{"id":70009,"date":"2008-07-01T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2008-07-01T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/2008\/07\/01\/lanxiete-de-amerique-et-letat-desprit-des-grandes-catastrophes-imminentes\/"},"modified":"2008-07-01T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2008-07-01T00:00:00","slug":"lanxiete-de-amerique-et-letat-desprit-des-grandes-catastrophes-imminentes","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/2008\/07\/01\/lanxiete-de-amerique-et-letat-desprit-des-grandes-catastrophes-imminentes\/","title":{"rendered":"L&rsquo;anxi\u00e9t\u00e9 de Am\u00e9rique et l&rsquo;\u00e9tat d&rsquo;esprit des grandes catastrophes imminentes"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><p>Il est vrai que, parcourant les textes <em>Op-Ed<\/em> de l&rsquo;International <em>Herald Tribune<\/em>, puis, s&rsquo;arr\u00eatant \u00e0 celui-ci, nous nous sommes dit : Tiens, Krugman est bien pessimiste aujourd&rsquo;hui,  pour nous apercevoir, et cela est bien significatif, qu&rsquo;il ne s&rsquo;agissait pas de Paul Krugman mais de Thomas Friedman. Comme tenu des personnalit\u00e9s, des styles et des caract\u00e8res, ce n&rsquo;est pas de bien pessimiste qu&rsquo;il faut qualifier ce texte,  s&rsquo;il \u00e9tait de Krugman,  mais de cr\u00e9pusculaire,  parce qu&rsquo;il est de Friedman.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\tLe gros Thomas Friedman nous dit qu&rsquo;il y a quelques mois, on se demandait qui Obama allait prendre comme vice-pr\u00e9sident(e) pour l&rsquo;aider \u00e0 compenser ce qu&rsquo;on per\u00e7oit comme son manque d&rsquo;exp\u00e9rience en mati\u00e8re de s\u00e9curit\u00e9 nationale. Je pr\u00e9dis, dit-il, qu&rsquo;en ao\u00fbt, \u00e0 la convention d\u00e9mocrate, il choisira son vice-pr\u00e9sident ou sa vice-pr\u00e9sidente pour l&rsquo;aider \u00e0 affronter la crise \u00e9conomique. Il poursuit ses pr\u00e9dictions: ce n&rsquo;est pas l&rsquo;Irak qui comptera durant la campagne, que les choses y aillent mieux ou pire, c&rsquo;est l&rsquo;Am\u00e9rique en crise, l&rsquo;Am\u00e9rique dans la pire des crises. \u00ab<em>I think nation-building in America is going to be the issue.<\/em>\u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\tLes choses ont chang\u00e9, dit-il encore. Oubliez Al Qa\u00efda, le terrorisme, toutes ces choses qui vont appara\u00eetre d\u00e9sormais comme accessoires, futiles,  \u00ab<em>It&rsquo;s the state of America now that is the most gripping source of anxiety for Americans<\/em>\u00bb. Rarement un commentaire aura paru aussi r\u00e9v\u00e9lateur d&rsquo;un \u00e9tat d&rsquo;esprit tournant \u00e0 la perception d&rsquo;une catastrophe imminente, comme celui de Friedman le <a href=\"http:\/\/www.iht.com\/articles\/2008\/06\/29\/opinion\/edfriedman.php\" class=\"gen\">29 juin<\/a> dans The International <em>Herald Tribune<\/em>.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\tUn texte d&rsquo;urgence, un texte de d\u00e9sespoir, un texte pour un temps eschatologique Non seulement les choses paraissent s&rsquo;enfoncer dans la catastrophe, de la crise du p\u00e9trole \u00e0 celle du syst\u00e8me bancaire, \u00e0 celle de l&rsquo;immobilier, \u00e0 celle de l&#8217;emploi; mais, par-dessus tout, celle du syst\u00e8me, impuissant, paralys\u00e9, totalement incapable d&rsquo;appr\u00e9hender la catastrophe qui s&rsquo;\u00e9tend comme une t\u00e2che d&rsquo;huile, totalement inexistant<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\t\u00ab<em>My fellow Americans: We are a country in debt and in decline  not terminal, not irreversible, but in decline. Our political system seems incapable of producing long-range answers to big problems or big opportunities. We are the ones who need a better-functioning democracy &#8211; more than the Iraqis and Afghans. We are the ones in need of nation-building. It is our political system that is not working.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\t\u00bb<em>I continue to be appalled at the gap between what is clearly going to be the next great global industry &#8211; renewable energy and clean power &#8211; and the inability of Congress and the administration to put in place the bold policies we need to ensure that America leads that industry.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\t\u00bb<em>America and its political leaders, after two decades of failing to come together to solve big problems, seem to have lost faith in their ability to do so, the Wall Street Journal columnist Gerald Seib noted last week. A political system that expects failure doesn&rsquo;t try very hard to produce anything else.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\t\u00bb<em>We used to try harder and do better. After Sputnik, we came together as a nation and responded with a technology, infrastructure and education surge, notes Robert Hormats, vice chairman of Goldman Sachs International. After the 1973 oil crisis, we came together and made dramatic improvements in energy efficiency. After Social Security became imperiled in the early 1980s, we came together and fixed it for that moment. But today, added Hormats, the political system seems incapable of producing a critical mass to support any kind of serious long-term reform.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\t\u00bb<em>If the old saying  that as General Motors goes, so goes America  is true, then folks, we&rsquo;re in a lot of trouble. General Motors&rsquo; stock-market value now stands at just $6.47 billion, compared with Toyota&rsquo;s $162.6 billion. On top of it, GM shares sank to a 34-year low last week.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\t\u00bb<em>That&rsquo;s us. We&rsquo;re at a 34-year low. And digging out of this hole is what the next election has to be about and is going to be about &#8211; even if it is interrupted by a terrorist attack or an outbreak of war or peace in Iraq. We need nation-building at home, and we cannot wait another year to get started. Vote for the candidate who you think will do that best. Nothing else matters.<\/em>\u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\tFaut-il rapprocher ce texte des d\u00e9clarations de Maurice Lippens, le pr\u00e9sident du groupe belgo-hollandais (banque, assurance) Fortis, au quotidien n\u00e9erlandais <em>De Telegraaf<\/em>, ce 30 juin? Sans aucun doute, l&rsquo;esprit du temps s&rsquo;y retrouve.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\tLippens ne prend pas de gants, ce qui est significatif pour un dirigeant d&rsquo;un groupe d&rsquo;une telle envergure, parlant \u00e8s-qualit\u00e9. Il explique que Fortis s&rsquo;attend \u00e0 ce que les march\u00e9s financiers am\u00e9ricains s&rsquo;\u00e9croulent totalement dans les prochains jours ou semaines,  justifiant ainsi les mesures d&rsquo;urgence prises la semaine derni\u00e8re par Fortis. \u00ab<em>Aux Etats-Unis, \u00e7a va plus mal que ce qu&rsquo;on imagine.<\/em> [] <em>Il y a deux mois, nous ne savions pas que \u00e7a allait si mal aux Etats-Unis. Et \u00e7a va encore empirer.<\/em>\u00bb Lippens base ses pr\u00e9visions sur des rencontres intensives, ces derni\u00e8res semaines, avec les milieux bancaires US. Il pr\u00e9voit non seulement des faillites en cascade dans les 6.000 banques non assur\u00e9s mais juge m\u00eame que des groupes de la taille de Citigroup et de General Motors sont menac\u00e9s.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\tLa psychologie du syst\u00e8me, essentiellement en Am\u00e9rique et \u00e0 propos de l&rsquo;Am\u00e9rique, est aujourd&rsquo;hui celle des grandes catastrophes. C&rsquo;est par-dessus tout ce facteur qui est essentiel, bien plus que les crises syst\u00e9miques diverses: la psychologie de plus en plus paralys\u00e9e, fascin\u00e9e, impuissante, devant ce qu&rsquo;elle per\u00e7oit comme l&rsquo;imminence de la crise; ce facteur-l\u00e0 est essentiel parce qu&rsquo;il garantit l&rsquo;impuissance de la r\u00e9action, la capitulation par avance. L&rsquo;analogie de 1929-1933 vient \u00e0 l&rsquo;esprit; mais, si l&rsquo;analogie est justifi\u00e9e, tout indique que les choses devraient \u00eatre pires encore. Ainsi la psychologie per\u00e7oit-elle l&rsquo;\u00e9v\u00e9nement \u00e0 venir, et la perception est d\u00e9j\u00e0 presque une anticipation cr\u00e9atrice de l&rsquo;\u00e9v\u00e9nement.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p><p>\tMis en ligne le 1er juillet 2008 \u00e0 05H36<\/p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Il est vrai que, parcourant les textes Op-Ed de l&rsquo;International Herald Tribune, puis, s&rsquo;arr\u00eatant \u00e0 celui-ci, nous nous sommes dit : Tiens, Krugman est bien pessimiste aujourd&rsquo;hui, pour nous apercevoir, et cela est bien significatif, qu&rsquo;il ne s&rsquo;agissait pas de Paul Krugman mais de Thomas Friedman. Comme tenu des personnalit\u00e9s, des styles et des caract\u00e8res,&hellip;&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"neve_meta_sidebar":"","neve_meta_container":"","neve_meta_enable_content_width":"","neve_meta_content_width":0,"neve_meta_title_alignment":"","neve_meta_author_avatar":"","neve_post_elements_order":"","neve_meta_disable_header":"","neve_meta_disable_footer":"","neve_meta_disable_title":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[3789,6673,2947,7659,6045,7661,1268,7660,6208],"class_list":["post-70009","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-bloc-notes","tag-3789","tag-6673","tag-amerique","tag-anxiete","tag-catastrophe","tag-fortis","tag-friedman","tag-lippens","tag-obama"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/70009","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=70009"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/70009\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=70009"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=70009"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=70009"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}