiwar.com, Jim Lobe fait un commentaire d’une enqu\u00eate de la BBC sur la question. L’enqu\u00eate est d’une dimension impressionnante (\u00abThe latest BBC poll covered a total of 31 countries, including, for the first time, the five… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"neve_meta_sidebar":"","neve_meta_container":"","neve_meta_enable_content_width":"","neve_meta_content_width":0,"neve_meta_title_alignment":"","neve_meta_author_avatar":"","neve_post_elements_order":"","neve_meta_disable_header":"","neve_meta_disable_footer":"","neve_meta_disable_title":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[5963,2773,1094,5085,3455,3456],"class_list":["post-69744","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-bloc-notes","tag-5963","tag-iran","tag-lobe","tag-nie","tag-opinion","tag-publique"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/69744","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=69744"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/69744\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=69744"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=69744"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=69744"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}