La candidature Obama (pour le parti d\u00e9mocrate) est d\u00e9sormais bien install\u00e9e et l’on peut commencer \u00e0 en mesurer les caract\u00e9ristiques. Sans aucun doute, il s’agit de caract\u00e9ristiques extr\u00eames, qui en font une candidature \u00e0 la fois exceptionnelle, impr\u00e9visible et sujette \u00e0 des pressions importantes apr\u00e8s son installation, si Obama l’emporte. Parmi divers articles sur le sujet, suite \u00e0 des sondages ces derniers jours, voyez notamment celui du Guardian<\/em> aujourd’hui<\/a>.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t Le facteur race joue un r\u00f4le important, voire tr\u00e8s important, mais d’une fa\u00e7on assez confuse. D’une part, il conduit un nombre plus important de Noirs \u00e0 envisager de voter, et \u00e0 envisager de voter Obama, d’autre part il am\u00e8ne de nombreux Blancs \u00e0 juger le facteur racial important sans pour autant qu’on d\u00e9termine ce que ces \u00e9lecteurs feront eux-m\u00eames par rapport \u00e0 ce facteur.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00abBut the poll, conducted by the Washington Post and ABC television, found that the state of race relations in the US is polarising voters. Almost half of African-American voters described race relations as poor or not so good, while a similar number of white voters said that they were excellent or good.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t()<\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00bbObama’s support among African-Americans has the potential to edge Florida, Virginia and North Carolina to the Democrats in November, assuming he maintains his strong polling numbers among independents and Hispanic voters. A Democratic presidential candidate has not taken Virginia since 1964. Obama also polls well in the key swing states of Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania, where his 90% support among African-American voters has opened an 8-point lead over McCain.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00bbThe latest polling follows earlier surveys which showed white voters happy to elect an African-American to the presidency. Nine out of 10 white voters surveyed in last month’s Washington Post-ABC poll said they would be comfortable with a black president.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00bbHowever the latest poll shows that more than half of white voters surveyed agreed that Obama would be a risky choice, with 60% saying that McCain would be a safe choice.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t Obama distance nettement McCain dans les divers sondages, apr\u00e8s avoir \u00e9t\u00e9 \u00e0 \u00e9galit\u00e9 avec lui, ou l\u00e9g\u00e8rement distanc\u00e9, sur la fin des primaires. C’est manifestement l’effet de sa victoire sur Clinton, dont les cons\u00e9quences s’av\u00e8rent effectivement importantes: \u00abThe <\/em>[ABC\/Washington Post<\/em>] poll found that Obama has a six-point lead over McCain nationwide. Another poll, released by Newsweek magazine, showed Obama with a much wider margin across the nation. Attributing his strong showing to the ending of his tussle with Hillary Clinton for the Democratic nomination, Newsweek reported Obama with a 15-point lead over McCain.<\/em>\u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t Cette impressionnante position d’Obama tient moins \u00e0 sa personne en tant qu’homme politique qu’\u00e0 l’orientation de sa campagne, bas\u00e9e sur le changement et sur la perception d’une candidature sortant de l’ordinaire, et \u00e9ventuellement distanci\u00e9e des orientations classiques washingtoniennes. Il y a une attente presque r\u00e9volutionnaire de la candidature d’Obama : \u00abThe magazine also attributed what it dubbed the Barack bounce to voter dissatisfaction with the current state of the nation. Just 14% of those polled said they were satisfied with the direction of the country.<\/em>\u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n \tCes r\u00e9sultats des sondages montrent d’une fa\u00e7on tr\u00e8s significative que le caract\u00e8re \u00e9nigmatique<\/a> de la candidature d’Obama se retrouve dans le soutien qu’il recueille dans la population. L’\u00e9lan en faveur d’Obama est beaucoup plus un \u00e9lan en faveur d’un symbole, d’une perception, d’un climat que repr\u00e9sente Obama, beaucoup plus que pour l’homme lui-m\u00eame, pour son programme, etc. C’est ce qui fait de cette candidature, qui d\u00e9marre tr\u00e8s puissamment, une candidature \u00e0 la fois fragile et insaisissable, qui pourrait brutalement s’\u00e9crouler ou, au contraire, s’affirmer d’une fa\u00e7on triomphale qui serait sans pr\u00e9c\u00e9dent. M\u00eame dans ce dernier cas, on ne serait encore assur\u00e9 de rien, car l’on retrouverait dans l’\u00e9lection d’Obama, puis dans son installation, les m\u00eames caract\u00e8res \u00e9nigmatiques qu’on a relev\u00e9s.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n \tPlus encore, une \u00e9lection puissante, voire triomphale d’Obama le rendrait comptable d’attentes extr\u00eamement affirm\u00e9es de ses \u00e9lecteurs, Blancs et Noirs, notamment au niveau de l’\u00e9conomie. Ce point semblerait conforter l’id\u00e9e que la pr\u00e9sidence d’Obama devrait, dans tous les cas \u00e0 ses d\u00e9buts, \u00eatre fortement marqu\u00e9e par le domaine int\u00e9rieur, avec une recherche rapide et affirm\u00e9e de la r\u00e9solution de la crise, \u00e9ventuellement avec des mesures importantes et, peut-\u00eatre, r\u00e9volutionnaires. C’est l’avis de certains commentateurs \u00e9conomiques, par exemple celui de Michael Hudson, ancien analyste de wall Street et conseiller \u00e9conomique de Dennis Kucinich durant sa campagne \u00e9lectorale, sur CounterPunch<\/em> les 21-22 juin<\/a>, qui consid\u00e8re qu’Obama devra agir comme Roosevelt apr\u00e8s son \u00e9lection de 1933.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00abI think that at some point Obama will have to tell the public the bad news that restoring vitality will take radical measures probably ones that Congress will try to water down so much that things are going to get worse much worse before the needed reforms will be made. He can say this before taking office, blaming the Republicans for their regressive tax policies and at the same time bringing pressure on the new Democratic Congress to back a return to progressive taxation and serious financial restructuring. As president, he will have to do what FDR did, and challenge the financial oligarchy with new government regulatory agencies staffed with real regulators, not deregulators as under the Bush-Clinton-Bush regime.<\/em>\u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n <\/p>\n \tMis en ligne le 23 juin 2008 \u00e0 12H48<\/p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" La candidature Obama (pour le parti d\u00e9mocrate) est d\u00e9sormais bien install\u00e9e et l’on peut commencer \u00e0 en mesurer les caract\u00e9ristiques. Sans aucun doute, il s’agit de caract\u00e9ristiques extr\u00eames, qui en font une candidature \u00e0 la fois exceptionnelle, impr\u00e9visible et sujette \u00e0 des pressions importantes apr\u00e8s son installation, si Obama l’emporte. Parmi divers articles sur le… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"neve_meta_sidebar":"","neve_meta_container":"","neve_meta_enable_content_width":"","neve_meta_content_width":0,"neve_meta_title_alignment":"","neve_meta_author_avatar":"","neve_post_elements_order":"","neve_meta_disable_header":"","neve_meta_disable_footer":"","neve_meta_disable_title":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[4133,7647,6208,7646,3080],"class_list":["post-69988","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-bloc-notes","tag-candidature","tag-hudson","tag-obama","tag-radicale","tag-roosevelt"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/69988","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=69988"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/69988\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=69988"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=69988"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=69988"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}