{"id":70655,"date":"2009-04-01T12:07:36","date_gmt":"2009-04-01T12:07:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/2009\/04\/01\/le-climat-avant-le-sommet-est-dur-et-lon-prepare-deja-le-suivant\/"},"modified":"2009-04-01T12:07:36","modified_gmt":"2009-04-01T12:07:36","slug":"le-climat-avant-le-sommet-est-dur-et-lon-prepare-deja-le-suivant","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/2009\/04\/01\/le-climat-avant-le-sommet-est-dur-et-lon-prepare-deja-le-suivant\/","title":{"rendered":"Le climat avant le sommet est dur et l&rsquo;on pr\u00e9pare d\u00e9j\u00e0 le suivant"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><p>Il faut dire que la rh\u00e9torique dure ne recule pas \u00e0 la veille du sommet du G20, alors que les bonnes r\u00e8gles du milieu sugg\u00e9reraient plut\u00f4t qu&rsquo;on affiche d\u00e9sormais un visage unitaire, un peu \u00e0 la fa\u00e7on d&rsquo;Obama dans son interview du <em>Financial Times<\/em>, tel qu&rsquo;il est comment\u00e9 dans le FT ce <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ft.com\/cms\/s\/0\/4568c7e2-1e22-11de-830b-00144feabdc0,dwp_uuid=60a3db68-b177-11dd-b97a-0000779fd18c.html\" class=\"gen\">31 mars 2009<\/a>. C&rsquo;est ainsi qu&rsquo;<em>EU Observer<\/em>, ce matin du <a href=\"http:\/\/euobserver.com\/9\/27889\/?rk=1\" class=\"gen\">1er avril 2009<\/a>, commence son article en observant que les dirigeants de l&rsquo;UE ont \u00e9lev\u00e9 l&rsquo;enjeu [du G20] et durci la rh\u00e9torique.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\tD\u00e9monstration,  aussit\u00f4t dit, aussit\u00f4t r\u00e9p\u00e9t\u00e9 Cela, sans garantie, tout de m\u00eame, que le bon Jos\u00e9 Manuel Barroso, ci-devant pr\u00e9sident de la Commission, quitte avec pertes et fracas, et avec Sarkozy, la salle de d\u00e9lib\u00e9ration du G20 s&rsquo;il n&rsquo;est pas content,  effectivement comme Sarkozy a dit qu&rsquo;il ferait<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\t\u00ab<em>We are there for results, European Commission President Jose Manuel Barroso told journalists in Brussels on Tuesday. It is a question of now or never. Someone said a crisis is a terrible thing to waste,&rsquo; and I think it is a very good expression. This is a crisis, so we should use it to change what is wrong.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\t\u00bb<em>On the same day, French finance minister Christine Lagarde told British radio that France would walk away from the negotiations if the deliverables are not there. Her comments echo those of French President Nicholas Sarkozy who recently told French ministers: If things don&rsquo;t move forward in London, it will be the empty chair. I will get up and leave, reports French daily Le Figaro. French fears that the leaders from the Group of 20 industrial nations will backtrack on verbal commitments to improve global financial regulation are shared by Mr Barroso.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\t\u00bb<em>Some of those who speak very often about the need for more effective regulation, afterwards when they have to agree on a precise proposal, they are not so ambitious, he said in reference to a recently agreed EU deal on regulation of the insurance sector. He said the package agreed by EU ministers, known as Solvency II, had been significantly watered down from the original commission proposal.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\t\u00bb<em>However, Mr Barroso declined to say whether he would walk out with Mr Sarkozy if the debate turns into a talking shop while admitting that Thursday&rsquo;s meeting was unlikely to be the last of its kind.<\/em>\u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\tL&rsquo;article est suivi de diverses consid\u00e9rations sur le prochain G20, qui devrait suivre rapidement. Tout cela, ce qui pr\u00e9c\u00e8de et les d\u00e9lib\u00e9rations sur un troisi\u00e8me G20 de crise, peut \u00eatre pris comme le verre \u00e0 moiti\u00e9 vide ou le verre \u00e0 moiti\u00e9 plein; cela peut \u00eatre consid\u00e9r\u00e9 comme posture et gesticulations, et viles \u00e9chappatoires, et aveu d&rsquo;impuissance d\u00e9guis\u00e9 par avance, et ainsi de suite Nous choisissons sans aucun doute la deuxi\u00e8me approche, celle du verre \u00e0 moiti\u00e9 plein.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\tCette duret\u00e9 de ton, ce refus de sacrifier comme il faudrait \u00e0 la communication habituelle (le <em>show of unity<\/em> demand\u00e9 par Obama), \u00e0 24 heures du sommet, le fait de retrouver un Barroso dur aux c\u00f4t\u00e9s d&rsquo;un Sarkozy \u00e9nerv\u00e9, tout cela est significatif. Cela ne changera rien pour le sommet de demain sans doute, mais l&rsquo;avertissement est clair: on ne peut en rester, ni au sommet de demain comme il s&rsquo;annonce, ni au syst\u00e8me en l&rsquo;\u00e9tat o\u00f9 il est, ni \u00e0 un retour sans tambour ni trompette, ou avec tambour et trompette, \u00e0 la situation d&rsquo;avant.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\tCes interventions n&rsquo;indiquent <strong>rien<\/strong> pour les r\u00e9sultats du sommet de demain. Pour cette raison, l&rsquo;argument tactique (augmenter la pression pour obtenir des avantages demain) nous semble d&rsquo;assez peu de poids. Les principales orientations pour demain sont fix\u00e9es et la logique, s&rsquo;il y avait un \u00e9tat d&rsquo;esprit arrangeant, serait plut\u00f4t de nous pr\u00e9parer d&rsquo;ores et d\u00e9j\u00e0 \u00e0 ce qu&rsquo;Obama r\u00e9clame (le <em>show of unity<\/em>). Mais si Obama le r\u00e9clame, c&rsquo;est qu&rsquo;il est, lui, sur la d\u00e9fensive et qu&rsquo;il cherche surtout \u00e0 emp\u00eacher que rien de d\u00e9cisif ne soit discut\u00e9 ou lanc\u00e9 demain parce qu&rsquo;il <a href=\"http:\/\/www.dedefensa.org\/article-enseignements_du_g20_comme_s_il_avait_deja_eu_lieu_31_03_2009.html\" class=\"gen\">ne dispose plus<\/a> du <em>leadership<\/em> pour l&rsquo;orienter dans le sens des int\u00e9r\u00eats US. (Appr\u00e9ciez la pr\u00e9sentation que le FT fait de l&rsquo;interview mentionn\u00e9e plus haut: \u00ab<em>Barack Obama&rsquo;s first real global diplomatic moment begins with a paradox: he is the most popular US president in a generation, but you would have to go back more than two generations to find one with fewer cards to pla.<\/em>\u00bb)<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\tNous verrions plut\u00f4t dans ces d\u00e9clarations dures l&rsquo;indication d&rsquo;un climat, qui est mauvais, hargneux, etc. Demain, pendant 24 heures, il n&rsquo;y para\u00eetra sans doute plus vraiment,  \u00e0 moins que Sarko s&rsquo;y mette, qui sait? Mais le rouge est mis. L&rsquo;affaire n&rsquo;en restera pas \u00e0 Londres-avril 2009, tout comme la crise ne s&rsquo;arr\u00eatera pas pour autant. Il y aura prolongation, et encore prolongation ensuite, et les choses n&rsquo;iront pas comme sur des roulettes.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p><p>\tMis en ligne le 1er avril 2009 \u00e0 12H11<\/p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Il faut dire que la rh\u00e9torique dure ne recule pas \u00e0 la veille du sommet du G20, alors que les bonnes r\u00e8gles du milieu sugg\u00e9reraient plut\u00f4t qu&rsquo;on affiche d\u00e9sormais un visage unitaire, un peu \u00e0 la fa\u00e7on d&rsquo;Obama dans son interview du Financial Times, tel qu&rsquo;il est comment\u00e9 dans le FT ce 31 mars 2009.&hellip;&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"neve_meta_sidebar":"","neve_meta_container":"","neve_meta_enable_content_width":"","neve_meta_content_width":0,"neve_meta_title_alignment":"","neve_meta_author_avatar":"","neve_post_elements_order":"","neve_meta_disable_header":"","neve_meta_disable_footer":"","neve_meta_disable_title":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[4335,3391,4801,2851,7932,6208,4590,2852],"class_list":["post-70655","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-bloc-notes","tag-barroso","tag-climat","tag-dur","tag-financial","tag-g20","tag-obama","tag-sarkozy","tag-times"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/70655","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=70655"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/70655\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=70655"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=70655"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=70655"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}