{"id":71938,"date":"2010-06-07T11:23:16","date_gmt":"2010-06-07T11:23:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/2010\/06\/07\/le-pessimisme-de-lestablishment\/"},"modified":"2010-06-07T11:23:16","modified_gmt":"2010-06-07T11:23:16","slug":"le-pessimisme-de-lestablishment","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/2010\/06\/07\/le-pessimisme-de-lestablishment\/","title":{"rendered":"Le pessimisme de l’establishment<\/em>"},"content":{"rendered":"

Le pessimisme de l’establishment<\/em><\/h4>\n

Nous avons souvent dit que Irwin Stelzer, commentateur US du Sunday Times<\/em>, consultant \u00e9conomique des affaires et membre \u00e9minent du Hudson Institute, repr\u00e9sentait une voix autoris\u00e9e de l’establishment<\/em> anglo-saxon, particuli\u00e8rement washingtonien. D’o\u00f9 l’int\u00e9r\u00eat de sa chronique du 6 juin 2010<\/a>, du Sunday Times<\/em> effectivement, o\u00f9 il exprime un \u00e9tat d’esprit tr\u00e8s pessimiste, hors de toute consid\u00e9ration catastrophiste ponctuelle. L’accumulation de mauvaises nouvelles dans tous les domaines, les r\u00e9sultats d\u00e9cevants de la reprise \u00e9conomique US sont parmi les sujets d’inqui\u00e9tude sectoriels.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00abThe bad news is that there is a lot of bad news. BP, known to our president as British Petroleum, is destroying the ecology of the Gulf of Mexico, and wrecking the economies of the states that abut it. The eurozone is in a state of chaos as profligate nations prove unable to repay the money they have borrowed, creating the possibility of another collapse of the international financial system.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00bbTensions in the Middle East and on the Korean peninsula are rising. Japan’s prime minister has resigned, as has Germany’s president, unsettling the political picture in both countries, not good news for those hoping for robust recoveries in the world’s second and fourth-largest economies, respectively. China’s economy, the third largest, seems to be overheating. Iran’s effort to go nuclear proceeds, unimpeded by UN resolutions or sanctions.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00abMeanwhile, the American economic recovery is experiencing a wobble. Only 41,000 of the 431,000 non-farm jobs created in May were in the private sector, and perhaps 20% of those, by one estimate, were to help clean up the oil spill. The government hired 411,000 temporary and low-paid census takers, bringing the total knocking on doors to 564,000. They will soon return to the unemployment rolls or part-time work. No surprise that share prices plunged when the bad jobs news was released.<\/em>\u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\tStelzer, ensuite, se reprend. Il \u00e9nonce quelques motifs d’une satisfaction extr\u00eamement modeste, conform\u00e9ment aux tendances du syst\u00e8me. Mais m\u00eame dans sa conclusion, o\u00f9 il \u00e9crit sans conviction qu’un nouveau plan d’aide devrait, apr\u00e8s les \u00e9lections de novembre aux USA, tenter d’acc\u00e9l\u00e9rer cette trop modeste am\u00e9lioration de l’\u00e9conomie, Stelzer laisse percer son scepticisme devant ce monde tr\u00e8s incertain. On peut \u00eatre s\u00fbr qu’il s’agit, de plus en plus, de l’exacte mesure de l’\u00e9tat d’esprit de l’establishment<\/em>. Sorti de la fr\u00e9n\u00e9sie des crises ponctuelles (15 septembre 2008), puis des plans de relance, cet \u00e9tat d’esprit est celui de la prise de conscience de la globalit\u00e9 et de l’aspect structurel de la crise g\u00e9n\u00e9rale.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00abAnd a new stimulus bill is certain to precede the November elections. So growth there will be, barring any shocks to the system. Which, of course, are not out of the question in this very uncertain world.<\/em>\u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\n

dedefensa.org<\/em><\/p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Le pessimisme de l’establishment Nous avons souvent dit que Irwin Stelzer, commentateur US du Sunday Times, consultant \u00e9conomique des affaires et membre \u00e9minent du Hudson Institute, repr\u00e9sentait une voix autoris\u00e9e de l’establishment anglo-saxon, particuli\u00e8rement washingtonien. D’o\u00f9 l’int\u00e9r\u00eat de sa chronique du 6 juin 2010, du Sunday Times effectivement, o\u00f9 il exprime un \u00e9tat d’esprit tr\u00e8s… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"neve_meta_sidebar":"","neve_meta_container":"","neve_meta_enable_content_width":"","neve_meta_content_width":0,"neve_meta_title_alignment":"","neve_meta_author_avatar":"","neve_post_elements_order":"","neve_meta_disable_header":"","neve_meta_disable_footer":"","neve_meta_disable_title":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[14],"tags":[3228,4118,9645,5686],"class_list":["post-71938","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-ouverture-libre","tag-crise","tag-establishment","tag-globale","tag-stelzer"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/71938","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=71938"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/71938\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=71938"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=71938"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=71938"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}