7 mai 2010<\/a> estiment qu’il y a de fortes chances pour une d\u00e9cision de dissolution du Parlement nouvellement \u00e9lu et de nouvelles \u00e9lections cette ann\u00e9e m\u00eame.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n\tMais l’appr\u00e9ciation de l’\u00e9v\u00e9nement est plus sujette \u00e0 contestation. Certains de ceux qui avancent cette pr\u00e9vision concluent que la dissolution permettra aux conservateurs d’emporter une victoire confortable avec majorit\u00e9 absolue, r\u00e9tablissant le bon vieux syst\u00e8me. Peut-\u00eatre, mais c’est compter sans les \u00e9v\u00e9nements g\u00e9n\u00e9raux, la crise, l’\u00e9tat d\u00e9vast\u00e9 du Royaume-Uni et ainsi de suite, justement, ce qui a caus\u00e9 la situation actuelle. La dissolution pr\u00e9cipit\u00e9e peut aussi bien \u00eatre un signe d’impuissance et aggraver la forme d’impasse o\u00f9 se trouve le syst\u00e8me.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n
\t\u00abAs the Conservatives started to negotiate with the Liberal Democrats about forming some form of alliance, political historians warned that it there was a strong chance that Britain would be forced to go to the polls by as soon as the end of the year. Dr Richard Toye, an historian at Exeter University, said: I’d bet on an election in October or November this year.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n\t\u00bbAccording to the latest odds, being quoted by Betfair, the chances of a second election by the end of 2010 jumped from 28 per cent to 38 per cent during the course of the Friday, as political betters started to lay money on a Conservative-led alliance falling apart and David Cameron going to the country in an attempt to win an outright majority.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n\t\u00bbThe last time Britain elected a hung parliament, in February 1974, it resulted in a second election in October of that year, eight months later.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n\t\u00bbDr David Butler of Nuffield College, Oxford, one of the country’s leading election experts, said there was likely be another election very soon, because I don’t see the compromises that are necessary for a coalition. He told the BBC: I think the 1974 analogy is a very strong one and I think if Cameron does carry the next government, a minority government, he has a very good chance of winning a clear majority in a quick election afterwards.<\/em>\u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n\n
dedefensa.org<\/em><\/p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"De nouvelles \u00e9lections UK cette ann\u00e9e ? Le Royaume-Uni est-il en train de se transformer en une forme anglo-saxonne de IV\u00e8me R\u00e9publique? Des experts cit\u00e9s par le Daily Telegraph le 7 mai 2010 estiment qu’il y a de fortes chances pour une d\u00e9cision de dissolution du Parlement nouvellement \u00e9lu et de nouvelles \u00e9lections cette ann\u00e9e… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"neve_meta_sidebar":"","neve_meta_container":"","neve_meta_enable_content_width":"","neve_meta_content_width":0,"neve_meta_title_alignment":"","neve_meta_author_avatar":"","neve_post_elements_order":"","neve_meta_disable_header":"","neve_meta_disable_footer":"","neve_meta_disable_title":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[14],"tags":[4141,3575],"class_list":["post-71854","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-ouverture-libre","tag-elections","tag-royaume-uni"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/71854","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=71854"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/71854\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=71854"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=71854"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=71854"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}