Contrastant imm\u00e9diatement et d’une fa\u00e7on extr\u00eamement significative les \u00e9v\u00e8nements et, surtout, les perceptions psychologiques vont vite, malgr\u00e9 les consignes<\/a>, avec ce que nous relevions hier encore (voir notre Bloc Notes<\/em> du 9 d\u00e9cembre 2011<\/a>), le Guardian<\/em> publie aujourd’hui un des premiers articles s\u00e9rieux sur les chances de Ron Paul de figurer dans la course \u00e9lectorale et de cr\u00e9er une surprise (par rapport \u00e0 l’attitude standard \u00e0 son \u00e9gard, ou \u00e0 son encontre, de la presse-Syst\u00e8me). Cet article (le 10 d\u00e9cembre 2010<\/a>) de Ewen MacAskill, \u00e9crit de Des Moines, dans l’Iowa, est, selon notre exp\u00e9rience de ce quotidien britannique, le premier \u00e0 ainsi consid\u00e9rer Ron Paul comme un candidat qui existe<\/strong> r\u00e9ellement, et qui a de fortes chances d’occuper une place puissante dans la comp\u00e9tition.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n \tL’article insiste sur l’enthousiasme des jeunes pour Ron Paul, particuli\u00e8rement pour sa politique anti-guerre. Il montre ainsi qu’une connexion est en train de se faire entre Ron Paul, le mouvement antiguerre et la jeunesse US, d\u00e9passant donc l’\u00e9tiquette strictement libertarienne du candidat. L’article insiste sur l’organisation populaire et des r\u00e9seaux qu’a su cr\u00e9er et animer Ron Paul pour le soutenir, et il compare cette action de campagne \u00e0 celle d’Obama qui remporta, autre surprise, le Caucus<\/em> de l’Iowa le 3 janvier 2008.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n \tIl y a encore quelques faiblesses d’analyse, certes. Ecrire que Ron Paul a adopt\u00e9 la tactique d’Obama en 2008, \u00abMore significantly, Paul has adopted the Barack Obama playbook<\/em>\u00bb, c’est ignorer en fait ce que fut la tactique de Ron Paul d\u00e8s 2007, bien avant qu’Obama mit s\u00e9rieusement en place son organisation. Nous dirions qu’en 2007-2008, l’Am\u00e9rique n’\u00e9tait pas encore m\u00fbre au niveau de toutes ses crises ; le parti d\u00e9mocrate faisait encore illusion comme adversaire de la politique de GW Bush, et l’on pouvait encore croire que ce qui a depuis \u00e9t\u00e9 identifi\u00e9 comme la crise centrale du Syst\u00e8me pouvait \u00eatre circonscrite \u00e0 la politique d’un homme et d’un parti (Bush et le parti r\u00e9publicain).<\/p>\n<\/p>\n \tAujourd’hui c’en est fini… Tous , absolument tous sont discr\u00e9dit\u00e9s, tous ceux de l’establishment<\/em>, serviteurs du Syst\u00e8me, d\u00e9mocrates et r\u00e9publicains (Paul \u00e9tant un r\u00e9publicain de simple \u00e9tiquette, suffisamment atypique pour \u00eatre class\u00e9 dissident). Le paradoxe est que c’est en bonne part Obama, l’homme c\u00e9l\u00e9br\u00e9 en janvier 2008 et tra\u00eetre \u00e0 lui-m\u00eame dans une mesure inou\u00efe, qui a permis ce discr\u00e9dit, qui l’a nourri, qui en a fait un \u00e9v\u00e8nement de premi\u00e8re grandeur… Ainsi, paradoxe des paradoxes (suite), si Paul l’emporte dans l’Iowa le 3 janvier 2012, c’est \u00e0 Obama, vainqueur dans l’Iowa le 3 janvier 2008 qu’il le devra en partie… Dr\u00f4le de continuit\u00e9 et symbolisme puissant, qui en disent long sur le jeu des forces m\u00e9tahistoriques en actioin aujourd’hui.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00abHe is a veteran candidate, with an isolationist and libertarian agenda perhaps more suited to a bygone era. But Ron Paul, one of the fringe Republicans, might just be capable of producing a surprise upset in the first of the Republican primary elections in Iowa, thanks to support from a unlikely quarter the young.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00bbHis anti-war message, calling on America to stop acting as the world’s policeman, is resonating, with more than 1,000 young people gathering in the Great Hall in Ames, Iowa, on Thursday night to cheer him repeatedly as he called on US troops to be brought back not just from Afghanistan but from Germany, Japan, Korea and 120 other countries round the world.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00bbThey cheered too as he opposed war in Syria or Iran, describing the nuclear threat posed by Tehran as overblown. More than 200 people, mainly students but also young people from round the state, including serving soldiers, stood in line afterwards to have their picture taken with him. It is one of the oddities of this campaign that the candidate attracting the youth vote is the oldest in the field, aged 76. Paul, a long-time Congressman from Texas, said he does not know why he is proving popular with the young, beyond saying he may be old but he has youthful ideas.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00bbThe US media tends to ignore Paul, regarding him, probably correctly, as a long shot for the White House, his isolationist and libertarian views too exotic for the Republican mainstream. In his 2008 election bid he suffered from attracting too many fringe and special interests groups, such as the Rolling Thunder vets who believe US troops are still secretly imprisoned in Russia, China and elsewhere.<\/em> <\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00bbBut Paul has positioned himself better this time and his anti-war rhetoric is closer to the public mood. It is paying off. The Des Moines Register poll, normally the most reliable in the state, last week had Newt Gingrich on 25% and Paul on 18%, with Mitt Romney on 16%.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00bbMore significantly, Paul has adopted the Barack Obama playbook. Obama spent a lot of time in the state and built up a superbly efficient network of young volunteers who helped get his vote out in each of the 1,700 precincts. His victory in Iowa provided the momentum that took him all the way to the White House<\/em>\u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n <\/p>\n \tMis en ligne le 10 d\u00e9cembre 2011 \u00e0 05H44<\/p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Contrastant imm\u00e9diatement et d’une fa\u00e7on extr\u00eamement significative les \u00e9v\u00e8nements et, surtout, les perceptions psychologiques vont vite, malgr\u00e9 les consignes, avec ce que nous relevions hier encore (voir notre Bloc Notes du 9 d\u00e9cembre 2011), le Guardian publie aujourd’hui un des premiers articles s\u00e9rieux sur les chances de Ron Paul de figurer dans la course \u00e9lectorale… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"neve_meta_sidebar":"","neve_meta_container":"","neve_meta_enable_content_width":"","neve_meta_content_width":0,"neve_meta_title_alignment":"","neve_meta_author_avatar":"","neve_post_elements_order":"","neve_meta_disable_header":"","neve_meta_disable_footer":"","neve_meta_disable_title":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[7928,5634,11766,7340,8346,6208,3140,4134,3310],"class_list":["post-74314","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-bloc-notes","tag-7928","tag-antiguerre","tag-causus","tag-iowa","tag-jeunes","tag-obama","tag-paul","tag-presidentielle","tag-ron"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/74314","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=74314"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/74314\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=74314"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=74314"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=74314"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}