\tUn int\u00e9ressant article est publi\u00e9 le 18 ao\u00fbt 2014<\/a> par OilPrice.com<\/em> et relay\u00e9 le 19 ao\u00fbt 2014<\/a> par RussiaList.com<\/em>. Il est \u00e9crit par un industriel US, Robert Bensh, de la firme Pelicourt LLC sp\u00e9cialis\u00e9e dans le domaine de l’\u00e9nergie et travaillant actuellement sur les ressources ukrainiennes. On sait que l’une des th\u00e8ses favorites de la crise ukrainienne est l’activisme US pour d\u00e9clencher cette crise, pour s’approprier l’essentiel des ressources \u00e9nerg\u00e9tiques du pays. Bensh rapporte des nouvelles particuli\u00e8rement pr\u00e9occupantes de ce point de vue, autant pour la situation ukrainienne elle-m\u00eame que pour les perspectives d’exploitation de l’\u00e9nergie (gaz) dans le pays.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t Du point de vue de la situation \u00e9conomique du pays, Bensh pr\u00e9voit une catastrophe \u00e9conomique tr\u00e8s rapidement, \u00e0 cause d’abord des hostilit\u00e9s dans le Donbass qui affectent gravement l’\u00e9conomie du pays. On voit qu’on se trouve l\u00e0 dans une perspective conjoncturelle venant s’ajouter aux perspectives structurelles, \u00e9galement tr\u00e8s pessimistes, du fait de l’imposition de diverses mesures d’aust\u00e9rit\u00e9 par le FMI et l’UE. <\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00abThe Ukrainian military’s showdown with separatists in the industrial east has forced coal mines to severely cut production or close down entirely. This has led to an electricity crisis that can only be staunched by cutting domestic production along with exports to Europe, Crimea, and Belarus or worse, getting more imports from Russia. In the coal centers of Ukraine’s industrial east-Luhansk and Donetsk-fighting has forced the full closure of an estimated 50 percent of coal mines, while overall coal production has fallen 22 percent over the same period last year. Key industry sources say they will potentially run out of coal in less than three weeks.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00bbFor Ukraine, the second largest producer of coal in Europe, this will have a devastating impact on the energy sector, which is in a state of emergency, unable to get coal to thermal power plants that provide some 40 percent of the entire country’s electricity. In the wider energy picture, the halt of coal production sets Ukraine back a decade. The plan was to rely more on coal in order to reduce dependence on Russian natural gas.<\/em> […]<\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00bb… Now<\/em> [Ukraine] will have to increase imports of fuel to make up for the loss. But even then, the destruction of supply routes makes this challenging. Not only have coal supply routes been destroyed in the conflict, but other critical infrastructure has taken a hit as well, threatening other industries. Across the board, Ukraine’s industrial heartland is reeling from cut-off supply and shipping chains that threaten to destroy as much as 5 percent of Ukraine’s gross domestic product in the second half of this year.<\/em>\u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t Un autre aspect particuli\u00e8rement pr\u00e9occupant pour les investisseurs \u00e9trangers, et surtout US, se trouve dans le comportement de la direction ukrainienne, et particuli\u00e8rement par le biais des lois que vote le pouvoir ex\u00e9cutif au sein de la Rada<\/em>. De nouvelles taxes qui viennent d’\u00eatre vot\u00e9es sont per\u00e7ues comme extr\u00eamement pr\u00e9occupantes (Bensh note dans son texte : \u00abFull disclosure: my firm, Pelicourt LLC, is the majority shareholder of Ukraine’s third-largest gas producer, Cub Energy, and I have advised the U.S. and Canadian governments on the potential harm the new tax will cause.<\/em>\u00bb)<\/p>\n<\/p>\n \tCe qui est tout \u00e0 fait remarquable dans la description que fait Bensh, c’est l’attitude incoh\u00e9rente des l\u00e9gislateurs ukrainiens, qui votent des lois se contredisant, s’annulant les unes les autres. Le mot d’ordre en Ukraine, et dans ce cas \u00e0 Kiev, semble \u00eatre : d\u00e9sordre, d\u00e9sordre, d\u00e9sordre…<\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00abBut the new reality has insiders wondering how Ukraine will produce more of its own natural gas, after the implementation earlier this month of an amended tax code that targets private gas producers with a tax so high that they will significantly reduce production through the end of the year and beyond that is anyone’s guess.<\/em> […] […O]observers can be forgiven their confusion over various measures Kiev has taken since the intensification of the conflict. Indeed, the signals coming out of Kiev have been mixed, at best.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00bbWhile parliament has passed a bill allowing for sanctions against Russia, the state-run Naftogaz leadership has been quick to point out that we probably shouldn’t expect sanctions against Russian gas giant Gazprom, and the new bill doesn’t implement sanctions of any kind it simply makes it legal to slap sanctions on Russian individuals should Kiev decide to do so. Another paper tiger.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00bbParliament has also adopted a bill approving the joint-venture lease of Ukraine’s gas-transit facilities with Western firms. At the same time, however, Kiev passed a new amendment to the tax code that doubles taxes for private gas producers and promises to keep Western investors as far away from Ukraine as they can get.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t\u00bbEach move is designed to negate the other. The economy is being destroyed, yet Kiev is itself destroying any chance of bringing in Western investment to prop it up. Western firms are invited to invest in Ukraine, while at the same time Ukraine makes a mockery of transparency and ensures that the investment climate is suddenly even less attractive than it was two weeks ago. Lip service is paid to developing more resources to build energy independence, but a new tax doubles costs for private producers who will stop producing and pick up stakes.<\/em>\u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n \tLe spectacle est donc \u00e9difiant, \u00e0 partir d’une source dite de terrain, pr\u00e9occup\u00e9e des r\u00e9alit\u00e9s ukrainiennes plus que de la guerre des narrative<\/em> et du triomphe des id\u00e9ologies. L’Ukraine type-Kiev se pr\u00e9sente, sans surprise \u00e0 dire vrai, comme une descente dans le d\u00e9sordre \u00e0 partir d’une situation d\u00e9j\u00e0 notablement boulevers\u00e9e, d\u00e9sordre acc\u00e9l\u00e9r\u00e9e par les entreprises radicales de liquidation et de remise au pas des parties russophones, selon une tactique \u00e9videmment inspir\u00e9e de l’am\u00e9ricanisme qu’on qualifierait de carpet-shelling<\/em>, version terrestre du carpet-bombing<\/em>, comme on s’en doute. On ne sait si la guerre du Donbass donnera les r\u00e9sultats politiques et ethniques attendus, mais en attendant, justement, elle donne le r\u00e9sultat d’un saccage des infrastructures et de l’activit\u00e9 \u00e9conomique qui r\u00e9sonne dans tout le pays.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n \tLa cerise sur le g\u00e2teau, c’est la direction politique, avec les dirigeants coopt\u00e9s par la CIA, des hyperlib\u00e9raux aux n\u00e9onazis pr\u00e9occup\u00e9s de leurs avantages divers, les oligarques habit\u00e9s d’ambitions politiques et maniant les bataillons dans le Donbass, et enfin la Rada<\/em> si glorifi\u00e9e lors du triomphe de Maidan et dont les pugilats courants d\u00e9bouchent sur des lois en cascades qui s’annulent et se contredisent. Si l’on veut, c’est une nouvelle version de l’aventure libyenne, en plus structur\u00e9e avec les innombrables manipulations et manigances des divers groupes et agences am\u00e9ricanistes et otaniens, et cette structuration permettant d’obtenir plus de d\u00e9sordre encore. L’incomp\u00e9tence affich\u00e9e de la classe politique dirigeante ukrainienne, avec la corruption courante pass\u00e9e au dopage de la vertu am\u00e9ricaniste-occidentaliste, devrait \u00e9tablir une nouvelle r\u00e9f\u00e9rence du domaine, confortant ainsi parfaitement l’analyse de Dimitri Orlov<\/a>. <\/p>\n<\/p>\n \tVoil\u00e0 donc encore une vaste th\u00e9orie confront\u00e9e \u00e0 la r\u00e9alit\u00e9 du d\u00e9sordre. La th\u00e8se majoritaire pour expliquer l’entreprise am\u00e9ricaniste en Ukraine a \u00e9t\u00e9 et reste sans doute celle du pillage de l’\u00e9nergie, passant notamment par les mirifiques perspectives de gaz de schiste et autres, tout cela dans un \u00e9crin hyperlib\u00e9ral fait sur mesure. La r\u00e9alit\u00e9 que nous livre monsieur Bensh peut se r\u00e9sumer, elle, \u00e0 cette expression : paper tiger<\/em>… Le tigre rugissant de l’hyperlib\u00e9ralisme que promet d’\u00eatre l’Ukraine, selon la narrative<\/em> du Syst\u00e8me, qui s’av\u00e9rerait n’\u00eatre qu’un tigre de papier. Mao doit bien rire dans sa tombe, qui l’avait bien devin\u00e9… Depuis pr\u00e8s d’un quart de si\u00e8cle, le mot d’ordre du d\u00e9sordre cr\u00e9ateur ne cesse de r\u00e9sonner dans les analyses et les \u00e9ditoriaux des guerriers de l’hyperlib\u00e9ralisme. On pourrait peut-\u00eatre envisager une simple variante, qui a le m\u00e9rite de la simplicit\u00e9, sinon de l’\u00e9vidence : le d\u00e9sordre destructeur. D\u00e9monstration par Kiev, et la chose est conclue.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n <\/p>\n \tMis en ligne le 20 ao\u00fbt 2014 \u00e0 08H23<\/p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" L’Ukraine, entre d\u00e9sastre \u00e9conomique et direction-guignol Un int\u00e9ressant article est publi\u00e9 le 18 ao\u00fbt 2014 par OilPrice.com et relay\u00e9 le 19 ao\u00fbt 2014 par RussiaList.com. Il est \u00e9crit par un industriel US, Robert Bensh, de la firme Pelicourt LLC sp\u00e9cialis\u00e9e dans le domaine de l’\u00e9nergie et travaillant actuellement sur les ressources ukrainiennes. On sait que… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"neve_meta_sidebar":"","neve_meta_container":"","neve_meta_enable_content_width":"","neve_meta_content_width":0,"neve_meta_title_alignment":"","neve_meta_author_avatar":"","neve_post_elements_order":"","neve_meta_disable_header":"","neve_meta_disable_footer":"","neve_meta_disable_title":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[15997,3858,3356,4522,4967,6708,2797,4035,5852,15828,1296],"class_list":["post-75468","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-bloc-notes","tag-bensh","tag-corruption","tag-desordre","tag-energie","tag-gaz","tag-incompetence","tag-kiev","tag-liberalisme","tag-nazis","tag-schiste","tag-ukraine"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/75468","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=75468"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/75468\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=75468"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=75468"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=75468"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}