On trouve sans doute le plus d’indications \u00e0 ce jour sur les perspectives du programme JSF, dans l’ombre de la r\u00e9\u00e9valuation que doit effectuer l’\u00e9quipe JET (Joint Estimates Team) qui est d\u00e9sormais le juge d’instruction<\/a> quasi-officiel du programme, dans un article du 15 ao\u00fbt 2009<\/a> du Fort Worth Star Telegram<\/em>. Journal local, certes, mais journal de la ville o\u00f9 l’\u00e9norme usine de Lockheed Martin (l’ancienne usine de General Dynamics produisant le F-16) produit actuellement le JSF\/F-35, donc particuli\u00e8rement attentif et, partant, particuli\u00e8rement bien inform\u00e9 \u00e0 propos de ce probl\u00e8me. Qui plus est, le Star Telegram<\/em>, dont nombre des lecteurs de Fort Worth sont des employ\u00e9s de Lockheed Martin, n’est certainement pas un adversaire du JSF. D’o\u00f9 l’int\u00e9r\u00eat de ces nouvelles dans ce cas, car leur tonalit\u00e9 g\u00e9n\u00e9rale ne peut \u00eatre d\u00e9crite comme tr\u00e8s encourageante.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t Ainsi, dans ses premiers paragraphes, le Star Telegram<\/em> laisse entendre, d’une fa\u00e7on qui ne peut \u00eatre consid\u00e9r\u00e9e comme gratuite selon ce qui a \u00e9t\u00e9 not\u00e9 plus haut, que les estimations du JET vont \u00eatre particuli\u00e8rement mauvaises pour le JSF. (Soulign\u00e9s en gras par nous, les mots qui illustrent cette tendance.)<\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00abA team of crack Pentagon cost analysts and technical experts has begun a close review of Lockheed Martin’s F-35 joint strike fighter program that is expected to produce a<\/em> sharply higher<\/em><\/strong> cost estimate. \t\u00bbJust a year ago the Joint Estimate Team told senior Defense Department officials that getting the F-35 into service would cost at least $15 billion more than expected. That forecast was sidestepped by Pentagon officials as they prepared the 2010 defense budget. But a similar or<\/em> worse<\/em><\/strong> projection this time could present defense planners with difficult choices in the fall as they prepare the 2011 budget proposal.<\/em>\u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t Devant cette tonalit\u00e9 n\u00e9gative, Lockheed Martin, qui est \u00e9galement interrog\u00e9, r\u00e9pond par une inalt\u00e9rable bonne humeur. Les gens du JET seraient d\u00e9j\u00e0 convaincus, affirme LM, que le programme va beaucoup mieux qu’ils ne croyaient.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00abSome members of the cost estimating team visited Fort Worth recently to meet with Lockheed officials and get progress reports. I think they came with some skepticism and left with confidence in the program, said Tom Burbage, Lockheed executive vice president and F-35 program general manager. The full team of analysts is due back soon for an in-depth review of the program.<\/em>\u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n \tA noter que, dans le m\u00eame esprit, l’analyste Loren B. Thompson, dont l’institut (le Lexington Institute) re\u00e7oit une g\u00e9n\u00e9reuse contribution de Lockheed Martin, s’emploie \u00e0 donner quelques appr\u00e9ciations qui vont dans le sens d’une revigoration g\u00e9n\u00e9rale du moral (\u00abAs of right now we’re looking at a situation that is not as bad as the original <\/em>[JET] 2008 cost estimate<\/em>\u00bb; et il donne cette \u00e9trange recommandation qu’il est pr\u00e9f\u00e9rable de ne pas suivre les estimations d\u00e9favorables au programme [m\u00eame si elles sont fond\u00e9es?] parce que, ce faisant, on l’handicaperait, notamment au niveau de l’emploi \u00abIf policymakers act on n\u00e9gative<\/em> [cost] projections, it could have bad consequences for production plans and result in slower employment growth<\/em>\u00bb).<\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t Dans tous les cas, LM joue la montre, tenir le plus possible pour rendre le programme indestructible \u00e0 cause de la catastrophe que serait son abandon. Pour cela, et sans craindre la contradiction avec les affirmations que tout va bien, il observe que, de toutes les fa\u00e7ons, on ne saura rien de pr\u00e9cis avant un nombre assez \u00e9lev\u00e9 d’essais en vol, que ces essais sont en retard et ne cesse de prendre du retard, et que, par cons\u00e9quent, on ne saurait rien de pr\u00e9cis avant un temps assez important Bonne tactique du apr\u00e8s nous le d\u00e9luge, l’information sur le d\u00e9luge \u00e9tant repouss\u00e9e le plus loin possible.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00abBut there have been relatively few flight tests, which are the most tangible sign of progress. Flight testing continues to lag well behind the revised schedule set forth a year ago and even behind plans of a few months ago. Test airplanes are taking longer to complete and are requiring more upgrades and modifications after initial flights. Critical flight testing of the short-takeoff and vertical-landing capabilities of the F-35B, originally set to begin in March or April, is now to begin in October.<\/em>\u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00bbLockheed officials say they won’t be able to prove skeptics wrong until a significant share of the 5,000-plus hours of flight testing has been completed, a goal that is a year or more away. I think everyone would like to see us move faster on flight tests, said Burbage, but the planes can’t be flown until they’re ready.<\/em>\u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n \tMais revenons \u00e0 la tonalit\u00e9 g\u00e9n\u00e9rale de l’article. Elle se trouve r\u00e9sum\u00e9e dans ce passage, qui indique bien le changement qui pourrait \u00eatre en train de s’op\u00e9rer, du c\u00f4t\u00e9 du Pentagone (Gates), entre l’attitude qui pr\u00e9vaut ces derniers mois (soutien maximal au JSF) et ce qui pourrait devenir la nouvelle attitude pour le budget FY2011: r\u00e9vision de la projection budg\u00e9taire et restructuration du programme en fonction des difficult\u00e9s techniques et du retard du JSF, et de ses co\u00fbts en augmentation. \u00abDefense Secretary Robert Gates has expressed strong support for the F-35, but a significantly higher cost estimate would undoubtedly increase scrutiny of the program. The Pentagon and Congress would have to make hard decisions to adjust the F-35 development and production schedule or reallocate funds from other programs in an already tight defense budget.<\/em>\u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n \tConcr\u00e8tement, cela se traduirait, au mieux<\/strong>, par un retard d’au moins deux ans sur l’actuelle programmation, d\u00e9j\u00e0 tributaire d’un tr\u00e8s lourd retard, et tout cela sans prendre en compte tous les probl\u00e8mes suppl\u00e9mentaires qui vont survenir, dans la logique de ce programme-catastrophe. Il y en aura, notamment, suite aux essais en vol, sans cesse retard\u00e9s comme on l’a vu plus haut, qui sont retard\u00e9s pour des probl\u00e8mes techniques, qui susciteront par cons\u00e9quent de nouveaux probl\u00e8mes techniques comme r\u00e9sultats de leurs vols d’\u00e9valuation, amenant des modifications suppl\u00e9mentaires, avec co\u00fbts et d\u00e9lais suppl\u00e9mentaires. La litanie-JSF d\u00e9sormais.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n <\/p>\n \tMis en ligne le 17 ao\u00fbt 2009 \u00e0 06H24<\/p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" On trouve sans doute le plus d’indications \u00e0 ce jour sur les perspectives du programme JSF, dans l’ombre de la r\u00e9\u00e9valuation que doit effectuer l’\u00e9quipe JET (Joint Estimates Team) qui est d\u00e9sormais le juge d’instruction quasi-officiel du programme, dans un article du 15 ao\u00fbt 2009 du Fort Worth Star Telegram. Journal local, certes, mais journal… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"neve_meta_sidebar":"","neve_meta_container":"","neve_meta_enable_content_width":"","neve_meta_content_width":0,"neve_meta_title_alignment":"","neve_meta_author_avatar":"","neve_post_elements_order":"","neve_meta_disable_header":"","neve_meta_disable_footer":"","neve_meta_disable_title":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[5236,2969,8573,3984,8500,250,7689,3491,8572],"class_list":["post-70991","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-bloc-notes","tag-delais","tag-f-35","tag-fy2011","tag-gates","tag-jet","tag-jsf","tag-restructuration","tag-star","tag-telegram"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/70991","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=70991"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/70991\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=70991"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=70991"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=70991"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}