{"id":70148,"date":"2008-08-29T14:38:24","date_gmt":"2008-08-29T14:38:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/2008\/08\/29\/lisolement-de-douchanbe\/"},"modified":"2008-08-29T14:38:24","modified_gmt":"2008-08-29T14:38:24","slug":"lisolement-de-douchanbe","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/2008\/08\/29\/lisolement-de-douchanbe\/","title":{"rendered":"L&rsquo;\u201cisolement\u201d de Douchanb\u00e9"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><p>C&rsquo;est en effet \u00e0 Douchanb\u00e9, capitale du Tadjikistan, que l&rsquo;Organisation de Coop\u00e9ration de Changha\u00ef (officiellement SCO en anglais) a tenu un sommet qui \u00e9tait important pour la Russie. Cette organisation allait-elle soutenir, comme la Russie devait sans doute l&rsquo;esp\u00e9rer, l&rsquo;action russe dans la crise g\u00e9orgienne? On allait pouvoir faire le point sur l&rsquo;<a href=\"http:\/\/www.dedefensa.org\/article-qui_est_isole_et_comment.html\" class=\"gen\">isolement<\/a> de la Russie.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\tLes m\u00e9dias occidentaux furent prompts pour annoncer un revers s\u00e9rieux de la Russie parce que le communiqu\u00e9 du sommet n&rsquo;annon\u00e7ait pas un soutien \u00e0 toute l&rsquo;action russe, particuli\u00e8rement la reconnaissance de l&rsquo;ind\u00e9pendance de l&rsquo;Abkhazie et de l&rsquo;Oss\u00e9tie du Sud. (Cette simple phrase de <em>CNN.News<\/em>, dans un texte du <a href=\"http:\/\/edition.cnn.com\/2008\/WORLD\/europe\/08\/28\/russia.georgia.cold.war\/index.html\" class=\"gen\">28 ao\u00fbt<\/a> o\u00f9 Poutine affirme que les USA ont maniganc\u00e9 l&rsquo;attaque g\u00e9orgienne pour cr\u00e9er un climat favorable au candidat John McCain: \u00ab<em>But Russia&rsquo;s hopes of winning international support for its actions in Georgia were dashed Thursday, when China and other Asian nations expressed concern about tension in the r\u00e9gion.<\/em>\u00bb)<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\tN\u00e9anmoins, attendre d&rsquo;une organisation o\u00f9 la Chine p\u00e8se d&rsquo;un grand poids qu&rsquo;elle approuve la reconnaissance de l&rsquo;ind\u00e9pendance de deux provinces s\u00e9cessionnistes n&rsquo;\u00e9tait pas tr\u00e8s raisonnable. La Chine a le Tibet \u00e0 l&rsquo;esprit, donc il ne faut pas trop lui demander. Le site <em>Moscow Times.com<\/em>, souvent critique de la direction russe, cite le <a href=\"http:\/\/www.themoscowtimes.com\/article\/600\/42\/370513.htm\" class=\"gen\">29 ao\u00fbt<\/a> un expert de l&rsquo;organisation Carnegie \u00e0 Moscou, centre d&rsquo;influence am\u00e9ricaniste :<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\t\u00ab<em>It was unrealistic for President Dmitry Medvedev to expect the organization, in which China plays a leading role, to support Moscow&rsquo;s position on South Ossetian and Abkhaz independence, given Beijing&rsquo;s own concerns over its own separatist Tibet and Xinjiang provinces, said Masha Lipman, a political analyst with the Moscow Carnegie Center.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\t\u00bb<em>Medvedev might have had some chance to win support from some individual Central Asian states after bilateral talks but never in the format of the whole alliance, which acts by consensus and where most members view China as the major partner, Lipman said.<\/em>\u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\tIl n&rsquo;est pas \u00e9vident que Medvedev ait attendu une telle chose du sommet du SCO, mais l&rsquo;affirmer <em>ex abrupto<\/em> permet d&rsquo;avancer que ses espoirs ont \u00e9t\u00e9 d\u00e9\u00e7us, et que la Russie se trouve plus isol\u00e9e que jamais (selon le d\u00e9partement d&rsquo;\u00e9tat). Pour autant, obtenir du communiqu\u00e9 qu&rsquo;il reconnaisse le r\u00f4le actif de la Russie pour contribuer \u00e0 la paix et \u00e0 la coop\u00e9ration dans la r\u00e9gion autour de la G\u00e9orgie n&rsquo;est pas exactement enfermer la Russie dans l&rsquo;opprobe de l&rsquo;isolement (selon <em>The Financial Times<\/em> du <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ft.com\/cms\/s\/0\/944f00c2-74d8-11dd-ab30-0000779fd18c.html\" class=\"gen\">28 ao\u00fbt<\/a> sous le titre, quelque peu contestable par rapport au contenu du communiqu\u00e9 du SCO de \u00ab<em>Russia fails to secure regional backing<\/em>\u00bb:  \u00ab<em>The leaders welcomed the French-brokered ceasefire deal that ended the fighting between Russia and Georgia and acknowledged Russia&rsquo;s role in the Caucasus, saying they supported Russia&rsquo;s active role in contributing to peace and co-operation in the region.<\/em>\u00bb)<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\tEnfin, bien mieux que nos commentaires occidentaux naturellement baign\u00e9s de sup\u00e9riorit\u00e9 morale, nous retiendrons celui de l&rsquo;ancien diplomate indien devenu un excellent chroniqueur \u00e0 <em>Atimes.com<\/em>, M K Bhadrakumar, dans un texte dat\u00e9 du <a href=\"http:\/\/www.atimes.com\/atimes\/Central_Asia\/JH30Ag02.html\" class=\"gen\">30 ao\u00fbt<\/a>. Au contraire de nos appr\u00e9ciations et en ajoutant plusieurs \u00e9v\u00e9nements, dont le communiqu\u00e9 du SCO, M K Bhadrakumar voit dans l&rsquo;\u00e9pisode de Dushanbe une victoire majeure pour la Russie.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\t\u00ab<em>If the struggle in the Caucasus was ever over oil and the North Atlantic Treaty Organization&rsquo;s (NATO&rsquo;s) agenda towards Central Asia, the United States suffered a colossal setback this week. Kazakhstan, the Caspian energy powerhouse and a key Central Asian player, has decided to stand shoulder-to-shoulder with Russia over the conflict with Georgia, and Russia&rsquo;s de facto control over two major Black Sea ports has been consolidated.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\t\u00bb<em>At a meeting in the Tajik capital Dushanbe on Thursday on the sidelines of the summit meeting of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO), Kazakh President Nurusultan Nazarbayev told Russian President Dmitry Medvedev that Moscow could count on Astana&rsquo;s support in the present crisis.<\/em> <\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\t\u00bb<em>In his press conference in Dushanbe, Medvedev underlined that his SCO counterparts, including China, showed understanding of the Russian position. Moscow appears satisfied that the SCO summit also issued a statement on the Caucasus developments, which, inter alia, said, \u00ab\u00a0The leaders of the SCO member states welcome the signing in Moscow of the six principles for regulating the South Ossetia conflict, and support Russia&rsquo;s active role in assisting peace and cooperation in the region.\u00a0\u00bb The SCO comprises China, Russia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan and Uzbekistan.<\/em>\u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\tEffectivement, la d\u00e9claration du pr\u00e9sident du Kazakstan, Nazarbayev, repr\u00e9sente, dans les termes, un soutien d&rsquo;une singuli\u00e8re force pour la Russie. Venant d&rsquo;un homme largement arros\u00e9 pendant des ann\u00e9es par les $millions de la corruption am\u00e9ricaniste toujours int\u00e9ress\u00e9e par les affaires p\u00e9troli\u00e8res et qui \u00e9tait re\u00e7u avec toute la pompe possible \u00e0 la Maison-Blanche en septembre 2006, elle prend toute sa signification,  \u00e0 savoir que, dans la politique extr\u00eamement r\u00e9aliste de la r\u00e9gion, l&rsquo;isolement de la Russie fait bien partie de la <em>narrative<\/em> de l&rsquo;Ouest plus que de la r\u00e9alit\u00e9 des affaires du monde.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\t\u00ab<em>I am amazed that the West simply ignored the fact that Georgian armed forces attacked the peaceful city of Tskhinvali<\/em> [in South Ossetia]<em>. Therefore, my assessment is as follows: I think that it originally started with this. And Russia&rsquo;s response could either have been to keep silent or to protect their people and so on. I believe that all subsequent steps taken by Russia have been designed to stop bloodshed of ordinary residents of this long-suffering city. Of course, there are many refugees, many homeless.<\/em> <\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\t\u00bb<em>Guided by out bilateral agreement on friendship and cooperation between Kazakhstan and Russia, we have provided humanitarian aid: 100 tons have already been sent. We will continue to provide assistance together with you.<\/em> <\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\t\u00bb<em>Of course, there was loss of life on the Georgian side &#8211; war is war. The resolution of the conflict with Georgia has now been shifted to some indeterminate time in the future. We have always had good relations with Georgia. Kazakhstan&rsquo;s companies have made substantial investments there. Of course, those that have done this want stability there. The conditions of the plan that you and<\/em> [President of France Nicolas]<em> Sarkozy drew up must be implemented, but some have begun to disavow certain points in the plan.<\/em> <\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\t\u00bb<em>However, I think that negotiations will continue and that there will be peace  there is no other alternative. Therefore, Kazakhstan understands all the measures that have been taken, and Kazakhstan supports them. For our part, we will be ready to do everything to ensure that everyone returns to the negotiating table.<\/em>\u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\tCommentant ces d\u00e9clarations du pr\u00e9sident kazakh et les projets des USA avec le Kazakhstan depuis plusieurs ann\u00e9es, M K Bhadrakumar trace un contexte plus large, dans lequel la crise g\u00e9orgienne a \u00e9videmment sa place et, avec elle, l&rsquo;activisme US derri\u00e8re Saakashvlili. M K Bhadrakumar estime en effet que l&rsquo;entr\u00e9e de la G\u00e9orgie dans l&rsquo;OTAN, telle que les USA cherchent \u00e0 l&rsquo;imposer, n&rsquo;\u00e9tait qu&rsquo;un premier pas avant de tenter d&rsquo;associer le Kazakhstan \u00e0 l&rsquo;OTAN, sinon de l&rsquo;y faire entrer \u00e0 son tour. C&rsquo;est une autre int\u00e9ressante perspective, selon une strat\u00e9gie directement dict\u00e9e par les grandes compagnies p\u00e9troli\u00e8res US, relay\u00e9es par l&rsquo;inalt\u00e9rable Cheney. <\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\t\u00ab<em>The US had gone to great lengths to realize the pipeline project against seemingly hopeless odds. In fact, Washington stage-managed the \u00ab\u00a0color\u00a0\u00bb revolution in Georgia in November 2003 (which catapulted Mikheil Saakashvili to power in Tbilisi) on the eve of the commissioning of the pipeline. The general idea behind the commotion in the South Caucasus was that the US should take control of Georgia through which the pipeline passes.<\/em> <\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\t\u00bb<em>Besides, Kazakhstan shares a 7,500 kilometer border with Russia, which is the longest land border between any two countries in the world. It would be a nightmare for Russian security if NATO were to gain a foothold in Kazakhstan. Again, the US strategy had targeted Kazakhstan as the prize catch for NATO in Central Asia. The US aimed to make a pitch for Kazakhstan after getting Georgia inducted into NATO.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\t\u00bb<em>These American dreams have suffered a setback with the Kazakh leadership now closing ranks with Moscow. It seems Moscow outwitted Washington.<\/em>\u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p><p>\tMis en ligne le 29 ao\u00fbt 2008 \u00e0 14H38<\/p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>C&rsquo;est en effet \u00e0 Douchanb\u00e9, capitale du Tadjikistan, que l&rsquo;Organisation de Coop\u00e9ration de Changha\u00ef (officiellement SCO en anglais) a tenu un sommet qui \u00e9tait important pour la Russie. Cette organisation allait-elle soutenir, comme la Russie devait sans doute l&rsquo;esp\u00e9rer, l&rsquo;action russe dans la crise g\u00e9orgienne? On allait pouvoir faire le point sur l&rsquo;isolement de la&hellip;&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"neve_meta_sidebar":"","neve_meta_container":"","neve_meta_enable_content_width":"","neve_meta_content_width":0,"neve_meta_title_alignment":"","neve_meta_author_avatar":"","neve_post_elements_order":"","neve_meta_disable_header":"","neve_meta_disable_footer":"","neve_meta_disable_title":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[5474,7742,7741,6555,7743,3600,2730,5509],"class_list":["post-70148","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-bloc-notes","tag-bhadrakumar","tag-douchambe","tag-dushanbe","tag-isolement","tag-kazakhstan","tag-petrole","tag-russie","tag-sco"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/70148","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=70148"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/70148\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=70148"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=70148"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=70148"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}