{"id":72240,"date":"2010-09-03T08:40:20","date_gmt":"2010-09-03T08:40:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/2010\/09\/03\/mid-term-et-perfect-storm\/"},"modified":"2010-09-03T08:40:20","modified_gmt":"2010-09-03T08:40:20","slug":"mid-term-et-perfect-storm","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/2010\/09\/03\/mid-term-et-perfect-storm\/","title":{"rendered":"Mid-term<\/em> et perfect storm<\/em>"},"content":{"rendered":"

Mid-term<\/em> et perfect Storm<\/em><\/h4>\n

Rupert Cornwell, l’excellent analyste de The Independent<\/em>, envoie un reportage de Washington ce 3 septembre 2010<\/a>, o\u00f9 il d\u00e9taille la situation politique US \u00e0 deux mois des \u00e9lections mid-term<\/em>. Il s’attache aux derni\u00e8res estimations du c\u00e9l\u00e8bre analyste Charlie Cook et de sa tr\u00e8s respect\u00e9e Lettre d’information Cook Political Report<\/em>.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\tLes pr\u00e9visions ne peuvent \u00eatre pires : d\u00e9faite s\u00e9v\u00e8re des d\u00e9mocrates, peut-\u00eatre jusqu’\u00e0 la perte de la majorit\u00e9 dans les deux Chambres ; un parti r\u00e9publicain vainqueur mais extr\u00eamement instable \u00e0) cause des nombreux \u00e9l\u00e9ments de Tea Party<\/em> qui l’ont p\u00e9n\u00e9tr\u00e9 ou qui p\u00e8sent sur lui.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00abThere has long been scant doubt that, barring a swift and improbable upturn in the economy, Republicans will pick up the 39 extra seats they need to regain control of the House of Representatives they lost in 2006. Now, polls say, they are on track to do better still, and have a reasonable chance of winning back the Senate as well.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00bbThe respected Cook Political Report reckons that no less than 68 of the 256 House seats currently held by Democrats are at substantial risk, compared to 58 in June, with, at most, 10 Republican seats in danger. A similar picture emerges from the latest Crystal Ball survey by Professor Larry Sabato of the University of Virginia, which projects a net gain for Republicans of 47 seats, translating into a comfortable majority of 226 to 209.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00bbIn the Senate, the Republican target of a gain of 10 to overturn the current 59-41 Democratic majority, also appears to be inching closer…<\/em> []<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00bbBut if the worst-case scenario for Democrats materialises, life will not be all plain sailing for Republicans either. In 1994, Republicans campaigned on a clear programme, the so-called Contract with America. This year, they have relied not on a specific alternative platform of their own, but merely on blanket opposition to everything proposed by the Democrats.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00bbIn midterm elections, which almost invariably produce a backlash against the party holding the White House, such a strategy usually works. However the new Congress that convenes in January 2011 may be different.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00bbA landslide would send many ultra-conservative, anti-establishment Tea Party-leaning Republicans to Washington for the first time, ready to defy not just Democrats but also their own leaders they regard as part of a detested status quo.<\/em>\u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\n

dedefensa.org<\/em><\/p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Mid-term et perfect Storm Rupert Cornwell, l’excellent analyste de The Independent, envoie un reportage de Washington ce 3 septembre 2010, o\u00f9 il d\u00e9taille la situation politique US \u00e0 deux mois des \u00e9lections mid-term. Il s’attache aux derni\u00e8res estimations du c\u00e9l\u00e8bre analyste Charlie Cook et de sa tr\u00e8s respect\u00e9e Lettre d’information Cook Political Report. Les pr\u00e9visions… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"neve_meta_sidebar":"","neve_meta_container":"","neve_meta_enable_content_width":"","neve_meta_content_width":0,"neve_meta_title_alignment":"","neve_meta_author_avatar":"","neve_post_elements_order":"","neve_meta_disable_header":"","neve_meta_disable_footer":"","neve_meta_disable_title":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[14],"tags":[3811,3684,7069,5427,5310,4137,8256,3685],"class_list":["post-72240","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-ouverture-libre","tag-cook","tag-mid","tag-party","tag-perfect","tag-republicains","tag-storm","tag-tea","tag-term"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/72240","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=72240"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/72240\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=72240"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=72240"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=72240"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}