{"id":72190,"date":"2010-08-17T06:35:11","date_gmt":"2010-08-17T06:35:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/2010\/08\/17\/la-peur-grandit\/"},"modified":"2010-08-17T06:35:11","modified_gmt":"2010-08-17T06:35:11","slug":"la-peur-grandit","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/2010\/08\/17\/la-peur-grandit\/","title":{"rendered":"La peur grandit"},"content":{"rendered":"

La peur grandit<\/h4>\n

Sur Huffington.post<\/em>, le 16 ao\u00fbt 2010<\/a>, un texte tr\u00e8s court reprenant les avis de plusieurs \u00e9conomistes de renom, dont certains qui ont acquis leur c\u00e9l\u00e9brit\u00e9 en annon\u00e7ant la premi\u00e8re crise (autour de l’effondrement du 15 septembre 2008). Leur caract\u00e9ristique commune cette fois ? La m\u00eame chose, qui est l’annonce qu’il appara\u00eet de plus en plus possible que nous nous dirigions rapidement et abruptement vers une rechute dramatique, \u00abincrased chance of double-dip Recession<\/em>\u00bb, c’est-\u00e0-dire une nouvelle r\u00e9cession qui rapprocherait d\u00e9cisivement l’ensemble de la s\u00e9quence d’une v\u00e9ritable nouvelle Grande D\u00e9pression.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00abBuried amidst the increasingly gloomy economic news of the last few weeks which includes stubbornly high unemployment, rising foreclosures and a grim outlook from the Fed, among other factors is a growing sense of doom among some prominent economists.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00bbMore than a few top economic thinkers have significantly upped the chances of a return to a recession. Today, the noted bear Nouriel Roubini, the cofounder and chairman of Roubini Global Economics and a professor at New York University’s Stern School of Business, delivered a grim prognostication via Twitter: Risk of a double dip recession in advanced economies (US, Japan, Eurozone) has now risen to 40%.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00bbRoubini is not alone in his concern. Last week, David Rosenberg, the Gluskin Sheff economist (formerly of Merrill Lynch), whose words have become must-read barometers of bear-ishness, said that the chances of a double-dip recession in the U.S. are now higher than 50-50.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00bbYale’s Robert Shiller, one of the nation’s preeminent housing experts and the co-creator of the widely watched Case-Shiller Index, also said last week that there’s greater than a 50 percent chance of falling into another downturn. The culprit, according to both Rosenberg and Shiller, is, quite simply, jobs<\/em> []<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00bbMohamed El-Erian, the CEO of PIMCO, the world’s largest bond investor, who the creator of the now ubiquitous phrase new normal, said earlier this month that the U.S. faces a 25 percent chance of a double dip and deflation.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00bbThe dire forecasts are coming even from some of Wall Street’s most profitable banks. Last week, Goldman Sachs warned in an email to clients that the chances of another downturn are 25 to 30 percent.<\/em>\u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\tUne vision assez approchante, mais cette fois concentr\u00e9e sur l’\u00e9volution des chiffres \u00e9conomiques et sociaux aux USA, est pr\u00e9sente dans l’article du Los Angeles Times<\/em> du 14 ao\u00fbt 2010<\/a> : \u00abEconomic fears rise as disappointing figures pile up<\/em>\u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\n

dedefensa.org<\/em><\/p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

La peur grandit Sur Huffington.post, le 16 ao\u00fbt 2010, un texte tr\u00e8s court reprenant les avis de plusieurs \u00e9conomistes de renom, dont certains qui ont acquis leur c\u00e9l\u00e9brit\u00e9 en annon\u00e7ant la premi\u00e8re crise (autour de l’effondrement du 15 septembre 2008). Leur caract\u00e9ristique commune cette fois ? La m\u00eame chose, qui est l’annonce qu’il appara\u00eet de… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"neve_meta_sidebar":"","neve_meta_container":"","neve_meta_enable_content_width":"","neve_meta_content_width":0,"neve_meta_title_alignment":"","neve_meta_author_avatar":"","neve_post_elements_order":"","neve_meta_disable_header":"","neve_meta_disable_footer":"","neve_meta_disable_title":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[14],"tags":[3083,2891,3725,9943,8274],"class_list":["post-72190","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-ouverture-libre","tag-depression","tag-grande","tag-recession","tag-rechute","tag-roubini"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/72190","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=72190"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/72190\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=72190"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=72190"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=72190"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}