{"id":73664,"date":"2014-01-27T07:17:48","date_gmt":"2014-01-27T07:17:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/2014\/01\/27\/israel-face-au-desordre-une-revolution-strategique-et-politique\/"},"modified":"2014-01-27T07:17:48","modified_gmt":"2014-01-27T07:17:48","slug":"israel-face-au-desordre-une-revolution-strategique-et-politique","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/2014\/01\/27\/israel-face-au-desordre-une-revolution-strategique-et-politique\/","title":{"rendered":"Isra\u00ebl face au d\u00e9sordre : une r\u00e9volution strat\u00e9gique et politique ?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><h4 class=\"breve-de-crise\">Isra\u00ebl face au d\u00e9sordre : une r\u00e9volution strat\u00e9gique et politique ?<\/h4>\n<p>Lisant cette nouvelle de <em>DEBKAFiles<\/em> du <a href=\"http:\/\/www.debka.com\/article\/23627\/Israeli-officer-With-30-000-Al-Qaeda-fighters-in-Syria-Israel-re-evaluates-its-neutrality-in-civil-war\" class=\"gen\">25 janvier 2014<\/a>, on a l&rsquo;impression, par rapport \u00e0 la <a href=\"http:\/\/www.dedefensa.org\/article-la_syrie_de_al_qa_da_debkafiles__13_02_2012.html\" class=\"gen\">r\u00e9putation<\/a> du site, d&rsquo;une de ces informations plus soucieuses de la v\u00e9rit\u00e9 de la situation que de la recherche d&rsquo;une d\u00e9formation de cette v\u00e9rit\u00e9 au profit de la cause d\u00e9fendue. Il s&rsquo;agit d&rsquo;un texte, pr\u00e9sent\u00e9 comme venant d&rsquo;un officier du renseignement isra\u00e9lien parlant \u00e0 des correspondants \u00e9trangers, pour annoncer la possibilit\u00e9, voire la probabilit\u00e9 d&rsquo;une transformation fondamentale de la strat\u00e9gie isra\u00e9lienne.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\tEn cause, bien entendu, l&rsquo;\u00e9volution de la situation au Moyen-Orient vers une sorte de d\u00e9sordre structur\u00e9, bien symbolis\u00e9 par la prolif\u00e9ration des divers Al Qa\u00efda (voir le <a href=\"http:\/\/www.dedefensa.org\/article-al-qaeda_marque_d_pos_e_11_01_2014.html\" class=\"gen\">11 janvier 2014<\/a>, Al Qa\u00efda, marque d\u00e9pos\u00e9e&#8230;). Deux chiffres situent l&rsquo;urgence du d\u00e9bat, selon la source cit\u00e9e, avec l&rsquo;\u00e9valuation du nombre de combattants djihadistes en Syrie qui seraient pass\u00e9s de 2 000 \u00e0 30 000 en deux ans, cela conduisant les dirigeants isra\u00e9liens \u00e0 envisager une strat\u00e9gie d&rsquo;intervention ouverte et structur\u00e9e en Syrie&#8230; \u00ab<em>In a special briefing to foreign correspondents Friday, Jan. 24, a high-ranking Israeli intelligence officer, speaking on condition of anonymity, reported that more than 30,000 al-Qaeda-linked fighters are active in Syria, a huge increase over the 2,000 jihadis present there two years ago. With jihadis in control of Syrian territory on Israel&rsquo;s northern borders, the high-ranking officer said many discussions are taking place behind closed doors about the possibility of rethinking its strategy of neutrality in the Syrian civil war. The inference drawn from this disclosure is that, for the first time in Syria&rsquo;s three-year civil conflict, Israel is ready to embark on cross-border military action to stem this direct threat.<\/em>\u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\tL&rsquo;id\u00e9e est bien que cette strat\u00e9gie implique le passage d&rsquo;actions diverses d&rsquo;interf\u00e9rences dans les conflits en cours autour d&rsquo;Isra\u00ebl (actions qui, d&rsquo;ailleurs, contribu\u00e8rent au d\u00e9veloppement du d\u00e9sordre et des al Qa\u00efda divers&#8230;), \u00e0 une action strat\u00e9gique structur\u00e9e o\u00f9 Isra\u00ebl serait partie prenante. Il s&rsquo;agit de la r\u00e9alisation de ce qu&rsquo;est devenue, en tant qu&rsquo;importance strat\u00e9gique et d\u00e9sordre effectif, la situation dans le cur central du Moyen-Orient. Divers signes ont montr\u00e9 ce qui pourrait \u00eatre cette \u00e9volution strat\u00e9gique d&rsquo;Isra\u00ebl, notamment un certain <a href=\"http:\/\/www.dedefensa.org\/article-le_double_clairage_du_mensonge_bho-sarin_11_12_2013.html\" class=\"gen\">rapprochement<\/a> avec <a href=\"http:\/\/www.dedefensa.org\/article-prince_bandar_manipulateur_manipul__27_12_2013.html\" class=\"gen\">la Russie<\/a>, notamment au niveau d&rsquo;une coop\u00e9ration entre les services de renseignement et les structures polici\u00e8res face \u00e0 ces situations. Tout cela entra\u00eene des perspectives de changements profonds, effectifs ou potentiels, au niveau des forces militaires isra\u00e9liennes et au niveau de la politique isra\u00e9lienne de s\u00e9curit\u00e9. Dans le cas cit\u00e9, bien entendu, Isra\u00ebl appara\u00eetrait comme un alli\u00e9 objectif du r\u00e9gime Assad, et m\u00eame, par le biais des alliances, comme un alli\u00e9 objectif indirect de l&rsquo;Iran et du Hezbollah&#8230; Cela pose quelques probl\u00e8mes, au moins imm\u00e9diats d&rsquo;image et de communication, certainement profonds au niveau de la psychologie et des structures politiques internes d&rsquo;Isra\u00ebl, avec des cons\u00e9quences impr\u00e9visibles.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\t\u00ab<em>Israel&rsquo;s recourse to military action against the jihadist threat from Syria would require learning US military tactics for combating terrorists in Afghanistan and Pakistan. The IDF has no experience of this kind or scale of warfare. It would have to re-write its war doctrine and retrain substantial commando forces in preparation for long years of close-up combat against the jihadist enemy. Israel would also need to carefully weigh the pros and cons of a military campaign against al Qaeda&rsquo;s Syrian deployment, taking into consideration that resorting to a campaign against al Qaeda would ease the pressure on the Assad regime and its allies, Iran and Hizballah. That is a hard call to make.<\/em>\u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p><p>\tMis en ligne le 27 janvier 2014 \u00e0 07H15<\/p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Isra\u00ebl face au d\u00e9sordre : une r\u00e9volution strat\u00e9gique et politique ? Lisant cette nouvelle de DEBKAFiles du 25 janvier 2014, on a l&rsquo;impression, par rapport \u00e0 la r\u00e9putation du site, d&rsquo;une de ces informations plus soucieuses de la v\u00e9rit\u00e9 de la situation que de la recherche d&rsquo;une d\u00e9formation de cette v\u00e9rit\u00e9 au profit de la&hellip;&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"neve_meta_sidebar":"","neve_meta_container":"","neve_meta_enable_content_width":"","neve_meta_content_width":0,"neve_meta_title_alignment":"","neve_meta_author_avatar":"","neve_post_elements_order":"","neve_meta_disable_header":"","neve_meta_disable_footer":"","neve_meta_disable_title":"","footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[21],"tags":[3936,11461,3356,4472,2773,4242,2730,3440,3867],"class_list":["post-73664","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-breves-de-crise","tag-al","tag-debka","tag-desordre","tag-hezbollah","tag-iran","tag-qaida","tag-russie","tag-strategie","tag-syrie"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/73664","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=73664"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/73664\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=73664"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=73664"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=73664"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}