Depuis trois jours, un nouveau courant de violence se r\u00e9pand en Irak, ajoutant une nouvelle dimension<\/a> \u00e0 cette guerre. Pour William S. Lind, le 27 mars<\/a> sur SpaceWar.News<\/em> (UPI), c’est la fin de la tr\u00eave (lull<\/em>)<\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00abMost wars move not at a steady pace but in a series of fits and starts. For about half a year, we have been enjoying something of a lull in the war in Iraq. Anything that reduces casualties is to be welcomed. But the bulletins’ claims that the downward trend in violence will continue should be seen more as political vaporing than military analysis. Events begin to suggest that the lull is ending and Mars is in the ascendant.<\/em>\u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n \tLind analyse rapidement les quatre points qui, selon lui, ont effectivement favoris\u00e9 la tr\u00eave antam\u00e9e \u00e0 partir du printemps 2007, et leur d\u00e9gradation actuelle et parall\u00e8le jusqu’\u00e0 un point o\u00f9 il juge que la violence est repartie au-del\u00e0 du contr\u00f4lable. D’o\u00f9 sa conclusion:<\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00abThe main story of the current lull is one of lost opportunity. Whether soon or in the more distant future, the war in Iraq will get hotter again. The lull gave us what might be our only opportunity to leave Iraq with some tail feathers intact. Just as the Bush administration’s blindness got us into this war, so its rigidity made us pass over our best chance to get out. Like opportunity, Mars, the God of War, only knocks once. Next time, he blows the building.<\/em>\u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n