{"id":76059,"date":"2015-08-13T14:40:02","date_gmt":"2015-08-13T14:40:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/2015\/08\/13\/liran-comme-lepee-de-damocles-au-dessus-de-washington\/"},"modified":"2015-08-13T14:40:02","modified_gmt":"2015-08-13T14:40:02","slug":"liran-comme-lepee-de-damocles-au-dessus-de-washington","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/2015\/08\/13\/liran-comme-lepee-de-damocles-au-dessus-de-washington\/","title":{"rendered":"L’Iran comme l’\u00e9p\u00e9e de Damocl\u00e8s au-dessus de Washington"},"content":{"rendered":"

L’Iran comme l’\u00e9p\u00e9e de Damocl\u00e8s au-dessus de Washington<\/h4>\n

Il est vrai que le vote du Congr\u00e8s sur le trait\u00e9 nucl\u00e9aire avec l’Iran, suivi \u00e9ventuellement d’une bataille entre le Congr\u00e8s et le pr\u00e9sident si le premier vote est d\u00e9favorable au trait\u00e9, ne cesse d’appara\u00eetre selon une perspective de plus en plus d\u00e9stabilisante, avec le r\u00f4le incroyablement intrusif qu’y jouent les Isra\u00e9liens et leur lobby (l’AIPAC). Outre la guerre<\/a> elle-m\u00eame (si Obama perdait), qui nous para\u00eet \u00eatre de plus en plus une pression de communication beaucoup plus qu’une perspective op\u00e9rationnelle, de tr\u00e8s nombreuses hypoth\u00e8ses d\u00e9stabilisatrices sont d\u00e9velopp\u00e9es. Le paradoxe est que nombre de partisans ou de dissidents qu’on classerait antiSyst\u00e8me pourraient en venir \u00e0 souhaiter une d\u00e9faite d’Obama, dans la mesure o\u00f9 cette d\u00e9faite mettrait le pr\u00e9sident dans une position si inconfortable qu’il serait l’objet de pressions terribles pour poser un acte constitutionnel tr\u00e8s puissant, tr\u00e8s d\u00e9stabilisant pour le Syst\u00e8me, comme par exemple sa d\u00e9mission, comme l’explique John V. Whitbeck, un avocat international conseil de l’\u00e9quipe palestinienne de n\u00e9gociation avec Isra\u00ebl. (Dans Information Clearing House<\/em> le 12 ao\u00fbt 2015<\/a>.)<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\tComme on voit dans ses remarques de conclusion, Whitbeck pense qu’une d\u00e9fait serait si humiliante pour Obama que le pr\u00e9sident devrait effectivement envisager une d\u00e9mission selon l’argument que la majorit\u00e9 des Chambres r\u00e9pond \u00e0 des int\u00e9r\u00eats d’un pays \u00e9tranger, ou bien encore prendre des mesures radicales de reconnaissance des Palestiniens. Ecartant l’id\u00e9e de la contrainte pour faire la guerre, Whitbeck envidage \u00e9galement l’attitude couarde pour Obama, qui consisterait \u00e0 ne rien faire et \u00e0 attendre la fin de son mandat, ce qui nous semble tr\u00e8s improbable vu le d\u00e9cha\u00eenement belliciste qui suivrait une d\u00e9faite d’Obama au Congr\u00e8s.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t… Cela nous conduit \u00e0 effectivement observer que Whitbeck a de fortes chances d’appr\u00e9cier assez justement la situation, qui pourrait forcer Obama \u00e0 devenir, sur le tard, de qu’on avait envisag\u00e9 pour lui au d\u00e9part, une sorted’American<\/em> Gorbatchev<\/a>. Whitbeck ajoute \u00e9galement une hypoth\u00e8se concernant le sort de Kerry, qui pourrait \u00e9galement \u00eatre conduit \u00e0 d\u00e9missionner devant l’insupportabilit\u00e9 de l’\u00e9chec de sa politique sous les pressions isra\u00e9liennes. Tout cela constituerait, dans l’hypoth\u00e8se maximale (d\u00e9mission de BHO et de Kerry), une v\u00e9ritable insurrection du pouvoir ex\u00e9cutif contre un l\u00e9gislatif totalement gangren\u00e9 par la corruption d’une action \u00e9trang\u00e8re et sous toutes les formes imaginables. Whitbeck ajoute que Kerry, apr\u00e8s sa d\u00e9mission, pourrait se pr\u00e9senter \u00e0 la d\u00e9signation d\u00e9mocrate pour les prochaines pr\u00e9sidentielles, ce qui constituerait effectivement une autre hypoth\u00e8se d\u00e9stabilisante…<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00abAt first glance, it appeared that President Obama had outsmarted the Republican Congressional leadership by getting them to agree that approval of American participation in any Iran nuclear agreement would not require an inconceivable two-thirds majority of the Senate but, rather, only a post-veto one-third minority approval in one of the two houses of Congress. However, particularly since the influential Democratic Senator from New York Chuck Schumer, poised to become the next Democratic leader in the Senate, has confirmed his personal allegiance to Israel and consequent intention to vote for disapproval, it is by no means certain that even one third of one house of Congress will choose the United States over Israel.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00bbWhat if Prime Minister Netanyahu does defeat President Obama in the American Congress? How might Obama and John Kerry react to a defeat more crushing and humiliating than any defeat ever suffered by any American president and secretary of state?<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00bbIn Obama’s case, one can envision three alternatives, one cowardly and two courageous: 1.) He could accept his and his country’s humiliation and retreat into irrelevance for the remaining 16 months of his term in office; or… 2.) He could go before the American people, announce that he has no desire to continue to represent a country in which more than two-thirds of the members of the legislative branch owe their allegiance to a foreign country and resign as president; or… 3.) He could seek patriotically to restore the independence and dignity of his country (or simply to take personal revenge against Netanyahu) by supporting or not vetoing a new application by the State of Palestine for full member state status at the United Nations and by supporting or not vetoing a UN Security Council resolution imposing meaningful sanctions on Israel until it withdraws fully from the occupied State of Palestine and the occupied Syrian Golan Heights.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00bbIn Kerry’s case, one may hope that he would resign as secretary of state and run again for the Democratic nomination for president, this time with an America-First focus on restoring the independence and dignity of the United States.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00bbPalestinians and those who seek some measure of justice for Palestine and the Palestinian people must view this remarkable spectacle with mixed emotions. All the signs suggest that, if Obama wins, even by a hair’s breadth, he will immediately seek to compensate Israel for his unprecedented act of disobedience though a significant increase in the amount of America’s annual tribute payment to Israel, through even deeper military largesse and cooperation and through continuing American diplomatic and political support at the United Nations and elsewere. However, if Netanyahu wins, Obama just might finally do the right and decent thing for Palestine, the Palestinian people and the United States.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\t\u00bbTo cite the ancient Chinese curse, we are living in interesting times.<\/em>\u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

\tMis enligne le 13 ao\u00fbt 2015 \u00e0 14H35<\/p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

L’Iran comme l’\u00e9p\u00e9e de Damocl\u00e8s au-dessus de Washington Il est vrai que le vote du Congr\u00e8s sur le trait\u00e9 nucl\u00e9aire avec l’Iran, suivi \u00e9ventuellement d’une bataille entre le Congr\u00e8s et le pr\u00e9sident si le premier vote est d\u00e9favorable au trait\u00e9, ne cesse d’appara\u00eetre selon une perspective de plus en plus d\u00e9stabilisante, avec le r\u00f4le incroyablement… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"neve_meta_sidebar":"","neve_meta_container":"","neve_meta_enable_content_width":"","neve_meta_content_width":0,"neve_meta_title_alignment":"","neve_meta_author_avatar":"","neve_post_elements_order":"","neve_meta_disable_header":"","neve_meta_disable_footer":"","neve_meta_disable_title":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[21],"tags":[7599,3612,3285,5355,3483,2773,855,11970,3004,6208,6552,16866],"class_list":["post-76059","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-breves-de-crise","tag-aipac","tag-american","tag-congres","tag-demission","tag-gorbatchev","tag-iran","tag-kerry","tag-netayahou","tag-nucleaire","tag-obama","tag-veto","tag-whitbeck"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/76059","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=76059"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/76059\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=76059"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=76059"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=76059"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}