{"id":74776,"date":"2013-01-03T12:37:41","date_gmt":"2013-01-03T12:37:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/2013\/01\/03\/bloc-bao-retour-sur-cliches\/"},"modified":"2013-01-03T12:37:41","modified_gmt":"2013-01-03T12:37:41","slug":"bloc-bao-retour-sur-cliches","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/2013\/01\/03\/bloc-bao-retour-sur-cliches\/","title":{"rendered":"Bloc BAO : retour sur clich\u00e9s"},"content":{"rendered":"

Bloc BAO : retour sur clich\u00e9s<\/h2>\n<\/p>\n

\tL’un des reporteurs-vedette de The Independent<\/em>, Robert Fisk, grand sp\u00e9cialiste des affaires moyennes-orientales, a publi\u00e9 en cette fin d’ann\u00e9e 2012 quelques textes qui reprennent la somme de ces exp\u00e9riences de l’ann\u00e9e, sur les divers terrains de la r\u00e9gion, en y ajoutant quelques pr\u00e9visions diverses. Cela forme un ensemble rafra\u00eechissant, notamment pour ce qui concerne les d\u00e9clarations officielles des pays du bloc BAO et les stocks de clich\u00e9s que la presse-Syst\u00e8me a utilis\u00e9 comme autant de munitions interventionnistes et absolument morales, comme autant de marques d’ind\u00e9pendance de l’esprit<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t Dans The Independent<\/em> du 24 d\u00e9cembre 2012<\/a>.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00ab So, too, in Syria. By the spring of last year, the Western commentariat was writing off Bashar al-Assad. He did not deserve to live on this earth, according to French Foreign Secretary Laurent Fabius. He must step down, step aside. His regime had only weeks to go, perhaps only days. This was the tipping point. Then by summer, when the tipping point had come and gone, we were told that Assad was about to use gas against his own people. Or that his supplies of chemical weapons might fall into the wrong hands (the right hands still presumably being Assad’s).<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00bbSyria’s rebels were always closing in on Homs, then Damascus, then Aleppo, then Damascus again. The West supported the rebels. Money and guns aplenty came from Qatar and Saudi Arabia, moral support from Obama, Clinton, the pathetic Hague, Hollande, the whole factory of goodness until, inevitably, it turned out that the rebels contained rather a lot of Salafists, executioners, sectarian killers and, in one case, a teenage head-chopper who behaved rather like the ruthless regime they were fighting. The factory had to put some of its machinery into reverse. The US still supported the good, secular rebels but now regarded the horrible Salafist rebels as a terrorist organisation<\/em> []<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00bbObama might not bomb Iran, he didn’t really want to, but wait for it all options were on the table. And so, of course, with Israel, which wanted to bomb Iran because it might, or could, manufacture nuclear weapons or was in the process of doing so, or might have them in six months, or a year, or several years’ time but again all options were on the table. Netanyahu’s window of opportunity would last, we were told, until the US presidential election. And so this nonsense continued until… well, until the US presidential election, by which time we were warned again that Iran was producing, or might, or could produce a nuclear weapon<\/em>[]<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00bbIn Libya, of course, the US turned out to have more enemies than it thought; the ambassador was murdered by and the jury must remain out on this despite the obfuscations of Clinton an al-Qa’ida-type militia. Indeed, al-Qa’ida itself politically bankrupt by the time of Osama bin Laden’s murder by a US military assassination squad in 2011 was virtually written off by the White House in advance of the Obama re-election. But the ghostly desperadoes of Wahabism acquired that habit so beloved of movie monsters; they began to recreate themselves in different form in different lands. Mali replaced Afghanistan, just as Libya replaced Yemen and just as Syria replaced Iraq.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00bbA word of advice, therefore, for Middle East potentates, dictators, Western poseurs, television presenters and journos. Do not use the following words or expressions in 2013: moderate, democracy, step down, step aside, tipping point, falling into the wrong hands, closing in, spilling over, options on the table or terror, terror, terror, terror. Too much to hope for? You bet. We’ll even get another load of cliches from the goodness factory to replace those that have already served their purpose.<\/em>\u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t Dans The Independent<\/em> du 31 d\u00e9cembre 2012<\/a>.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00abIran? Well, the Iranians understand the West much better than we understand the Iranians a lot of them, remember, were educated in the United States. And they’ve an intriguing way of coming out on top whatever they do. George Bush (and Lord Blair of Kut al-Amara) invaded Afghanistan and rid the Shia Iranians of their Sunni enemy, whom they always called the Black Taliban. Then Bush-Blair invaded Iraq and got rid of the Islamic Republic’s most loathsome enemy, Saddam Hussein. Thus did Iran win both the Afghan and the Iraqi war without firing a shot.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00bbThere’s no doubt that Iran would fire a shot or two if Israel\/America the two are interchangeable in Iran as in many other Middle East countries were to attack its nuclear facilities. But Israel has no stomach for an all-out war against Iran it would lose and the US, having lost two Middle East wars, has no enthusiasm for losing a third. Sanctions and here is Iran’s real potential nemesis are causing far more misery than Israel’s F-18s. And why is America threatening Iran in the first place? It didn’t threaten India when it went nuclear. And when that most unstable and extremist state called Pakistan was developing nuclear weapons, no US threat was made to bomb its facilities. True, we’ve heard that more recently in case the nukes fell into the wrong hands, as in gas which might fall into the wrong hands in Syria; or in Gaza, for that matter, where democracy fell into the wrong hands the moment Hamas won elections there in 2006.<\/em> []<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00bbSo what’s left for 2013? Assad, of course. He’s already trying to win back some rebel forces to his own ruthless side an intelligent though dangerous tactic and the West is getting up to its knees in rebel cruelty. Yes, Assad will go. One day. He says as much. But don’t expect it to happen in the immediate future. Or Gaddafi-style. The old mantra still applies. Egypt was not Tunisia and Yemen was not Egypt and Libya was not Yemen and Syria is not Libya.<\/em> []<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00bbAnd the Gulf? Arabia, where the first Arab awakening began? Where, indeed, the first Arab revolution the advent of Islam burst forth upon the world. There are those who say that the Gulf kingdoms will remain secure for years to come. Don’t count on it. Watch Saudi Arabia. Remember what that British diplomat wrote 130 years ago. Even in Mecca…<\/em>\u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

\n

dedefensa.org<\/em><\/p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Bloc BAO : retour sur clich\u00e9s L’un des reporteurs-vedette de The Independent, Robert Fisk, grand sp\u00e9cialiste des affaires moyennes-orientales, a publi\u00e9 en cette fin d’ann\u00e9e 2012 quelques textes qui reprennent la somme de ces exp\u00e9riences de l’ann\u00e9e, sur les divers terrains de la r\u00e9gion, en y ajoutant quelques pr\u00e9visions diverses. Cela forme un ensemble rafra\u00eechissant,… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"neve_meta_sidebar":"","neve_meta_container":"","neve_meta_enable_content_width":"","neve_meta_content_width":0,"neve_meta_title_alignment":"","neve_meta_author_avatar":"","neve_post_elements_order":"","neve_meta_disable_header":"","neve_meta_disable_footer":"","neve_meta_disable_title":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[14],"tags":[3259,4202,10900,6039,2773,3867],"class_list":["post-74776","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-ouverture-libre","tag-arabie","tag-assad","tag-bao","tag-bloc","tag-iran","tag-syrie"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/74776","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=74776"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/74776\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=74776"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=74776"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=74776"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}