{"id":72440,"date":"2010-11-09T13:23:54","date_gmt":"2010-11-09T13:23:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/2010\/11\/09\/le-reste-du-monde-contre-qe2\/"},"modified":"2010-11-09T13:23:54","modified_gmt":"2010-11-09T13:23:54","slug":"le-reste-du-monde-contre-qe2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/2010\/11\/09\/le-reste-du-monde-contre-qe2\/","title":{"rendered":"Le reste du monde contre QE2"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><h4>Le reste du monde contre QE2<\/h4>\n<p>Depuis que la Federal Reserve a pris, le 3 novembre, sa d\u00e9cision dite QE2 (<em>Quantitative Easing<\/em> 2, terme technique rassurant pour d\u00e9signer la planche \u00e0 billets), portant sur pr\u00e8s de $1.000 milliards, les r\u00e9actions ne cessent pas et rassemblent litt\u00e9ralement <em>the Rest Of the World<\/em> (ROW) contre les USA. Cette d\u00e9cision refl\u00e8te \u00e0 la fois la position arbitraire, irresponsable et insupportable du dollar dans le syst\u00e8me mondial, et la politique g\u00e9n\u00e9rale la plus unilat\u00e9raliste et la plus irresponsable pour les relations internationales qu&rsquo;aient d\u00e9velopp\u00e9 les USA dans une telle p\u00e9riode de tension, o\u00f9 ils pr\u00e9tendent justement conduire le processus g\u00e9n\u00e9ral de lutte contre la crise. La d\u00e9cision, dans le cadre de cette politique, refl\u00e8te \u00e9galement le d\u00e9sordre int\u00e9rieur de Washington, l&rsquo;absence de strat\u00e9gie \u00e0 long terme au profit du court terme le plus irresponsable, et, d&rsquo;une fa\u00e7on g\u00e9n\u00e9rale, le sentiment d&rsquo;impuissance des autorit\u00e9s US devant leur incapacit\u00e9 \u00e0 juguler leur propre crise \u00e9conomique.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\tDeux commentaires de cette d\u00e9cision et des divers \u00e9v\u00e9nements qui se sont encha\u00een\u00e9s depuis. <\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\t Dans le <em>Daily Telegraph<\/em> du <a href=\"http:\/\/www.telegraph.co.uk\/finance\/comment\/liamhalligan\/8114818\/The-rest-of-the-world-goes-West-when-America-prints-more-money.html\" class=\"gen\">6 novembre 2010<\/a>, Liam Halligan observe que la d\u00e9cision de la Federal Reserve contribue d\u00e9cisivement \u00e0 isoler les USA du reste du monde et \u00e0 mettre en place les conditions d&rsquo;une crise majeure \u00e0 diff\u00e9rents niveaux, risquant de d\u00e9clencher diff\u00e9rents processus d&rsquo;inflation et indirectement de situations de famine. Halligan estime qu&rsquo;il s&rsquo;agit d&rsquo;un Suez \u00e9conomique (allusion \u00e0 la crise de Suez de 1956) pour les USA.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\t\u00ab<em>Last Wednesday was a hinge point in history. The United States decided to drop all pretence of being interested in leading  or even being part of  a coordinated global policy response to the most serious economic crisis in more than 70 years.<\/em> [] <em>America is now isolated and the rest of the world is furious. The widespread use of capital controls and even a lurch into 1930s-style protectionism are both far more likely than just a few days ago.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\t\u00bb<em>In the aftermath of the Fed&rsquo;s QE2 announcement, rather than agreeing to measures that would ease pressure on the US economy, China gave the States a public tongue-lashing. Measures to cap trade surpluses would \u00ab\u00a0hark back to the days of planned economies\u00a0\u00bb, said Cui Tiankai, who will be one of China&rsquo;s lead negotiators in Seoul.<\/em> []<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\t\u00bb<em>Up until now, the rest of the world has been willing to tolerate unprecedented money-printing by the US  and the UK for that matter. QE has been used to help various financial institutions avoid facing up to their losses, while covertly recapitalising Western banks that are, to all intents and purposes, insolvent. Money-printing has also pumped up equity prices. After the latest Fed-induced sugar rush, the FTSE global all-share index hit a two-year high.<\/em> []<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\t\u00bb<em>But, in recent weeks, something has changed. Big players such as China, Brazil  and Germany too  think the US has gone far too far and are now saying so. Their patience has snapped, given the far-reaching negative impact of QE beyond America&rsquo;s shores. While everybody wants the US economy to recover, said Guido Mantega, Brazil&rsquo;s highly-respected finance minister, it does no good at all to just throw dollars from a helicopter.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\t\u00bb<em>In a newspaper article, Xia Bin, a long-standing adviser to China&rsquo;s Central Bank, last week referred to the unbridled printing of dollars as the biggest risk to the global economy. As long as the world exercises no restraint in issuing dollars then the occurrence of another crisis is inevitable, as some wise Westerners have lamented, he wrote.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\t\u00bb<em>Along with fears that the Fed is blowing yet another asset-price bubble, that will lead to a damaging collapse, America stands accused (rightly) of using QE to artificially depress the dollar, so unfairly boosting US exports at the expense of those from elsewhere, including the eurozone. At the same time, a lower US currency also reduces the real value of the huge debts that America owes the rest of the world  not least the Chinese.<\/em> [ ]<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\t\u00bb<em>Aside from precious metals, the nightmare scenario is that QE causes a surge in the price of commodities and other inputs needed to keep the Western world running  as investors use such assets as an anti-debasement hedge.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\t\u00bb<em>There are signs this is starting to happen, beyond the crude markets. Since August, when the prospect of more Fed QE became real, cotton prices are up 68pc, sugar prices have risen 66pc and rice is up by a third.<\/em> <\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\t\u00bb<em>That&rsquo;s why QE will be blamed for so much more than unfair currency devaluations and for imposing a soft default on America&rsquo;s creditors. This crazy money-printing is going to be seen as the primary cause of Western inflation, food riots and a commodity price spike.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\t\u00bb<em>This policy, in my view, is nothing less than America&rsquo;s economic Suez.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\t Ce <a href=\"http:\/\/www.wsws.org\/articles\/2010\/nov2010\/pers-n09.shtml\" class=\"gen\">9 novembre 2010<\/a>, <em>WSWS.org<\/em> s&rsquo;attache \u00e0 l&rsquo;article (dans le <em>Financial Times<\/em>) de Robert Zoellick, pr\u00e9sident de la Banque Mondiale, qui propose d&rsquo;envisager un nouveau r\u00f4le de r\u00e9f\u00e9rence internationale pour l&rsquo;or. Cette proposition se place directement dans la logique de la d\u00e9cision QE2 de la Federal Reserve, et comme une contestation majeure de cette d\u00e9cision. <em>WSWS.org<\/em>, qui a d\u00e9j\u00e0 consacr\u00e9 un article \u00e0 QE2 (le <a href=\"http:\/\/www.wsws.org\/articles\/2010\/nov2010\/pers-n05.shtml<D\" class=\"gen\">5 novembre 2010<\/a>), revient sur le sujet en insistant \u00e0 nouveau sur les dangers d&rsquo;affrontements que la d\u00e9cision implique.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\t\u00ab<em>In the run-up to the G20 summit of leading economies, to be held Thursday and Friday in Seoul, the president of the World Bank has published a column in the Financial Times calling for a fundamental revamping of the global currency system involving a lesser role for the US dollar and a modified gold standard<\/em> []<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\t\u00bb<em>Here Zoellick is referring to the announcement by the US Federal Reserve last week of a second round of quantitative easingthe printing of hundreds of billions of dollars to buy US Treasury securitiesand the sharp criticisms of this move by major US trade competitors including China, Germany, South Africa and Brazil. The US move is seen correctly as an intensification of a deliberate policy to cheapen the dollar in order to make exports less expensive and foreign imports more expensive.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\t\u00bb<em>The Obama administration is focusing its economic attack on China. It wants to line up Europe, Japan, India and other Asian countries at the G20 summit behind its demand that China allow its currency to appreciate more rapidly.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\t\u00bb<em>However, its cheap dollar policy is roiling relations with other export-oriented, surplus nations, most notably Germany. In unusually bellicose language, German Finance Minister Wolfgang Sch\u00e4uble denounced the US in an interview this week with Spiegel magazine. Saying the American growth model is in deep crisis, he added, The United States lived on borrowed money for too long, inflating its financial sector and neglecting its small and mid-sized industrial companies.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\t\u00bb<em>He went on to declare: The Fed&rsquo;s decisions bring more uncertainty to the global economy It&rsquo;s inconsistent for the Americans to accuse the Chinese of manipulating exchange rates and then to artificially depress the dollar exchange rate by printing money.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\t\u00bb<em>The USthe world&rsquo;s biggest debtor nationis exploiting the privileged position of the dollar as the primary world reserve and trading currency to drive up the exchange rates of its rivals, in essence a trade war measure. It is unleashing a flood of speculative capital into so-called emerging economies in Asia, Latin America and Africa, pushing their currencies even higher and creating the danger of speculative bubbles and inflation.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\tThis aggressive and unilateralist policy on the part of the United States is exacerbating global tensions and destabilizing the world monetary and financial system. It is heightening the likelihood of a breakdown of international relations and the outbreak of the type of uncontrolled currency and trade warfare that characterized the Great Depression and led ultimately to World War II.<D>\u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p>\n<p class=\"signature\"><em>dedefensa.org<\/em><\/p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Le reste du monde contre QE2 Depuis que la Federal Reserve a pris, le 3 novembre, sa d\u00e9cision dite QE2 (Quantitative Easing 2, terme technique rassurant pour d\u00e9signer la planche \u00e0 billets), portant sur pr\u00e8s de $1.000 milliards, les r\u00e9actions ne cessent pas et rassemblent litt\u00e9ralement the Rest Of the World (ROW) contre les USA.&hellip;&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"neve_meta_sidebar":"","neve_meta_container":"","neve_meta_enable_content_width":"","neve_meta_content_width":0,"neve_meta_title_alignment":"","neve_meta_author_avatar":"","neve_post_elements_order":"","neve_meta_disable_header":"","neve_meta_disable_footer":"","neve_meta_disable_title":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[14],"tags":[3396,5393,10273,4207,137],"class_list":["post-72440","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-ouverture-libre","tag-dollar","tag-federal","tag-qe2","tag-reserve","tag-zoellick"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/72440","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=72440"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/72440\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=72440"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=72440"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=72440"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}