6 octobre<\/a>, d\u00e9taille de cette fa\u00e7on les conditions et les r\u00e9sultats du sondage:<\/p>\n<\/p>\n\t\u00abNearly six out of ten Americans believe another economic depression is likely, according to a poll released Monday. The CNN\/Opinion Research Corp. poll, which surveyed more than 1,000 Americans over the weekend, cited common measures of the economic pain of the 1930s: 25% unemployment rate; widespread bank failures; andmillions of Americans homeless and unable to feed their families.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n\t\u00bbIn response, 21% of those polled say that a depression is very likely and another 38% say it is somewhat likely. The poll also found that 29% feel a depression is not very likely, while 13% believe it is not likely at all.<\/em>\u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n\tLe texte analyse ensuite ce qu’est une d\u00e9pression et les avis divers des \u00e9conomistes US sur la situation actuelle et les perspectives, seulement r\u00e9cession ou r\u00e9cession s\u00e9v\u00e8re, ou bien d\u00e9pression? D’une fa\u00e7on g\u00e9n\u00e9rale, les experts et analystes ne croient pas \u00e0 une d\u00e9pression. Assez curieusement, pourtant, leur analyse des conditions \u00e9conomiques est extr\u00eamement pessimiste et rencontre, elle, celle des personnes interrog\u00e9es. Enfin, toutes ces appr\u00e9ciations, chez les citoyens, sont notablement plus pessimistes que celles qui furent enregistr\u00e9es dans les ann\u00e9es 2001-2003, lors de la derni\u00e8re r\u00e9cession dans le cadre des \u00e9v\u00e9nements accompagnant l’attaque 9\/11.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n
\t\u00abThe poll found 84% of Americans polled believe that economic conditions are somewhat or very poor, with a majority, 53%, now believing the economy is very poor. That’s not far off from the two-thirds of NABE economists who believe the economy is now in a recession or will enter one by the end of this year.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n\t\u00bbThe view of the economy is much bleaker than a comparable CNN\/USA Today poll found during the last economic downturn at the start of the decade. During the recession of 2001, only one-third to one-half of those polled felt economic conditions were somewhat or very poor. Unemployment continued to rise after the recession ended in late 2001, and not surprisingly the view of the economy continued to deteriorate. But at its worst, in a February 2003 poll, only two-thirds of those surveyed described the economy as somewhat or very poor. Just 25% of those surveyed at that time described the economy as very poor, or less than half the level who believe that today.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n\t\u00bbIn addition, the CNN poll released Monday found that 36% believe the current crisis in the nation’s financial sector will affect them immediately, while another 19% expect to be affected within the next year. Only 8% believe they will never be affected by the crisis.<\/em>\u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n\tMais ces situations d\u00e9crites, tant par le sondage que par les analyses des experts, sont extr\u00eamement mobiles, tr\u00e8s changeantes, tr\u00e8s incertaines dans leurs perspectives. Un point fondamental est l’effet de l’opinion des citoyens sur leur propre psychologie et, au-del\u00e0, sur leur comportement \u00e9conomique, voire politique. Le texte cite l’opinion de Anirvan Banerji, directeur des recherches \u00e0 l’Economic Cycle Research Institute. \u00abBanerji said that the increasingly grim view of the economy will by itself lead to cutbacks in spending by both consumers and businesses. That in turn will result in greater job losses and more economic pain. The fact that the majority of people believe we are going into a depression ensures that the recession will get worse, Banerji said.<\/em>\u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n\tLa logique que d\u00e9veloppe Banerji peut \u00eatre conduite au-del\u00e0, certes. Le fait que les gens croient que nous allons vers une d\u00e9pression peut simplement conduire \u00e0 une d\u00e9pression puisque celle-ci d\u00e9pend \u00e9galement du comportement des gens, si l’on croit \u00e0 la d\u00e9pression, la d\u00e9pression viendra, surtout un monstre pareil, vue la place mythique que l’id\u00e9e de d\u00e9pression occupe dans la psychologie US. On se trouve dans le cycle que suscite la psychologie, qui n’est pas n\u00e9cessairement celle de la peur mais qui prend en compte le jugement, la perception pessimiste g\u00e9n\u00e9rale. Il y a plus d’un an que les Am\u00e9ricains sont pessimistes en ce qui concerne leur situation \u00e9conomique, et la situation \u00e9conomique des USA; il y a exactement trois ans, depuis la catastrophe de Katrina<\/em> et la r\u00e9action aussi catastrophique des autorit\u00e9s, que les Am\u00e9ricains sont pessimistes sur la situation et l’avenir du pays. Il y a trois \u00e0 quatre ans que les Am\u00e9ricains ont une perception tr\u00e8s pessimiste des capacit\u00e9s et de la politique de leur pr\u00e9sident. Leur perception de l’establishment<\/em> (Washington, Congr\u00e8s, etc.) est \u00e0 mesure.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n\tLes dirigeants US se sont-ils rendus compte de cette situation en cherchant \u00e0 susciter la peur<\/a> chez les citoyens? Leur but \u00e9tait de vendre le plan Paulson; ils l’ont finalement vendu, mais plut\u00f4t en soldes. Entre-temps, ils ont certainement accru le pessimisme des Am\u00e9ricains et, \u00e0 c\u00f4t\u00e9 de la peur qu’ils ont ou non suscit\u00e9e, il y a certainement la col\u00e8re qui persiste contre ce m\u00eame establishment<\/em>. <\/p>\n<\/p>\n<\/p>\n
\tMis en ligne le 7 octobre 2008 \u00e0 15H31<\/p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
L’\u00e9tat d’esprit des Am\u00e9ricains est extr\u00eamement pessimiste, selon un sondage CNN.News qui recoupe un sentiment g\u00e9n\u00e9ral d\u00e9j\u00e0 persistant et en aggravation r\u00e9guli\u00e8re depuis le printemps dernier. Plus encore, ce pessimisme se fixe sur le terme de d\u00e9pression, terrible pour les Am\u00e9ricains qui ont tous \u00e0 la m\u00e9moire la Grande D\u00e9pression. Un texte de CNN.News, publi\u00e9… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"neve_meta_sidebar":"","neve_meta_container":"","neve_meta_enable_content_width":"","neve_meta_content_width":0,"neve_meta_title_alignment":"","neve_meta_author_avatar":"","neve_post_elements_order":"","neve_meta_disable_header":"","neve_meta_disable_footer":"","neve_meta_disable_title":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[3642,3083,5656,6375,3725,5190,3248],"class_list":["post-70258","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-bloc-notes","tag-cnn","tag-depression","tag-experts","tag-pessimisme","tag-recession","tag-sondage","tag-washington"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/70258","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=70258"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/70258\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=70258"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=70258"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=70258"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}