{"id":74722,"date":"2012-05-22T05:53:06","date_gmt":"2012-05-22T05:53:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/2012\/05\/22\/la-suicide-machine-et-la-fin-de-la-civilisation\/"},"modified":"2012-05-22T05:53:06","modified_gmt":"2012-05-22T05:53:06","slug":"la-suicide-machine-et-la-fin-de-la-civilisation","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/2012\/05\/22\/la-suicide-machine-et-la-fin-de-la-civilisation\/","title":{"rendered":"La suicide machine<\/em> et la fin de la civilisation"},"content":{"rendered":"

La suicide machine<\/em> et la fin de la civilisation<\/h3>\n<\/p>\n

\tLa nouvelle phase de la crise financi\u00e8re, la crise de l’euro revenue \u00e0 un paroxysme avec une nouvelle phase paroxystique de la crise grecque, mais aussi l’incident de la banque JP Morgan, avec une perte de $2 milliards et au-del\u00e0 suite \u00e0 des op\u00e9rations \u00e0 risque, engendre une nouvelle pouss\u00e9e de r\u00e9flexions de fond sur la crise g\u00e9n\u00e9rale, ou crise haute<\/a> \u00e9tendue \u00e0 la crise financi\u00e8re. Cette fois, la r\u00e9flexion commence \u00e0 atteindre les limites du Syst\u00e8me lui-m\u00eame, donc le Syst\u00e8me lui-m\u00eame, donc notre civilisation, ou contre-civilisation comme nous la d\u00e9signons. On en prend ici deux exemples, de deux textes d’analyse qui ne concernent effectivement que la crise financi\u00e8re mais qui tendent \u00e0 s’\u00e9largir \u00e0 la vision globale et civilisationnelle.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\tPaul Craig Roberts, d’abord, qu’il nous est souvent arriv\u00e9 de citer. Roberts, cet ancien adjoint au secr\u00e9taire au tr\u00e9sor de l’administration Reagan, a toujours \u00e9t\u00e9 pessimiste depuis qu’il s’est install\u00e9 comme commentateur des \u00e9v\u00e8nements crisiques sur l’Internet, depuis le 11 septembre 2001. Jusqu’ici, sa vision critique portait essentiellement sur l’effondrement du syst\u00e8me de l’am\u00e9ricanisme. Avec ce texte du 20 mai 2012<\/a>, qu’il met en ligne sur son nouveau site \u00e0 l’enseigne de l’Institute of Political Economy qu’il a cr\u00e9\u00e9 (\u00e9galement sur Infowars.com le 21 mai 2012<\/a>), Paul Craig Roberts franchit un pas de plus, l’ultime pas en v\u00e9rit\u00e9 pour notre cadre actuel, qui est la fin de la civilisation actuellement en place \u00abIn the end, the financial crisis could destroy Western civilization.<\/em>\u00bb Roberts d\u00e9veloppe une longue analyse, avec diverses r\u00e9f\u00e9rences qui conduisent \u00e0 d’autres textes int\u00e9ressants. Il met en \u00e9vidence l’extraordinaire corruption du Syst\u00e8me, y compris la corruption statistique qui emp\u00eache d’appr\u00e9cier la situation telle qu’elle est et constitue une sorte d’aveuglement volontaire qui pr\u00e9vient toute tentative de r\u00e9forme (!), voire de d\u00e9fense du Syst\u00e8me (\u00abThe way the government has rigged the measure of unemployment, it is possible for the US to have a zero rate of unemployment and not a single person employed or in the work force.<\/em>\u00bb)<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\tPaul Craig Roberts s’attache notamment \u00e0 une interview de Simon Johnson, ancien chef \u00e9conomiste du FMI qui, en commentant l’affaire JP Morgan Chase, constate que la d\u00e9r\u00e9gulation de Wall Street a abouti d’une fa\u00e7on inexorable qu’on croirait finalement fatale, \u00e0 une situation sans issue. Il s’agit du cas fondamental dont nous connaissons bien l’esprit ; il s’agit d’un processus syst\u00e9matique de concentration qui conduit \u00e0 la r\u00e9p\u00e9tition de la m\u00eame crise, avec renforcement constant des m\u00eames puissances faussaires et malignes aux d\u00e9pens de l’\u00e9conomie g\u00e9n\u00e9rale, de la situation sociale, de la coh\u00e9sion et de la survie des populations, avec le renflouement r\u00e9gulier de ces puissances malignes dont le Syst\u00e8me est \u00e0 la fois le d\u00e9miurge et l’otage, aux d\u00e9pens du budget central ainsi d\u00e9truit inexorablement et entrain\u00e9 par une dette pathologique, et ainsi de suite jusqu’\u00e0 ce que l’essentiel survienne. Le tout est bloqu\u00e9, verrouill\u00e9 herm\u00e9tiquement par les connexions entre la finance et le monde politique. <\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00abSimon Johnson says: I think it<\/em> [deregulation<\/em>] is a recipe for disaster. The problem is, Johnson says, that correct economic policy is blocked by the enormous donations banks make to political campaigns. This means Wall Street’s attitudes and faulty risk models will result in an even bigger financial crisis than the one from which we are still suffering. And it will happen prior to recovery from the current crisis. Johnson warns that the Republicans will distract everyone from the real crisis by concocting another crisis over the debt ceiling<\/em>\u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\tPaul Craig Roberts conclut sur l’ironie supr\u00eame, qui est que le Syst\u00e8me poussant ses principes \u00e0 l’extr\u00eame, produit sa propre mort en produisant des d\u00e9g\u00e2ts irr\u00e9versibles autour de lui. Il s’agit par cons\u00e9quent de la logique suicidaire d\u00e9sormais classique pour nous, de cette logique qui fait s’encha\u00eener en cumulant les effets, c’est-\u00e0-dire en transmutant sa propre dynamique, cette dynamique de surpuissance transmut\u00e9e dans le cours de son activit\u00e9 en dynamique d’autodestruction. Conclusion de Roberts : effectivement, la destruction de la civilisation occidentale.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00abIt is ironic that the outcome of financial deregulation in the US is the opposite of what its free market advocates promised. In place of highly competitive financial firms that live or die by their wits alone without government intervention, we have unprecedented financial concentration. Massive banks, too big to fail, now send their multi-trillion dollar losses to Washington to be paid by heavily indebted US taxpayers whose real incomes have not risen in 20 years. The banksters take home fortunes in annual bonuses for their success in socializing the free market banks’ losses and privatizing profits to the point of not even paying income taxes.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00bbIn the US free market economists unleashed avarice and permitted it to run amuck. Will the disastrous consequences discredit capitalism to the extent that the Soviet collapse discredited socialism? Will Western civilization itself survive the financial tsunami that deregulated Wall Street has produced? Ironic, isn’t it, that the United States, the home of the indispensable people, stands before us as the likely candidate whose government will be responsible for the collapse of the West.<\/em>\u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\tDans son texte, Paul Craig Roberts renvoie \u00e0 une autre analyse qui nous semble particuli\u00e8rement int\u00e9ressante de Rob Urie, sur CounterPunch<\/em> le 19 mai 2012<\/a>. Rob Urie est pr\u00e9sent\u00e9 comme \u00ab an artist and political economist in New York<\/em>\u00bb, ce qui est un mariage de fonctions particuli\u00e8rement int\u00e9ressant pour saisir l’essence m\u00eame des \u00e9v\u00e8nements. L’int\u00e9r\u00eat de son analyse, qui s’articule \u00e9galement autour de l’incident JP Morgan, est qu’elle conduit au constat effectif du suicide (dynamique d’autodestruction), lorsque l’auteur d\u00e9finit le capitalisme dans sa phase finale d’effondrement actuel comme \u00abThe Suicide Machine<\/em>\u00bb. Urie rappelle, ou r\u00e9v\u00e8le on ne sait, qu’en mars 2010, Andrew Haldane, Executive Director for Financial Stability<\/em> \u00e0 la Banque d’Angleterre, estimait que la crise financi\u00e8re co\u00fbterait entre $60.000 milliards et $200.000 milliards Encore n’avait-il pas pris en compte, Haldane, les destructions catastrophiques que le Syst\u00e8me impose \u00e0 l’environnement (global warming<\/em> ou pas, qu’importe) pour pouvoir survivre, pour tenter de ne pas s’effondrer. Le Syst\u00e8me n’a donc \u00e0 offrir, dans ses plus ambitieuses propositions de reprises, qu’une multiplication de catastrophe en catastrophe Ironie, encore, pour que le diable songe au moins \u00e0 en sourire.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00abThis establishes a paradoxthe existing economic (and political) order isn’t working. But, as political leaders on the right and what passes for the left these days claim, failing to sustain it would entail massive human costs in terms of unemployment, bankruptcy, poverty, divorce, suicide and the dissolution of our public institutions. Ironically, add increasing environmental destruction to this list and it well describes current conditions under the existing order. Apparently the best that defenders can offer is that things could be a lot worse<\/em>\u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\tD’o\u00f9 sa p\u00e9roraison, \u00e0 partir de la d\u00e9monstration faite par l’incident JP Morgan, concernant la machine suicidaire, et en mode turbo<\/em> certes (\u00aba full-blown suicide machine <\/em>\u00bb). Il int\u00e8gre cet incident dans un contexte g\u00e9n\u00e9ral de d\u00e9gradation syst\u00e9matique (environnement, notamment) qui tient au fonctionnement m\u00eame du Syst\u00e8me, et conclut alors que l’incident montre que la crise financi\u00e8re n’est pas r\u00e9solue et que cette crise vient du dedans, du syst\u00e8me financier lui-m\u00eame avec toutes ses cons\u00e9quences de fonctionnement ; ainsi, arrivant \u00e0 l’observation fondamentale qu’il s’agit effectivement de tout un syst\u00e8me, le Syst\u00e8me, pour ne pas le nommer, compl\u00e8tement engag\u00e9 dans sa course suicidaire. <\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00abFor all of the money that the banks have been allowed to create and pay out to the purported rocket scientists who build their risk models, the particular model under discussion in J.P. Morgan’s case (VAR, value-at-risk) is a work of rare idiocy. The question that it attempts to answer is: how badly can things go for one day, week, month etc. assuming (1) no other banks run into similar problems and (2) everything goes back to normal in the next period. What makes use of this model so questionable is that both of these assumptions are behind every spectacular financial collapse in modern history that didn’t involve outright theft (e.g. Ponzi schemes).<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00bbUltimately the particulars of J.P. Morgan’s losses are so much noise. What they point to is an economic system designed to self-destruct. Add increasing environmental degradation in the face of global warming to structural financial fragility and what capitalism appears to have created is a full-blown suicide machine. And to invert Mr. Haldane’s premisethe $60 trillion in lost production (minimum) was never going to go to us anyway. The trajectory since the 1970s had it going to corporate executives, bankers and machines (automation).<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00bbThe challenge for reformers and re-regulators is that the system is the problem. Companies pollute because they individually prosper while we collectively pay the costs. Banks take risks that are internally rational while they are systemically catastrophic. Environmental and financial crises cannot be solved with capitalism intact. In fact, when global warming and bank crises are considered, there is little evidence that capitalism ever produced any profits net of externalized costs. And the consolidation of wealth that capitalism produces undermines all attempts at remediation. Capitalism itself is a suicide machine.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00bbWhat made J.P. Morgan’s loss news is the recognition that the financial crisis hasn’t been resolved. And again, this crisis isn’t from without. It is endemic to the system we are being told we must save. As Mr. Haldane has it, even if the crisis had been resolved, we would still collectively be out more than $60 trillion anyway. And the only way toward those trillions is through increasing environmental catastrophe. By appearances, the current order is in the process of imploding of its own weight. And while dislocations create fear, they also create openings for other possible futures.<\/em>\u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\tPar cons\u00e9quent, on notera les deux derni\u00e8res phrases de la conclusion, o\u00f9 successivement parlent l’analyse financier et l’artiste : le Syst\u00e8me est en train d’imploser sous son propre poids, et sous le poids de tous ses vices qui tiennent \u00e0 sa substance m\u00eame ; m\u00eame si cette perspective est effrayante, elle est absolument n\u00e9cessaire pour esp\u00e9rer esp\u00e9rer autre chose. Comme disait \u00e9videmment le vieux Caton (delenda est<\/em>), le Syst\u00e8me doit \u00eatre<\/strong> d\u00e9truit. Apr\u00e8s, on verra, et c’est apr\u00e8s seulement qu’on verra…<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

\tMis en ligne le 22 mai 2012 \u00e0 05H52<\/p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

La suicide machine et la fin de la civilisation La nouvelle phase de la crise financi\u00e8re, la crise de l’euro revenue \u00e0 un paroxysme avec une nouvelle phase paroxystique de la crise grecque, mais aussi l’incident de la banque JP Morgan, avec une perte de $2 milliards et au-del\u00e0 suite \u00e0 des op\u00e9rations \u00e0 risque,… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"neve_meta_sidebar":"","neve_meta_container":"","neve_meta_enable_content_width":"","neve_meta_content_width":0,"neve_meta_title_alignment":"","neve_meta_author_avatar":"","neve_post_elements_order":"","neve_meta_disable_header":"","neve_meta_disable_footer":"","neve_meta_disable_title":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[4270,10015,4750,12951,3393,2868,3397,3841,11415,7474,7475,3140,14392,4728,5491,11131,14838],"class_list":["post-74722","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-bloc-notes","tag-autodestruction","tag-contre-civilisation","tag-craig","tag-delenda","tag-environnement","tag-est","tag-euro","tag-grece","tag-haldane","tag-jp","tag-morgan","tag-paul","tag-rob","tag-roberts","tag-suicide","tag-surpuissance","tag-urie"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/74722","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=74722"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/74722\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=74722"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=74722"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=74722"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}