Nous avons d\u00e9j\u00e0 not\u00e9 combien nous jugions essentielle l’observation de l’\u00e9conomie Joseph Stiglitz sur le r\u00f4le fondamental du co\u00fbt de la guerre en Irak comme l’une des causes principales de la crise financi\u00e8re\/\u00e9cionomique aux USA. (Voir nos F&C<\/em> du 8 mars<\/a> et du 17 mars<\/a>.) Il est int\u00e9ressant d’observer que cette th\u00e8se est aujourd’hui en train de se r\u00e9pandre.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n \tC’est le cas pour Richard Vague, dont la formation est int\u00e9ressante par rapport \u00e0 cette prise de position puisque ce r\u00e9publicain mod\u00e9r\u00e9 est un businessman<\/em>, co-fondateur et CEO de First USA Bank, qui g\u00e9n\u00e9ralisa l’usage des cartes de cr\u00e9dit. Vague est aussi l’auteur de Terrorism: A Brief for Americans<\/em>, et engag\u00e9 dans l’activit\u00e9 d’une organisme de r\u00e9flexion sur l’engagement US dans les probl\u00e8mes globaux.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n \tDans The Washington Note<\/em> du 20 mars<\/a>, Vague d\u00e9veloppe rapidement ses id\u00e9es sur le th\u00e8me \u00e9voqu\u00e9 ci-dessus, notamment en y ajoutant l’id\u00e9e que la crise \u00e9conomique actuelle aux USA ne sera pas r\u00e9solue tant que la guerre en Irak se poursuivra.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00abThe U.S. economy will not start truly getting better until we stop spending on this war. That should be page one and line one on any national agenda. Yet while congress enacts programs and candidates make promises that will at best have marginal economic impact, we continue to squander a quarter of a trillion dollars or more each year in Iraq.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00bbThe Democrats, whose job it should be to bring this war’s end, are instead lulled by polls that show that the economy has surpassed the war as voters’ greatest concern thus missing the fact that our current woes stem directly from the $3 trillion being spent in total on Iraq.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00bbThis war is one of few, if any, that have been prosecuted without tax support, and it instead has proceeded in the wake of a tax cut. (Full disclosure I loathe tax increases and instead wish the war had never been fought.) Rather, this war has been financed by a massive increase in debt and by printing reams of new money, thus bringing inflation–which Reagan rightly called the cruelest tax.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00bbThe rapid rise in energy and food prices and decline of the dollar against the world’s other currencies are in part evidence of this. Any market economy is subject to intermittent economic shocks in my lifetime there have been the S&L crisis, the oil embargo crisis, the internet bubble, and now the subprime crisis, to name just a few. The difference this time is that the war has depleted our capacity to respond, and will therefore double the financial anguish. We are now re-entering the unpleasant world of Jimmy Carter’s stagflation.<\/em>\u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n \tPosition int\u00e9ressante, d’abord pour l’id\u00e9e dynamique qu’elle introduite. A la liaison faite entre la guerre et la crise d’une fa\u00e7on g\u00e9n\u00e9rale (Stiglitz) s’ajoute la remarque explicite et d\u00e9cisive que la crise financi\u00e8re et \u00e9conomique ne pourra \u00eatre r\u00e9solue tant que la guerre en Irak durera dans les conditions actuelles. C’est \u00e9tablir un lien potentiellement r\u00e9volutionnaire, d’abord en mariant intimement la strat\u00e9gie et l’\u00e9conomique; ensuite, plus pr\u00e9cis\u00e9ment en affirmant in fine<\/em>: l’actuelle politique expansionniste et belliciste implique la ruine de l’Am\u00e9rique. Il s’agit \u00e9videmment d’une id\u00e9e r\u00e9volutionnaire de mise en cause indirecte des ambitions imp\u00e9riales des USA, qui n’avait cours jusqu’ici que dans des milieux dissidents.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n \tPosition int\u00e9ressante \u00e9galement, parce qu’elle montre que le th\u00e8me g\u00e9n\u00e9ral guerre-crise \u00e9conomique est en train de p\u00e9n\u00e9trer des milieux autres que les seuls c\u00e9nacles \u00e9conomiques plus ou moins dissidents li\u00e9s \u00e0 Stiglitz. Vague est un homme du business<\/em>, ce qui implique que ce domaine est sensible \u00e0 ces id\u00e9es de Stiglitz. Il publie son article sur le site de Steve Clemons qui partage<\/a> l’analyse de Vague et dont on conna\u00eet l’influence. Les connexions de Clemons impliquent que des hommes comme Hagel<\/a>, dont Clemons est tr\u00e8s proche, devraient \u00eatre eux-m\u00eames influenc\u00e9s d\u00e9sormais par cette th\u00e8se. <\/p>\n<\/p>\n <\/p>\n \tMis en ligne le 21 mars 2008 \u00e0 10H26<\/p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Nous avons d\u00e9j\u00e0 not\u00e9 combien nous jugions essentielle l’observation de l’\u00e9conomie Joseph Stiglitz sur le r\u00f4le fondamental du co\u00fbt de la guerre en Irak comme l’une des causes principales de la crise financi\u00e8re\/\u00e9cionomique aux USA. (Voir nos F&C du 8 mars et du 17 mars.) Il est int\u00e9ressant d’observer que cette th\u00e8se est aujourd’hui en… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"neve_meta_sidebar":"","neve_meta_container":"","neve_meta_enable_content_width":"","neve_meta_content_width":0,"neve_meta_title_alignment":"","neve_meta_author_avatar":"","neve_post_elements_order":"","neve_meta_disable_header":"","neve_meta_disable_footer":"","neve_meta_disable_title":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[6179,3228,4751,2645,4841,4975,7483],"class_list":["post-69771","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-bloc-notes","tag-clemons","tag-crise","tag-economique","tag-guerre","tag-hagel","tag-stiglitz","tag-vague"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/69771","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=69771"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/69771\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=69771"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=69771"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=69771"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}