Dans le m\u00eame num\u00e9ro de National Review<\/em> du 7 ao\u00fbt 2010 cit\u00e9 par ailleurs<\/a>, on trouve un \u00e9ditorial (acc\u00e8s libre<\/a>) de Charlie Cook, un commentateur fameux des affaires politiques et int\u00e9rieures \u00e0 Washington. Le th\u00e8me essentiel et particuli\u00e8rement remarquable, c’est le changement identifi\u00e9 chez les Am\u00e9ricains en deux ans, par des moyens statistiques qui recoupent le sentiment g\u00e9n\u00e9ral, de leur attitude vis-\u00e0-vis du pouvoir central de Washington : la mise en cause, d\u00e9sormais majoritaire dans la population US, de ce gouvernement central… C’est une tendance d\u00e9volutionnaire qui concerne le principal probl\u00e8me qu’affrontent aujourd’hui les USA, qui est le probl\u00e8me de leur coh\u00e9sion politique et physique.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00abFor some time, the NBC News\/Wall Street Journal surveys conducted by Democratic pollster Peter Hart and Republican pollster Bill McInturff have asked people whether they believed that government should do more to solve problems and help meet the needs of people or that government is doing too many things better left to business and individuals. In a PowerPoint presentation for clients and friends, McInturff has shown that in the eight NBC\/WSJ polls taken between January 2002 and April 2009, Americans preferred government to do more rather than less.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00bbSometimes the margin was very wide. In September 2007, for example, 55 percent of respondents said that government should do more and only 38 percent said that government was trying to do too much. Other times, the margin was smaller but, every time, more Americans sided with greater governmental involvement, not less.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00bbIn four consecutive NBC\/WSJ polls, starting 11 months ago, however, the story changed. More people began to say that government was doing too much. The margins were not breathtaking 2-to-5 points but they were noteworthy.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00bbMore importantly, however, a change began to take place about a year ago among independent voters, who are usually less engaged and less ideological than either party’s faithful. Democrats have long tended to believe that government should do more and Republicans have consistently preached that government does too much.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00bbBy a few points, independent voters had generally sided with Democrats in favor of the government doing more, but they significantly changed their tune beginning last September. More than half, 56 percent, said then that government was doing too many things, and only 35 percent said that government should do more. In the five polls that began that month, the less government opinion won out by 10-to-21 points among independents, most recently in June 2010 by 15 points, 55 percent to 40 percent. That survey obviously came after the House voted for cap-and-trade legislation and after the health care reform battle was fully engaged.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00bbSuch a decisive shift in swing voters’ attitudes about government’s proper role will inevitably have electoral and policy implications. Independents supported Democrats for Congress by an 18-point margin in 2006, and by an 8-point advantage in 2008. In general, the shift among independents approximates the national popular vote for the House and translates very clearly into seats. In Gallup’s polling this year, Republicans have averaged a 10-point lead in the generic congressional ballot test. An 18-point reversal, from an 8-point lead for Democrats in 2008 to a 10-point edge for Republicans, would have a dramatic impact in swing congressional districts and other key House and Senate races this year.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00bbIt’s impossible to prove, but it seems likely that the weak economy and the feeling that the government is overreaching have become the two common dynamics in this election. These two monumental challenges would have seemed unlikely when Democrats celebrated Obama’s inauguration, but they are very real today<\/em>\u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n \n dedefensa.org<\/em><\/p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Le centre en cause Dans le m\u00eame num\u00e9ro de National Review du 7 ao\u00fbt 2010 cit\u00e9 par ailleurs, on trouve un \u00e9ditorial (acc\u00e8s libre) de Charlie Cook, un commentateur fameux des affaires politiques et int\u00e9rieures \u00e0 Washington. Le th\u00e8me essentiel et particuli\u00e8rement remarquable, c’est le changement identifi\u00e9 chez les Am\u00e9ricains en deux ans, par des… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"neve_meta_sidebar":"","neve_meta_container":"","neve_meta_enable_content_width":"","neve_meta_content_width":0,"neve_meta_title_alignment":"","neve_meta_author_avatar":"","neve_post_elements_order":"","neve_meta_disable_header":"","neve_meta_disable_footer":"","neve_meta_disable_title":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[14],"tags":[8189,5017,9921,8431,3811,6398,2662,3823,9922,3890,1492],"class_list":["post-72174","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-ouverture-libre","tag-cause","tag-centre","tag-charklie","tag-cohesion","tag-cook","tag-devolution","tag-en","tag-journal","tag-mis","tag-national","tag-sondages"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/72174","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=72174"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/72174\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=72174"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=72174"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=72174"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}