\tL’\u00e9pop\u00e9e des S-300 russes promis aux Syriens se poursuit, et il n’est pas assur\u00e9 que la d\u00e9cision<\/a> europ\u00e9enne (par non-d\u00e9cision) de lever l’embargo sur les armes \u00e0 destination des rebelles syriens, ainsi que les avertissements isra\u00e9liens, n’aient pas largement contribu\u00e9 \u00e0 ce qui serait une livraison d’ores et d\u00e9j\u00e0 faite d’un premier contingent de S-300. C’est dans tous les cas le pr\u00e9sident syrien Assad lui-m\u00eame qui assure que cette livraison est faite, dans une interview qui doit \u00eatre diffus\u00e9e ce soir \u00e0 la t\u00e9l\u00e9vision, et dont des extraits obtenus par le journal sont publi\u00e9s par Al Akhbar<\/em> ce 30 mai 2013<\/a>.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00abSyria has received the first batch of Russian S-300 anti-aircraft missiles, Assad declared in the interview to be aired Thursday night on Al-Manar, pointing out that, the rest of the load will arrive soon.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00bbAssad said that the Syrian army has made great achievements on the ground against the armed groups, adding that the military balance of power has completely turned in the army’s favor. Syria and Hezbollah are in one axis. There are Hezbollah fighters in the border areas with Lebanon, but the Syrian army is the force that is fighting and managing battles in the face of the armed opposition groups, Assad said.<\/em>\u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t La nouvelle a aussit\u00f4t \u00e9t\u00e9 reprise par le site DEBKAFiles<\/em>, le 30 mai 2013<\/a> : \u00abDirectly taunting Israel, Syrian president Basher Assad says in an interview prerecorded for broadcast Thursday night, May 30, that the first batch of Russian S-300 anti-air missiles has arrived in Syria and a second consignment is on the way. The broadcast is scheduled to air simultaneously Thursday night over Hizballah’s Al Manar and Syrian state television channels. The Syrian ruler was replying directly to the quote from Israel’s National Security Adviser Yakov Amidror that the S-300 batteries have not been delivered yet and when they are, Israel will destroy them.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00bbWednesday, May 29, DEBKAfile reported the landing at Latakia airport of a large Russian transport carrying 60 tons of unidentified freight. Labeled by Moscow humanitarian aid, it was in fact the first S-300 delivery to which Assad referred…<\/em> […]<\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00bbDEBKAfile’s military sources add: Moscow has made a point of stressing that the S-300s for Syria will arrive accompanied by Russian officers and advisers, in the belief that Israel will think twice before tangling with Moscow by attacking the missiles still in their crates and risking harm to Russian personnel. This eventuality came up in the tough conversation Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu had with Russian President Vladimir Putin in Sochi on May 14…<\/em>\u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t Ces derniers jours, Isra\u00ebl a donn\u00e9 diverses variations sur le th\u00e8me des S-300. Deux commentaires d’officiels (voir Antiwar.com<\/em> le 29 mai 2013<\/a>) ont \u00e9t\u00e9 dans le sens extr\u00eamement belliqueux d’une probabilit\u00e9 d’attaque d’Isra\u00ebl, d’ailleurs dans deux circonstances diff\u00e9rentes puisque l’une pr\u00e9voit une attaque pour emp\u00eacher les S-300 de devenir op\u00e9rationnel (ce qui implique \u00e9ventuellement une attaque en Syrie), et l’autre rien de moins qu’une attaque de navires russes transportant les missiles, de la part du ministre isra\u00e9lien de la d\u00e9fense… (Mais il semble bien que les S-300 aient \u00e9t\u00e9 transport\u00e9s par air, ce qui rendrait la d\u00e9claration du ministre \u00e0 la fois inutile, et inutilrement provocatrice, et \u00e9ventuellement assez mal inform\u00e9e.)<\/p>\n<\/p>\n \tAntiwar.com<\/em> expose ces interventions isra\u00e9liennes… \u00abIn a meeting with European Union ambassadors, Israeli National Security Advisor Yaakov Amidror declared the Syrian government’s imminent acquisition of S-300 anti-aircraft missiles to be a red line that would obligate Israeli military action to prevent them becoming operational.<\/em> […] The comments come just a day after Israeli Defense Minister Moshe Ya’alon suggested in an interview that Israel might attack the Russian Navy in an attempt to sink the ships and prevent the delivery. That is seen as extremely unlikely given Russia’s military capabilities.<\/em>\u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t En m\u00eame temps que se d\u00e9roulaient ces divers \u00e9v\u00e9nements et qu’on prenait connaissance de ces diverses d\u00e9clarations, le Guardian<\/em> annon\u00e7ait qu’une d\u00e9l\u00e9gation d’officiels du renseignement isra\u00e9lien s’\u00e9tait rendue \u00e0 Moscou de toute urgence dans la nuit de mardi pour tenter de convaincre les Russes de ne pas livrer les S-300, qui sembleraient alors avoir d’ores et d\u00e9j\u00e0 \u00e9t\u00e9 livr\u00e9s, sinon en cours de livraison. Dans le m\u00eame article dfu 29 mai 2013<\/a>, le journal britannique rapportait des d\u00e9clarations d’officiels isra\u00e9liens contredisant nettement certaines des d\u00e9clarations belliqueuses rapport\u00e9s ci-dessus, et apaiser une certaine tension diplomatique. Notre ego est d\u00e9velopp\u00e9, disait en substance un officiel isra\u00e9lien, mais pas au point de nous risquer \u00e0 attaquer un objectif russe. L’id\u00e9e serait alors plut\u00f4t \u00e9ventuellement celle de Yaakov Amidror, d’attaquer les missiles alors qu’ils sont livr\u00e9s aux Syriens, en \u00e9vitant soigneusement de toucher des Russes. (Le m\u00eame comportement \u00e9tait observ\u00e9 par Isra\u00ebl lors de conflits pr\u00e9c\u00e9dents avec des pays arabes, ou par les USA lors de divers engagements durant la guerre froide, lorsque du mat\u00e9riel russe \u00e9tait livr\u00e9, notamment au Vietnam : c’est-\u00e0-dire s’abstenir d’intervenir si l’on risque de toucher des personnes ou des biens de nationalit\u00e9 russe [sovi\u00e9tique].) Le point int\u00e9ressant dans ces d\u00e9clarations, qui durera ce qu’il durera, selon la suite des \u00e9v\u00e9nements, c’est que les Isra\u00e9liens tentent de pr\u00e9senter d\u00e9sormais l’affaire des S-300 d’abord comme un affrontement d’influence type-guerre froide, entre la Russie et les USA, la Russie voulant montrer aux USA qu’ils n’ont aucun compte \u00e0 tenir des exhortations US de ne pas livrer des armements \u00e0 Assad. Dans ce cas, disent ces m\u00eames Isra\u00e9liens, ce n’est pas notre affaire … Mais la chose redevient leur affaire lorsqu’il s’agit des S-300 effectivement d\u00e9ploy\u00e9s en Syrie, servis par des Syriens. <\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00abTop-level Israeli intelligence figures flew into Moscow on Tuesday night in a last-ditch attempt to talk the Kremlin out of supplying sophisticated anti-aircraft missiles to the Assad regime, which once installed in Syria would have the range and power to target civilian and military aircraft over Tel Aviv. Israeli diplomats will continue to work both privately and publicly to prevent the transfer until the shipment sails, but officials attempted to lower the diplomatic temperature, insisting Israel had no intention of fighting Russia on the issue. Israel has read Moscow’s insistence on pursuing its deal to supply Damascus with the powerful missile systems as part of a cold war power struggle between the US and Russia playing out in the theatre of the Syrian civil war in which it wants no part.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00bbWe are unhappy with the prospect of these very serious weapons arriving in Syria but we cannot stop Russia delivering them to the Middle East. We would not strike a Russian target our egos are big but they’re not that big, one senior Israeli diplomat told the Guardian on condition of anonymity. The Israeli military will not hesitate, however, to take any steps necessary to prevent the transfer of this sophisticated Russian anti-aircraft technology to Hezbollah militants or other hostile groups. I don’t know how upset the Russians would be if, at some point between payment and the installation of this technology in Damascus by Russian experts, something was done to damage the weaponry. As long as no Russians were hurt and they got paid, I don’t think they would care, the diplomat added.<\/em>\u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t Un autre point de vue pour substantiver l’\u00e9volution de l’affaire des S-300, point de vue venu de Russie, implique essentiellement les relations entre la Russie et l’Union Europ\u00e9enne, \u00e0 la diff\u00e9rence de la th\u00e8se isra\u00e9lienne vue plus haut. (Mais toutes ces th\u00e8ses peuvent parfaitement se compl\u00e9ter plut\u00f4t que s’exclure.) Ce point de vue est que la d\u00e9cision europ\u00e9enne de lev\u00e9e de l’embargo joue un r\u00f4le central dans l’argumentation russe, en faveur de la livraison des S-300. (Et, a fortiori<\/em>, en faveur de la livraison effective.)<\/p>\n<\/p>\n \tBien que cette analyse d’AFP du 29 mai 2013<\/a> enregistre des d\u00e9clarations d’experts russes pr\u00e9jugeant que les S-300 ne sont pas encore livr\u00e9s et qu’ils ne semblent pas sur le point de l’\u00eatre imm\u00e9diatement, ces d\u00e9clarations n’en sont pas moins int\u00e9ressantes pour observer ce que la d\u00e9cision, ou non-d\u00e9cision des Europ\u00e9ens, peut entra\u00eener comme cons\u00e9quence. Il s’agit en l’occurrence d’un exemple remarquable d’une diplomatie (europ\u00e9enne) compl\u00e8tement paralys\u00e9e, de diplomaties nationales (notamment fran\u00e7aise et britannique) braqu\u00e9es sur les seuls effets de communication int\u00e9rieure et les obsessions des \u00e9lites-Syst\u00e8me, et donc irresponsables, ou infraresponsables<\/a> en ce sens, le tout fournissant aux Russes un argument pour faire ce que l’on veut emp\u00eacher qu’ils fassent… Hollande disait (le 27 mai 2013<\/a>), en faisant un commentaire h\u00e9sitant, plut\u00f4t par m\u00e9connaissance du dossier certes, en faveur d’une lev\u00e9e de l’embargo et de la livraison d’armes aux rebelles : \u00abLa Russie continue de fournir des armements. Il faut lui adresser un signe.<\/em> […] Oui, un signe, que nous aussi nous pouvons armer<\/em>\u00bb Pour l’instant, cela n’a pas l’air de se passer de cette fa\u00e7on… Le le signe semblant devoir \u00eatre interpr\u00e9t\u00e9 d’une fa\u00e7on plus exotique que dans le sens de l’affirmation de la puissance europ\u00e9enne et fran\u00e7aise.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00abRussia’s Defence Minister Sergei Shoigu implied Wednesday that the EU’s decision had untied Moscow’s hands, hinting that Russia could now supply weapons banned by international treaties. Every decision has two sides. If one side lifts its restrictions, then the other side may no longer feel compelled to keep its previously adopted obligations, Shoigu said while on a visit to Helsinki…<\/em> […]<\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00bbRegional expert Alexei Malashenko of the Carnegie Moscow Centre said that Russia could use the EU embargo to strengthen its own position concerning the S-300 deliveries. They are going to use this argument, said Malashenko. But he added that Russia was unlikely to fulfil its S-300 contract if Moscow and Washington were successful in their ongoing efforts to arrange a Syria peace conference to get the two warring sides engaged in their first round of direct talks…<\/em> […]<\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00bbForeign and Defence Policy Council think-tank chairman Fyodor Lukyanov called the EU embargo lifting and Russia’s 3-300s threat a diplomatic game that the two sides were playing while the situation on the ground deteriorated. You are seeing both sides use the same arguments, Lukyanov said. They are saying that in order to push the two sides toward peace, you have to put pressure on the other side, he added. And to do that, the European Union is supporting the opposition, and Russia — Assad.<\/em>\u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n <\/p>\n \tMis en ligne le 30 mai 2013 \u00e0 15H51<\/p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Poursuite de l’aventureuse \u00e9pop\u00e9e des S-300 L’\u00e9pop\u00e9e des S-300 russes promis aux Syriens se poursuit, et il n’est pas assur\u00e9 que la d\u00e9cision europ\u00e9enne (par non-d\u00e9cision) de lever l’embargo sur les armes \u00e0 destination des rebelles syriens, ainsi que les avertissements isra\u00e9liens, n’aient pas largement contribu\u00e9 \u00e0 ce qui serait une livraison d’ores et d\u00e9j\u00e0… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"neve_meta_sidebar":"","neve_meta_container":"","neve_meta_enable_content_width":"","neve_meta_content_width":0,"neve_meta_title_alignment":"","neve_meta_author_avatar":"","neve_post_elements_order":"","neve_meta_disable_header":"","neve_meta_disable_footer":"","neve_meta_disable_title":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[4202,11461,1140,2774,5983,7746,2730,8446,2609],"class_list":["post-75016","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-bloc-notes","tag-assad","tag-debka","tag-embargo","tag-israel","tag-livraison","tag-loukianov","tag-russie","tag-s-300","tag-ue"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/75016","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=75016"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/75016\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=75016"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=75016"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=75016"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}