More surprising than the death of Osama bin Laden on Monday was the fact that he lived unmolested in a mansion in Abbottabad, about 65 kilometers north of the Pakistani capital Islamabad. How many Pakistani officials and others must have known about this? America can do whatever we set out mind to, President Barack Obama intoned in his May 1 announcement of Bin Laden’s death at the hands during a strike by Pakistani and American special forces. Not, apparently, without a little help from its friends, and remarkably belated help at that<\/em>\u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n\tSpengler poursuit en analysant la situation op\u00e9rationnelle d’al Qa\u00efda, notamment par rapport \u00e0 l’Arabie, dans le grand chambardement en cours au Moyen-Orient. Il trouve l\u00e0 l’explication qu’il cherche de l’\u00e9limination de ben Laden. Cela s’est fait parce que ben Laden a \u00e9t\u00e9 l\u00e2ch\u00e9 par les pays musulmans qui le soutenaient \u00e0 peine discr\u00e8tement jusqu’ici, c’est-\u00e0-dire deux grands pays musulmans alli\u00e9s des USA<\/p>\n<\/p>\n
\tSpengler estime que l’Arabie, qui soutenait ben Laden en \u00e9change d’une relative inactivit\u00e9 terroriste contre elle, a d\u00e9termin\u00e9 que ce soutien devenait, dans la nouvelle situation au Moyen-Orient, plus dommageable qu’avantageux. Spengler s’en explique. Tout cela n’a rien \u00e0 voir, ni avec les USA, ni avec l’uvre de justice que poursuit cette grande puissance depuis 9\/11. Tout cela a \u00e0 voir avec les remous formidables du monde arabo-musulman, avec l’Iran, dont l’Arabie a une peur bleue, avec le Pakistan, dont l’Arabie veut s’attacher les services dans son travail urgent de renforcement. L’Arabie veut un soutien militaire direct du Pakistan, en engageant des soldats pakistanais dans sa Garde Nationale, voire en envisageant de demander un acc\u00e8s au nucl\u00e9aire pakistanais. Les arguments saoudiens sont toujours les m\u00eames, de la part de ce pays qui semblerait \u00eatre l’inventeur de la corruption absolue, si la corruption n’\u00e9tait la plus vieille activit\u00e9 politique du monde : l’argent, l’argent, l’argent L’argent, dont l’arm\u00e9e pakistanaise a le plus urgent besoin ; l’argent saoudien qui, selon Spengler, aurait fourni la commandite de la liquidation de ben Laden, presque sous la forme d’un contrat en bonne et due forme.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n
\t\u00abIn short, while al-Qaeda had drawn funding from both Saudi and Iranian sources, in present circumstances its activity tended to serve Iranian rather than Saudi interests. Support for terrorism, moreover, is a two-way street: precisely because Saudi Arabia was a critical financial support base for al-Qaeda, Saudi intelligence knows something about the recipients of their money.<\/em> <\/p>\n<\/p>\n\t\u00bbThe Saudis, moreover, have an interest in cleaning up the terrorist associations of the Pakistani military. As the Saudi cold war with Iran grows increasingly hot, Riyadh may look towards Islamabad for military support. Asia Times Online has reported that the Bahrain National Guard already is recruiting Pakistani mercenaries<\/em> <\/p>\n<\/p>\n\t\u00bbAnd there is speculation that Saudi Arabia in a pinch might ask for Pakistani troops, and also that Riyadh might source nuclear weapons technology from Pakistan to counter Iran’s nuclear program. Where else might the Saudis go for support in a war with Iran? The Saudis cannot trust the United States. King Abdullah reportedly was enraged that Obama pulled the rug out from under Mubarak, a longstanding American ally. And they cannot trust the Turks, who have become the region’s spoiler.<\/em> <\/p>\n<\/p>\n\t\u00bbPakistan’s military capacity and urgent need for money make it the Sunni power most amenable to Saudi interests. That is one more reason to clear the deck of unreliable elements like Bin Laden.<\/em> <\/p>\n<\/p>\n\t\u00bbIronically, Bin Laden appears to be a casualty in the great Arab breakdown of 2011. We can only guess as to the details of his demise, and may never know the entire truth. But it is a fair conclusion that he was crushed between the tectonic plates now shifting in the Muslim world.<\/em> <\/p>\n<\/p>\n\t\u00bbThat makes American self-congratulation over the killing a bit unseemly. American special forces may have been the proximate cause of Bin Laden’s violent death, but the efficient cause is a great strategic upheaval that America does not yet understand, and is not prepared to respond to.<\/em>\u00bb <\/p>\n<\/p>\n\tLa th\u00e8se de Spengler est int\u00e9ressante en ce sens qu’elle met bien les USA \u00e0 la place qu’ils occupent : d\u00e9pass\u00e9s, incapables de rien entendre \u00e0 l’\u00e9volution de la situation, accroch\u00e9s \u00e0 la c\u00e9l\u00e9bration hyst\u00e9rique d’\u00e9v\u00e9nements d’un pass\u00e9 d\u00e9j\u00e0 lui-m\u00eame enti\u00e8rement construit selon leur virtualisme Effectivement, la mort de ben Laden est totalement un \u00e9v\u00e9nement du pass\u00e9, le pr\u00e9sent et l’avenir se trouvant dans l’\u00e9volution des pays arabo-musulmans dans la dynamique grondante de la cha\u00eene crisique. Dans la Grande Crise actuelle, si les Saoudiens apparaissent comme les prodigieux d\u00e9positaires du fondement corrupteur du Syst\u00e8me, les acteurs am\u00e9ricanistes y figurent comme des seconds r\u00f4les, des provinciaux attard\u00e9s et de plus en plus d\u00e9pass\u00e9s, gav\u00e9s de c\u00e9l\u00e9brations d’eux-m\u00eames et de films hollywoodiens de la grande \u00e9poque, celle des studios de l’\u00c2ge d’or, et qui dispara\u00eetront sans vraiment laisser de trace.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n
\tMis en ligne le 3 mai 2011 \u00e0 07H46<\/p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
La localisation et l’identification de Ben Laden ayant conduit \u00e0 l’attaque US et \u00e0 sa mort semblent montrer la compl\u00e8te coop\u00e9ration du Pakistan. C’est l’ISI lui-m\u00eame, le fameux service de renseignement pakistanais, qui aurait guid\u00e9 le commando US. La chose a d’abord enchant\u00e9 les commentateurs US, persuad\u00e9s que l’ISI et le Pakistan c\u00e9daient enfin \u00e0… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"neve_meta_sidebar":"","neve_meta_container":"","neve_meta_enable_content_width":"","neve_meta_content_width":0,"neve_meta_title_alignment":"","neve_meta_author_avatar":"","neve_post_elements_order":"","neve_meta_disable_header":"","neve_meta_disable_footer":"","neve_meta_disable_title":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[3936,3259,9550,3379,4242,4351],"class_list":["post-72972","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-bloc-notes","tag-al","tag-arabie","tag-egypte","tag-pakistan","tag-qaida","tag-spengler"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/72972","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=72972"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/72972\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=72972"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=72972"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=72972"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}