{"id":70797,"date":"2009-05-30T18:15:14","date_gmt":"2009-05-30T18:15:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/2009\/05\/30\/a-la-recherche-de-la-prochaine-crise\/"},"modified":"2009-05-30T18:15:14","modified_gmt":"2009-05-30T18:15:14","slug":"a-la-recherche-de-la-prochaine-crise","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/2009\/05\/30\/a-la-recherche-de-la-prochaine-crise\/","title":{"rendered":"A la recherche de la prochaine crise"},"content":{"rendered":"

D’une fa\u00e7on g\u00e9n\u00e9rale, comme vous le savez, la crise est finie, passons \u00e0 autre chose, par exemple, au pan\u00e9gyrique de l’\u00e9conomie de march\u00e9 et du syst\u00e8me hyper-lib\u00e9ral, bref du capitalisme qui nous a montr\u00e9s ses infinies facettes pour fabriquer ordre, bonheur et concorde. En un mot plein de verdeur, la crise est finie, ainsi devrait-il en \u00eatre apr\u00e8s deux mois d’une campagne<\/a> intensive de la philosophie-green shoots<\/em>. Passons, \u00a0mais la chose, elle, ne passe pas.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\tLe mot d’ordre ne vaut pas pour le docteur Robert Zoellick, qui continue<\/a> avec ses id\u00e9es noires, type sugar light<\/em>. Zoellick donne une interview \u00e0 Bloomberg.News<\/em>, le 30 mai 2009<\/a>, o\u00f9 il reprend et d\u00e9veloppe le th\u00e8me. Nous ne sommes pas (du tout) sortis de l’auberge, \u00e0 suivre.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00abWorld Bank President Robert Zoellick warned policy makers that fiscal-stimulus plans are insufficient to turn around the real economy and rising joblessness threatens to set off political unrest across the globe.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00bbWhile the stimulus has given an impulse, it’s like a sugar high unless you eventually get the credit system working, Zoellick said in an interview yesterday with Bloomberg Television’s Political Capital with Al Hunt. When unemployment increases, that’s probably the most political combustible issue.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00bbZoellick’s caution is a contrast with private economists, who are raising their outlooks for growth from India to China as stimulus measures take effect<\/em>\u00bb <\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\tLe m\u00eame Bloomberg.News<\/em> d\u00e9veloppe, le 29 mai 2009<\/a> les mauvaises nouvelles venues en cette fin de printemps concernant la situation de l’immobilier US. Fin avril, des chiffres prometteurs en avaient fait l’une des green shoots<\/em> les plus prometteuses (superbe logique). Le printemps est fini, et les illusions avec.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00abKyle McGee went to his mortgage broker’s office yesterday hoping to refinance and save about $200 a month. He walked away empty-handed. McGee was expecting a rate of 4.7 percent; the broker offered him 5.375 percent. The average 30-year fixed-mortgage rose to 5.27 percent as of yesterday, according to Bankrate.com. We feel like we might have missed the boat, said McGee, 37, an adjunct professor of social work at Hunter College School of Social Work in Manhattan.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00bbFederal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke’s efforts to bring down borrowing costs to revive the housing market and help the economy are stalling. Mortgage rates are almost back to where they were in March before the 30-year rate fell to a record and sparked a refinancing boom. Mortgage delinquencies rose to a record 9.12 percent of U.S. home loans and house prices dropped the most on record in the first quarter, industry reports show.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00bbHousing is not going to be the engine to get us out of this recession, said Robert Eisenbeis, chief monetary economist for Vineland, New Jersey-based Cumberland Advisors Inc., and former research director at the Federal Reserve Bank in Atlanta. They’ve squeezed a lemon and now they’re trying to squeeze some more, but you can only get so much juice out of a lemon.<\/em>\u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\tZoellick pense pourtant que la position du dollar reste solide et qu’aucune crainte sur sa pr\u00e9pond\u00e9rance n’est \u00e0 entretenir. D’autres ne pensent pas de la sorte, comme l’\u00e9conomiste Nouriel Roubini (le 14 mai dans le New York Times<\/em>, traduction fran\u00e7ise sur Contrinfo.info<\/em> le 18 mai 2009<\/a>). Ces diverses indications ajout\u00e9es, parmi tant d’autres en v\u00e9rit\u00e9 car la dissidence se portent haut aujourd’hui, rendent un constat g\u00e9n\u00e9ral qui caract\u00e9riserait bien la situation. Il s’agit d’une p\u00e9riode de transition, non pas vers la fin de la crise bien entendu, mais un temps d’incertitude pour tenter d’appr\u00e9hender: quand et vers o\u00f9 la chose va-t-elle frapper \u00e0 nouveau?<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\tLe monde vit d\u00e9sormais dans une structure crisique, selon le qualificatif employ\u00e9 en psychiatrie. C’est-\u00e0-dire qu’il ne s’agit pas de savoir s’il y a crise (s’il y aura crise) mais bien de savoir quand la crise qui forme d\u00e9sormais la structure de notre monde va-t-elle \u00e0 nouveau se manifester, et sous quelle forme. Quant \u00e0 \u00e9voquer la fin de la crise, il faut avoir la pu\u00e9rilit\u00e9 d’esprit d’un professeur d’\u00e9conomie devenu pr\u00e9sident de la Federal Reserve pour croire \u00e0 cette affabulation. Le concept de fin de crise est sorti du champ du possible de notre temps historique. Il faut s’y faire et attendre la suivante.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

\tMis en ligne le 30 mai 2009 \u00e0 18H20<\/p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

D’une fa\u00e7on g\u00e9n\u00e9rale, comme vous le savez, la crise est finie, passons \u00e0 autre chose, par exemple, au pan\u00e9gyrique de l’\u00e9conomie de march\u00e9 et du syst\u00e8me hyper-lib\u00e9ral, bref du capitalisme qui nous a montr\u00e9s ses infinies facettes pour fabriquer ordre, bonheur et concorde. En un mot plein de verdeur, la crise est finie, ainsi devrait-il… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"neve_meta_sidebar":"","neve_meta_container":"","neve_meta_enable_content_width":"","neve_meta_content_width":0,"neve_meta_title_alignment":"","neve_meta_author_avatar":"","neve_post_elements_order":"","neve_meta_disable_header":"","neve_meta_disable_footer":"","neve_meta_disable_title":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[6936,3228,8294,6723,3178,8345,7114,137],"class_list":["post-70797","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-bloc-notes","tag-bernanke","tag-crise","tag-crisique","tag-green","tag-printemps","tag-shoots","tag-structure","tag-zoellick"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/70797","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=70797"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/70797\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=70797"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=70797"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=70797"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}