La situation politique aux USA est singuli\u00e8re. Le d\u00e9sarroi caract\u00e9rise les primaires du parti r\u00e9publicain (GOP), o\u00f9 le favori de l’establishment<\/em> (Mitt Romney) est de plus en plus critiqu\u00e9 et de plus en plus difficilement fzvori. Il se trouve dans la position charmante et singuli\u00e8re d’\u00eatre bien plac\u00e9 pour gagner les prochaines primaires tout en d\u00e9montrant son exceptionnelle impopularit\u00e9 dans ses sorties publiques. (Cela en dit long sur les m\u00e9thodes et les techniques des primaires.)<\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t La derni\u00e8re sortie en date de Romney frisait le ridicule, ou bien le d\u00e9passait, avec un grand discours sur son programme \u00e9conomique dans un stade de 70.000 places o\u00f9 il avait r\u00e9ussi \u00e0 rassembler un peu plus de mille quidams, dont un certain nombre d’\u00e9coliers transport\u00e9s en bus vers le stade pour l’occasion, en \u00e9change d’une apr\u00e8s-midi de cong\u00e9. (Cela mesure l’\u00e9l\u00e9gance et la justesse des critiques<\/a> ardemment d\u00e9mocratiques de la presse-Syst\u00e8me concernant la derni\u00e8re grande manifestation pro-Poutine \u00e0 Moscou.) Un article du Guardian<\/em> du 24 f\u00e9vrier 2012<\/a> nous donne les d\u00e9tails de l’affaire Ambiance.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00abRepublican frontrunner Mitt Romney’s much-heralded economic speech flopped Friday, overshadowed by a gaffe over luxury Cadillacs and his choice of an over-ambitious venue, the Detroit Lions’ football field. Romney opened himself up to derision for choosing a 70,000-seat stadium which attracted just over 1,000 people, many of them school children bussed in to help fill out the crowd, tucked into a corner of the astro-turf pitch. The small crowd underlined again his inability to draw large numbers of supporters and to excite the conservative base<\/em>\u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t Le cas Romney est le dernier signe de l’\u00e9tat chaotique de la campagne des primaires r\u00e9publicaines, la campagne s\u00e9rieuse, limit\u00e9e \u00e9videmment aux trois seuls candidats dits electable<\/em>, Romney, Santorum et Gingrich. Aucun de ces candidats ne s’affirme irr\u00e9sistiblement, et lorsqu’il semble le faire, comme dans le cas de Romney, c’est dans des conditions tellement ubuesques que l’effet est compl\u00e8tement contre-productif.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n \tEt l’on entend de plus en plus de complaintes geignardes, \u00e0 haute voix, de quelques vedettes du parti. L’une d’elles est particuli\u00e8rement int\u00e9ressante, celle de Jeb Bush, fr\u00e8re cadet de GW Bush (et de tous temps, Jeb, favori de son p\u00e8re, le premier Bush pr\u00e9sident [41\u00e9me POTUS] contre GW [43\u00e8me POTUS], en g\u00e9n\u00e9ral peu appr\u00e9ci\u00e9 du m\u00eame paternel). Le Guardian<\/em> s’en fait l’\u00e9cho, le 24 f\u00e9vrier 2012<\/a>. On comprend l’int\u00e9r\u00eat de la chose en lisant les premi\u00e8res lignes de l’article, ou est pr\u00e9sent\u00e9e l’hypoth\u00e8se d’un Jeb Bush comme candidat et nomin\u00e9 surprise du GOP \u00e0 la convention du parti <\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00abSpeculation that a late challenger might still emerge in the increasingly bitter race for the Republican presidential nomination is set to surge after former Florida governor Jeb Bush made remarks criticising the current field. Bush, who is the brother of President George W Bush and son of President George Bush Sr, is a beloved figure among many conservatives who see him as a strong and charismatic leader who is popular in the must-win swing state of Florida.<\/em> […]<\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00bbIn answers to questions from the audience after a speech in Dallas on Thursday, Bush cautioned the remaining Republican campaigns from drifting so far to the right that they put off the key independent voters needed to beat President Barack Obama in November. I think it’s important for the candidates to recognise though they have to appeal to primary voters, and not turn off independent voters that will be part of a winning coalition, Bush told the audience according to CBS news.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00bbBush also directly took on the strident tone of recent Republican debates, accusing participants of scare-mongering. I used to be a conservative and I watch these debates and I’m wondering, I don’t think I’ve changed, but it’s a little troubling sometimes when people are appealing to people’s fears and emotion rather than trying to get them to look over the horizon for a broader perspective and that’s kind of where we are, he said according to Fox News.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t Ce qui renvoie \u00e0 des sp\u00e9culations qui ont pris naissance dans la presse alternative en janvier, notamment \u00e0 partir d’un article dont on pouvait penser qu’il \u00e9tait effectivement pure sp\u00e9culation gratuite et autre. D\u00e9sormais, au regard des sp\u00e9culations beaucoup plus officielles, comme on le lit dans le Guardian<\/em>, il prend de la consistance \u00e0 la lumi\u00e8re de la situation actuelle des primaires r\u00e9publicaines et du d\u00e9sarroi du parti r\u00e9publicain. Bien entendu, les d\u00e9veloppements de cet article vont beaucoup plus loin que le seul fait du d\u00e9bat sur la situation dans le parti r\u00e9publicain et l’hypoth\u00e8se de l’arriv\u00e9e au cours de la convention du GOP d’un candidat-surprise, et vainqueur, pr\u00e9par\u00e9 par le parti dans ses manuvres secr\u00e8tes (pourtant, d\u00e9j\u00e0 largement livr\u00e9es au public) ; ces d\u00e9veloppements de l’article doivent \u00eatre consid\u00e9r\u00e9es \u00e0 part, et \u00e9ventuellement appr\u00e9ci\u00e9es dans un contexte plus large (ce que nous tentons de faire dans un autre Bloc Notes<\/em> de ce 27 f\u00e9vrier 2012<\/a>) Il s’agit d’un article publi\u00e9 par le site WhatDoesItMean.com<\/em> le 18 janvier 2012<\/a><\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00abA shocking report prepared by the Ministry of Foreign Affairs for Prime Minister Putin on the just completed meeting between China’s Vice Premier Li Keqiang and former US Secretary of State Henry Kissinger states that the Chinese were told that former Florida Governor John Ellis Jeb Bush, brother to the former US President and son of another, will be elected as the next American leader despite his currently not even being on the ballot.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00bbChinese Vice President Xi Jinping met with Jeb Bush yesterday at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing where both pledged to advance cooperation between their two countries and, this report says, agreed that once Bush had taken office a new era’ would begin in US-China relations. According to this report, Kissinger told Keqiang that the Republican Party election process to select their nominee to run against President Obama was completely manipulated to ensure that their 2012 Convention would be deadlocked thus allowing for Jeb Bush to be nominated as a consensus candidate and thus his parties leader.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00bbThe path to a deadlocked convention, this report says Kissinger told the Chinese, lies in neither current Republican frontrunners Governor Mitt Romney or Congressman Ron Paul having enough delegates to ensure their nomination on the first ballot after which their supporters will be free to nominate anyone they so choose.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00bbIn order to ensure a deadlocked convention, this report continues, Kissinger noted that Romney will obtain his delegates from what are called Primary States while Paul will receive his from those holding caucuses and open primaries, with neither of them receiving enough votes to secure their nominations. Political analysis on the US election do, indeed, note that Paul’s path to the Republican nomination lies in the caucus and open primary States which shows what is called his secret path to victory<\/em>\u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n \tIl faut ajouter que ces rumeurs sur Jeb Bush comme candidat-d\u00e9sign\u00e9 surprise \u00e0 la convention ont \u00e9t\u00e9 \u00e9galement relay\u00e9es depuis la mi-f\u00e9vrier par l’une ou l’autre intervention, faisant de la chose une possibilit\u00e9 semi-secr\u00e8te, semi-publique, bien dans le climat de notre \u00e9poque o\u00f9 l’information est extr\u00eamement diverse, insaisissable, sans point de r\u00e9f\u00e9rence fixe. Par exemple, le 10 f\u00e9vrier 2012<\/a>, le site Mail OnLIne<\/em> du Daily Mail<\/em> publiait ces d\u00e9clarations de Al Cardenas, qui dirige l’American Conservative Union et a organis\u00e9 le rassemblement conservateur annuel CPAC, d’habitude triomphal<\/a> pour Ron Paul, et qui a \u00e9t\u00e9 constitu\u00e9 cette ann\u00e9e, d’ailleurs avec succ\u00e8s de ce point de vue, pour marginaliser totalement le m\u00eame Ron Paul : \u00abAl Cardenas, head of the American Conservative Union, has said that Republican turmoil might lead to a brokered convention in which Jeb Bush, former Florida governor, would emerge as a possible alternative party nominee.<\/em> [] We’ll know more in the next few weeks, said Mr Cardenas. The pressure’s already been on Mitt Romney to close the sale… and he hasn’t. A split verdict on Super Tuesday on March 6th, when 10 states vote, could lead to a surprise at the Republican convention in Tampa in August, he suggested.<\/em>\u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n