{"id":74265,"date":"2011-11-22T05:56:29","date_gmt":"2011-11-22T05:56:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/2011\/11\/22\/moby-dick-alias-uss-titanic-sombre\/"},"modified":"2011-11-22T05:56:29","modified_gmt":"2011-11-22T05:56:29","slug":"moby-dick-alias-uss-titanic-sombre","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/2011\/11\/22\/moby-dick-alias-uss-titanic-sombre\/","title":{"rendered":"Moby Dick<\/em>, alias USS Titanic<\/em>, sombre"},"content":{"rendered":"

Il y a deux semaines, recevant des personnalit\u00e9s europ\u00e9ennes d’un tr\u00e8s haut niveau en visite \u00e0 Washington, le secr\u00e9taire \u00e0 la d\u00e9fense Leon Panetta leur d\u00e9clarait qu’il fallait s’attendre \u00e0 une intervention particuli\u00e8rement dramatique, qu’il pr\u00e9voit de faire \u00e0 la r\u00e9union annuelle fameuse de la Wehrkunde<\/em>, de f\u00e9vrier 2012 \u00e0 Munich. Cette intervention actera officiellement le grand mouvement de retrait pr\u00e9cipit\u00e9 de la puissance militaire US de ses positions offensives dans le monde, ent\u00e9rinant la plus grave crise qu’ait connue le Pentagone dans son histoire. Parlerait-on de crise d\u00e9cisive ou de crise terminale ? Depuis qu’il est pass\u00e9 de la CIA au Pentagone, en juillet dernier, le visage bonhomme, rond et n\u00e9anmoins rou\u00e9 de Leon Panetta s’est creus\u00e9 et donne tous les signes de l’angoisse<\/a> permanente du bureaucrate confront\u00e9 \u00e0 la trag\u00e9die.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\tDepuis hier, l’on sait que le Congr\u00e8s s’est enfonc\u00e9 d’un palier de plus dans son impuissance chronique, son d\u00e9sordre antagoniste et furieux, sa folle agitation paralys\u00e9e. Le Super Congr\u00e8s, ou super commission, a clos ses travaux sur un constat d’\u00e9chec. Cela implique que les r\u00e9ductions budg\u00e9taires de $1.200 milliards sur dix ans, dont il discutait une r\u00e9partition ordonn\u00e9e, vont \u00eatre r\u00e9alis\u00e9es de mani\u00e8re discr\u00e9tionnaire par un automatisme qui pr\u00e9voit que 50% de cette somme viendra du Pentagone. La fureur du Pentagone, alias Moby Dick<\/em>, alias Titanic<\/em> h\u00e9las, cette fureur (le 8 ao\u00fbt 2011<\/a>) n’\u00e9tait pas feinte.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\tBien entendu, ces r\u00e9ductions ne prendront effet qu’\u00e0 partir du 1er janvier 2013 et, d’ici l\u00e0, tous les efforts seront faits pour trouver un accord tout de m\u00eame, selon toutes les rumeurs de Wahington et les recommandations du pr\u00e9sident Obama Tous les efforts ? Nous dirions plut\u00f4t que tous les \u00e9l\u00e9ments de l’affrontement sans fin seront encore aggrav\u00e9s, pour accro\u00eetre encore le d\u00e9sordre de l’impuissance et de la paralysie, avec cette fois tous les acteurs du Congr\u00e8s et non plus les seuls douze membres de la super commission acharn\u00e9s \u00e0 d\u00e9fendre leurs int\u00e9r\u00eats et ceux qu’ils repr\u00e9sentent et cela dans une ann\u00e9e \u00e9lectorale, et quelle ann\u00e9e \u00e9lectorale, celle de 2012 ! Quoi qu’il en soit, on observe aussit\u00f4t que ce soi-disant r\u00e9pit ne concerne gu\u00e8re le Pentagone, qui doit pr\u00e9senter, lui, un budget pour l’ann\u00e9e fiscale 2013 fin janvier 2012 au Congr\u00e8s. Sur quelle somme peut-il s’appuyer puisqu’il y a cette menace de coupure automatique pour le 1er janvier 2013, et cette promesse (!) d’un accord possible d’ici l\u00e0 ? Cela conduit Daniel Goure, du Lexington Institute, \u00e0 \u00e9crire (sur EarlyWarniong<\/em>, le 21 novembre 2011<\/a>), cette chronique particuli\u00e8rement catastrophiste<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00abThere is a mistaken notion floating around Washington that even if the super committee fails to arrive at a deficit reduction agreement this is no big deal because the reductions do not go into effect until January 2013. The theory goes that Congress will have plenty of time to undo the law or protect critical budget areas such as national security. In reality, most parts of the federal government will be impacted by sequestration from the movement it is triggered, and no department will be more severely impacted than the Pentagon. Half the deficit reduction must come from the national security accounts, most from the Department of Defense (DoD). By most calculations, the combination of the cuts already agreed to in the Deficit Control Act (approximately $480 billion over ten years) and the new mandatory reductions will require that defense spending be reduced by some $100 billion a year starting with Fiscal Year 2013.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00bbBut the impact of the cuts will begin immediately. Fiscal Year 2012 began on October 1; the administration is scheduled to submit its proposed Fiscal Year 2013 budget in early January. According to DoD officials the proposed budget does reflect the $480 billion in reduced spending but not the additional $600 billion or so. So, the department will have to scramble to create a new budget.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00bbMore significant, from this week forward unless and until the sequestration is reversed or modified, virtually every defense acquisition and personnel program will be thrown into utter chaos. Since it will be months at best before the decisions will be taken in the department regarding how to absorb the cuts, newly-awarded contracts will be frozen and competitions for contract awards halted. Existing contracts will fare no better, perhaps even worse. On most acquisition programs the lead companies have to buy long lead items and essentially front money to suppliers. These undefinitized contract actions are costs the companies incur on the expectation that they will be paid eventually. However, how can the Pentagon authorize expenditures even in the remainder of Fiscal Year 2012 for acquisition programs that may be terminated in Fiscal Year 2013? So, most acquisition programs will come to a screeching halt before January 2013, many possibly as early as next month<\/em>\u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\tEtc., etc On peut consid\u00e9rer que, d\u00e8s aujourd’hui, avec l’annonce officielle de l’\u00e9chec de la super commission, le Pentagone entre dans une p\u00e9riode de paralysie et de d\u00e9sordre complets au moment o\u00f9 toutes ses capacit\u00e9s, tant op\u00e9rationnelles que d’acquisition des forces sont en cours d’effondrement ; \u00e0 cet effondrement s’ajoutent d\u00e9sormais une sorte de gel des d\u00e9cisions et l’arr\u00eat des initiatives devant le d\u00e9sordre extraordinaire qui s’installe, les improvisations budg\u00e9taires et de programmations qu’il va falloir imposer, en aveugles. Si l’on veut, le Pentagone-Moby Dick<\/em> qui prenait eau de toutes parts se transformerait en un Pentagone-Titanic<\/em> apr\u00e8s l’iceberg, immobilis\u00e9 et en train de couler. D’o\u00f9 les confidences de Panetta \u00e0 ses interlocuteurs europ\u00e9ens, un Panetta d\u00e9j\u00e0 \u00e9puis\u00e9 devant les voies d’eau b\u00e9antes du monstre qu’il conduit pr\u00e9tendument, pour les avertir que les alli\u00e9s des USA doivent d\u00e9sormais s’attendre \u00e0 des d\u00e9cisions US tr\u00e8s rapides de retraite et de retrait, affectant notamment l’OTAN et l’Europe. A eux, les Europ\u00e9ens, de tenter de suppl\u00e9er \u00e0 \u00e7a, et, comme l’on sait, cela tombe fort bien, vu la forme olympique de l’Europe.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

\tMis en lmigne le 22 novembre 2012 \u00e0 05H56<\/p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Il y a deux semaines, recevant des personnalit\u00e9s europ\u00e9ennes d’un tr\u00e8s haut niveau en visite \u00e0 Washington, le secr\u00e9taire \u00e0 la d\u00e9fense Leon Panetta leur d\u00e9clarait qu’il fallait s’attendre \u00e0 une intervention particuli\u00e8rement dramatique, qu’il pr\u00e9voit de faire \u00e0 la r\u00e9union annuelle fameuse de la Wehrkunde, de f\u00e9vrier 2012 \u00e0 Munich. Cette intervention actera officiellement… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"neve_meta_sidebar":"","neve_meta_container":"","neve_meta_enable_content_width":"","neve_meta_content_width":0,"neve_meta_title_alignment":"","neve_meta_author_avatar":"","neve_post_elements_order":"","neve_meta_disable_header":"","neve_meta_disable_footer":"","neve_meta_disable_title":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[8820,3127,3285,5252,11709,5616,6197,4608,7421,4849,3487,11708],"class_list":["post-74265","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-bloc-notes","tag-automatiques","tag-budget","tag-congres","tag-dette","tag-fy2013","tag-impuissance","tag-panetta","tag-paralysie","tag-reductions","tag-retrait","tag-super","tag-werkhunde"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/74265","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=74265"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/74265\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=74265"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=74265"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=74265"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}