{"id":76718,"date":"2016-08-12T08:49:32","date_gmt":"2016-08-12T08:49:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/2016\/08\/12\/october-surprise-en-ukraine\/"},"modified":"2016-08-12T08:49:32","modified_gmt":"2016-08-12T08:49:32","slug":"october-surprise-en-ukraine","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/2016\/08\/12\/october-surprise-en-ukraine\/","title":{"rendered":"\u201cOctober Surprise<\/em>\u201d en Ukraine\u00a0?"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u00ab\u00a0October Surprise<\/em>\u00a0\u00bb en Ukraine ?<\/h2>\n<\/p>\n

Il y a beaucoup de bruits de possibilit\u00e9s d’affrontements en Crim\u00e9e, entre l’Ukraine et la Russie, \u00e0 la suite d’un grave incident de fronti\u00e8re<\/a> où les Russes ont eu deux morts \u00e0 la suite du franchissement de la fronti\u00e8re par des forces sp\u00e9ciales ukrainiennes. C’est \u00e0 nouveau la possibilit\u00e9 d’un affrontement qui est \u00e9voqu\u00e9e, cette fois sur un front nouveau puisque la Crim\u00e9e est rest\u00e9e en-dehors des combats de 2014-20215 apr\u00e8s son rattachement \u00e0 la Russie de mars 2014.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\n

Peter Lavelle, le pr\u00e9sentateur de RT-anglais de l’\u00e9mission CrossTalk<\/em>, estime que cette affaire pr\u00e9sage de l’ouverture d’une nouvelle phase de la crise ukrainienne, cette fois utilis\u00e9e comme outil de ce qu’on nomme une \u00ab\u00a0October Surprise<\/a><\/em>\u00a0\u00bb classique dans les \u00e9lections pr\u00e9sidentielles US depuis 1980. Il s’agirait donc d’organiser des provocations permettant de proclamer que la Russie \u00ab\u00a0agresse\u00a0\u00bb (\u00e0 nouveau) l’Ukraine, cette fois \u00e0 partir de la Crim\u00e9e, ce qui serait un comble pour le z\u00e8le et la sensibilit\u00e9 morale de la presse-Syst\u00e8me. Le but, bien entendu, serait de porter un coup de plus, et un coup fatal esp\u00e8re-t-on, \u00e0 la campagne \u00e9lectorale de Trump, identifi\u00e9 depuis quelques semaines comme \u00ab\u00a0agent du Kremlin\u00a0\u00bb et donc complice-\u00e0-venir de l'\u00a0\u00bbagression\u00a0\u00bb russe<\/strong>. On peut noter \u00e9galement que cette r\u00e9surgence de tension entre Ukraine et Russie, venue d’Ukraine et donc seulement avec l’autorisation sinon les encouragements et les ordres US, intervient \u00e0 l’heure d’une courbe de rapprochement entre la Turquie et de la Russie, et peut donc \u00e9ventuellement \u00eatre d’un bon usage pour contrarier cette dynamique, – cela, \u00e0 tout hasard disons.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

Le texte de Lavelle se trouve dans The Conan.com<\/em>, le 11 juillet<\/a>…<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

« Washington’s plan to pull Ukraine into the western obit in single and quick surgical operation has been an unmitigated disaster. But it was never been about Ukraine and its people. Today Ukraine is an economic basket case, a country that has little control of its borders and sovereignty, and an embarrassment for the EU. The overall strategic aim by Washington and some of its fanatical European accolades was to present Russia with a security dilemma: invade and occupy Ukraine resulting in overwhelming western opprobrium or accept a whole Ukraine in the western camp hostile to Russia. Neither scenario panned out (when was the last time Washington actually tried to pull off something on the world stage that didn’t result in catastrophe?). The result has been a stalemate. Washington can’t stand stalemates, particularly when it comes to Russia. Alas, Ukraine’s western sponsor elites still have an opportunity to pimp their country and people in service of Washington (and inflict a political body blow on the Trump campaign).<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

» Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko is said to be a very corrupt \u00ab\u00a0oligarch\u00a0\u00bb who has profited from his country’s extreme economic woes. He declared war against his own people in the eastern part of the country (where ethnic Russians and Russian speakers live). He likes to play the role of Ukrainian mascot when western leaders convene. He is also Washington’s man in Kiev. And he is in the position to offer some favors. I am betting he will deliver<\/em>.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

» Since Trump is designated as Putin’s American agent, then playing the \u00ab\u00a0Ukraine card\u00a0\u00bb is a logical assumption for an \u00ab\u00a0October Surprise.\u00a0\u00bb The Trump campaign is wary of sending more military assistance to Ukraine – remember Ukraine is not a member of NATO and the situation in Ukraine in no way threatens America’s security, nor that of Europe’s. But in the world politics facts hardly get in the way of personal ambitions. Poroshenko and his government have been waging a low-level war of skirmishes and cross border attacks on Crimea and the breakaway regions in eastern Ukraine. The American public is already well conditioned to accept all of this is Russia’s fault. What is now needed and is probably being planned is a manufactured incident to make it look like Russia attacked and invaded Ukraine. The American public will be rallied with the usual mantra \u00ab\u00a0something must be done\u00a0\u00bb and the Trump campaign will be left flat footed, red faced, and denounced. Joe McCarthy will smile with glee from the grave.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

» Sounds like fiction? If it does, then you simply have not been paying attention – this is how Washington thinks and works<\/em>. »<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

Mis en ligne le 12 août 2016 \u00e0 08H47<\/p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u00ab\u00a0October Surprise\u00a0\u00bb en Ukraine ? Il y a beaucoup de bruits de possibilit\u00e9s d’affrontements en Crim\u00e9e, entre l’Ukraine et la Russie, \u00e0 la suite d’un grave incident de fronti\u00e8re où les Russes ont eu deux morts \u00e0 la suite du franchissement de la fronti\u00e8re par des forces sp\u00e9ciales ukrainiennes. C’est \u00e0 nouveau la possibilit\u00e9 d’un… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"neve_meta_sidebar":"","neve_meta_container":"","neve_meta_enable_content_width":"","neve_meta_content_width":0,"neve_meta_title_alignment":"","neve_meta_author_avatar":"","neve_post_elements_order":"","neve_meta_disable_header":"","neve_meta_disable_footer":"","neve_meta_disable_title":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[21],"tags":[2684,12764,3340,5534,13280,1296,12538],"class_list":["post-76718","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-breves-de-crise","tag-crimee","tag-lavelle","tag-presidentielles","tag-provocation","tag-trum","tag-ukraine","tag-usa-2016"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/76718","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=76718"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/76718\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=76718"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=76718"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=76718"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}