{"id":77563,"date":"2017-10-24T06:41:03","date_gmt":"2017-10-24T06:41:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/2017\/10\/24\/la-crise-catalane-comme-modele-davenir\/"},"modified":"2017-10-24T06:41:03","modified_gmt":"2017-10-24T06:41:03","slug":"la-crise-catalane-comme-modele-davenir","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/2017\/10\/24\/la-crise-catalane-comme-modele-davenir\/","title":{"rendered":"La crise catalane comme \u201cmod\u00e8le\u201d d’avenir"},"content":{"rendered":"

La crise catalane comme \u00ab\u00a0mod\u00e8le\u00a0\u00bb d’avenir<\/h2>\n<\/p>\n

Michael Krieger<\/a> est un de ces commentateurs ind\u00e9pendants US qui se sont affirm\u00e9s sur l’internet comme des observateurs libres de toute id\u00e9ologie, extr\u00eamement critiques du Syst\u00e8me et avec la capacit\u00e9 d’avoir une vision globale et prospective des probl\u00e8mes hors des entraves h\u00e9rit\u00e9es des vieilleries progressistes, lib\u00e9rales, pseudo-d\u00e9mocratiques et de l’id\u00e9ologisation qui va avec. Aux USA, cette sorte de commentateurs se trouve proches surtout des libertariens, parce que les libertariens, tenus \u00e9loign\u00e9s du pouvoir par hostilit\u00e9 au centralisme f\u00e9d\u00e9ral US, n’ont justement aucun engagement id\u00e9ologique li\u00e9 au Syst\u00e8me ou faisant le jeu du Syst\u00e8me. Krieger a une vision proche de celle des libertariens, bas\u00e9e sur le mot-clef de \u00ab\u00a0d\u00e9centralisation\u00a0\u00bb. Par cons\u00e9quent, la vision de Krieger sur la crise de la Catalogne est int\u00e9ressante parce qu’elle se d\u00e9gage de tous les r\u00e9flexes id\u00e9ologiques qui marquent les jugements, \u00e9videmment en Europe mais aussi aux USA, dans l’establishment washingtonien.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

D’une fa\u00e7on dont il juge qu’elle peut paraître paradoxale \u00e0 ses lecteurs, Krieger s’affirme optimiste. (Il l’explique notamment dans un article pr\u00e9c\u00e9dant celui qu’on reproduit ici : voir le 18 octobre 2017<\/a>, dont on comprend ais\u00e9ment le sens sans n\u00e9cessit\u00e9 de traduction [« Surprisingly, I’m Quite Optimistic About the Future<\/em> »].) Krieger pense que la Catalogne est effectivement le mod\u00e8le de l’\u00e9volution probable de l’organisation du monde, ce qui le rend si optimiste. Quoi qu’il en soit, la m\u00e9thode qu’il propose pour juger de cette question rencontre assez nettement celle que nous pr\u00e9conisons, au-del\u00e0 du \u00ab\u00a0pour ou contre\u00a0\u00bb selon des arguments id\u00e9ologiques et politiques h\u00e9rit\u00e9s des deux si\u00e8cles pr\u00e9c\u00e9dents (voir le 5 octobre 2017<\/a>). Krieger explique : « Je crois que ce qui est en train de se passer en Espagne aujourd’hui repr\u00e9sente un microcosme crucial de ce qui va se passer sur la plan\u00e8te dans les 10 prochaines ann\u00e9es. Certains d’entre vous auront des discussions \u00e0 propos de qui a raison et qui a tort dans cette crise, mais ce n’est pas le sujet. Il n’importe pas de savoir que quel c\u00f4t\u00e9 vous vous trouvez, ce qui importe est que la crise entre Madrid et la Catalogne est un exemple des forces de centralisation affrontant les forces de d\u00e9centralisation<\/em>. »<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

On lira donc le propos de Krieger, non pas pour n\u00e9cessairement embrasser sa th\u00e8se stricto sensu<\/em> parce que la question de la centralisation contre la d\u00e9centralisation est en Europe pos\u00e9e de fa\u00e7on tr\u00e8s diff\u00e9rente qu’elle ne l’est aux USA ; mais parce que sa m\u00e9thode peut par contre \u00eatre parfaitement transcrite dans les termes de l’affrontement qui nous importe, contre le Syst\u00e8me, se traduisant par l’\u00e9quation \u00ab\u00a0antiSyst\u00e8me versus <\/em>Syst\u00e8me\u00a0\u00bb. (Ce que nous \u00e9crivions dans notre texte r\u00e9f\u00e9renc\u00e9 du 5 octobre : « On comprend bien qu’\u00e0 ce point et dans ce cas, les consid\u00e9rations politiques deviennent un cloaque incontr\u00f4lable propre au temps du triomphe progressiste-soci\u00e9tal pour qui veut d\u00e9gager un jugement clair de cette situation.<\/em> Il faut par cons\u00e9quent en venir ou en revenir \u00e0 nos r\u00e9f\u00e9rences constantes, – l’antiSyst\u00e8me versus le Syst\u00e8me. Dans ce cas, le choix est clair, et c’est bien sûr celui de l’ind\u00e9pendance de la Catalogne, parce que le gouvernement de Madrid est dans cette crise le parfait mandataire du Syst\u00e8me, compl\u00e8tement au service de l’UE et de sa \u00ab\u00a0Secte<\/a>\u00ab\u00a0, tout cela parfaitement identifi\u00e9 et bien compris.<\/em> »)<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

Ci-dessous, le texte du 23 octobre 2017<\/a> de Michael Krieger, sur son site LibertyBlitzKrieg.com<\/em>. Pour des raisons techniques, as usual<\/em>, nous avons modifi\u00e9 le titre initial (« If You Want to Understand the Next 10 Years, Study Spain<\/em> ») pour des raisons techniques.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

dde.org<\/em><\/h4>\n<\/p>\n

_________________________<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

To Understand the Next Decade, Study Spain<\/h2>\n<\/p>\n

Some of you may be confused as to why a U.S. citizen living in Colorado has become so completely obsessed with what’s going on in Spain. Bear with me, there’s a method to my madness.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

I believe what’s currently happening in Spain represents a crucial microcosm for what we’ll see sweep across the entire planet over the next ten years. Some of you will want to have a discussion about who’s right and who’s wrong in this particular affair, but that’s besides the point. It doesn’t matter which side you favor, what matters is that Madrid\/Catalonia is an example of the forces of centralization duking it out with forces of decentralization.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

Madrid represents the nation-state as we know it, with its leaders claiming Spain is forever indivisible according to the constitution. Madrid has essentially proclaimed there’s no possible avenue to independence from a centralized Spain even if various regions decide in large number they wish to be independent. This sort of attitude will be seen as unacceptable and primitive by increasingly large numbers of humans in the years ahead. Catalonia should be seen as a canary in the coal mine. The forces of decentralization are rising, but entrenched centralized institutions and the bureaucrats running them will become increasingly terrified, panicked and oppressive.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

As I’ve discussed, this isn’t coming out of nowhere. Humanity’s current established centralized institutions and nation-states have become clownishly corrupt, merely existing to protect and enrich the powerful\/connected as opposed to benefiting the population at large. As such, legitimacy has been shattered and people have begun to demand a new way. Whether we see this with the rising popularity of Bitcoin, or the UK decision to leave the EU, evidence is everywhere and we’ve already passed the point of no return. This is precisely why EU leaders are rallying around Madrid. They’re scared to death and fear they might be next. They’re probably right.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

Before we continue, I want to revisit something I pointed out in last week’s post, Surprisingly, I’m Quite Optimistic About the Future<\/strong><\/a>:<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

Unfortunately, I don’t think we’ll see sufficient change in this regard without hardship. This hardship is likely to occur as the old paradigm becomes more authoritarian and paranoid as it lashes out in an attempt to solidify and expand control. <\/em><\/strong>Of course, we’re already seeing this all around us, but it’s likely to get even worse in the years ahead. Don’t be afraid of it, understand that it’s coming and accept that this is all part of the change process. Did you really think control-freak authoritarians would give up without a fight?<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

If you want to see how a control-freak authoritarian responds to a situation, just look at how Spanish PM Mariano Rajoy has responded to Catalonia. People like him simply can’t help themselves, it’s in their nature and all they know is the fist of violence. As I noted in last week’s post on the topic, those in favor of Catalan independence have thus far played the situation flawlessly. For this to turn out positively for the forces of decentralization, the Spanish authorities must be encouraged to act increasingly thuggish, which will in turn bolster more and more popular support for independence. This has already started to happen, and will likely accelerate in the weeks ahead as Rajoy is about to make the biggest mistake of all by activating Article 155.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

It’s really important to understand how irresponsibly aggressive Madrid is about to become before moving on. Here’s some background courtesy of Bloomberg<\/em><\/a>:<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

Rajoy on Saturday shocked many observers with plans to clear out the entire separatist administration in Barcelona and take control of key institutions including public media and the regional police force, the Mossos d’Esquadra.<\/em><\/strong> Spain’s chief prosecutor said that if Puigdemont declares independence he would face as much as 30 years in jail and signaled that he could be arrested immediately.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\u00ab\u00a0Catalan government officials and many within the Mossos and Catalan media are not just going to stand down without a fight,\u00a0\u00bb said Caroline Gray, a lecturer in politics and Spanish at Aston University in the U.K. who specializes in nationalist movements. \u00ab\u00a0The big question for me, really, is how Madrid is actually going to implement its proposed actions in Catalonia.\u00a0\u00bb<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

Rajoy is wielding the untested powers of Article 155 of Spain’s 1978 Constitution to try to impose central government control on Catalonia. <\/em>The aim ultimately is to trigger regional elections within six months.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

Madrid is making a mistake of enormous historical significance here. First, you don’t need to be a genius to see that him forcibly taking over control over key aspects of Catalan civil society will only make the independence movement grow in strength, passion and numbers. Second, does Rajoy really think he’s going to be able to make this happen without enormous amounts of civil unrest? Not a chance.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

Here’s some of what’s already being planned, according to Bloomberg<\/em>:<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

Catalan separatists are mobilizing a human shield to block efforts by the Spanish authorities to take control of the breakaway region as both sides prepare to escalate the political conflict.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

Groups will concentrate their activists around the regional government’s headquarters in Barcelona’s Gothic quarter and the nearby parliament building, according to two people familiar with the plans, asking not to be identified by name. They expect Spanish police to use force to try to shut down the administration and will put their bodies on the line, said one person.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\u00ab\u00a0We are calling for a peaceful and democratic defense of the institutions,\u00a0\u00bb Lluis Corominas, the leader of the main separatist group in the Catalan Parliament, said at a press conference in Barcelona. Regional President Carles Puigdemont has called for similar action.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

The separatists have shown they can rally support. A crowd estimated by local police at around 450,000 joined him to protest in central Barcelona after Rajoy announced his plans. CUP, a pro-secessionist party, on Monday called for mass civil disobedience in Catalonia, Ara newspaper reported.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

The keys dates this week will be on Thursday and Friday. Thursday’s when the Catalan assembly is set to meet to prepare a response to Spain taking over the region by force. Friday is when Spain’s national Senate will vote to implement direct rule. In my opinion, it would be a big mistake for the Catalan government to declare independence at this stage. Madrid needs to continue to be seen as the unreasonable aggressor, which is what will happen if article 155 is activated Friday. For Catalonia to succeed, the public must become even more outraged than it already is. Any attempt by Madrid at taking over Catalan civil society by force will achieve this in spades.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

If I’m correct in my forecast, the entire world will be looking at similar forces of decentralization battling it out with discredited, entrenched centralized power structures over the next decade or so. I think this will result in virtually all of our current institutions collapsing and being replaced by a completely different paradigm. In my view, the new paradigm will be increasingly defined by decentralized structures. Terms like \u00ab\u00a0peer-to-peer,\u00a0\u00bb \u00ab\u00a0distributed\u00a0\u00bb and \u00ab\u00a0direct democracy\u00a0\u00bb will become increasingly ubiquitous as we begin to lay down the foundations for a far less top-down, centralized and authoritarian approach to human affairs.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

This isn’t to say the process will be easy or smooth, but that’s where I think all of this is headed. The struggle between Madrid and Catalonia represents a high-profile and early example of this struggle and those of us who wish for a more decentralized world need to pay very close attention since many lessons can be learned from this historic crisis.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

Michael Krieger<\/h4><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

La crise catalane comme \u00ab\u00a0mod\u00e8le\u00a0\u00bb d’avenir Michael Krieger est un de ces commentateurs ind\u00e9pendants US qui se sont affirm\u00e9s sur l’internet comme des observateurs libres de toute id\u00e9ologie, extr\u00eamement critiques du Syst\u00e8me et avec la capacit\u00e9 d’avoir une vision globale et prospective des probl\u00e8mes hors des entraves h\u00e9rit\u00e9es des vieilleries progressistes, lib\u00e9rales, pseudo-d\u00e9mocratiques et de… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"neve_meta_sidebar":"","neve_meta_container":"","neve_meta_enable_content_width":"","neve_meta_content_width":0,"neve_meta_title_alignment":"","neve_meta_author_avatar":"","neve_post_elements_order":"","neve_meta_disable_header":"","neve_meta_disable_footer":"","neve_meta_disable_title":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[14],"tags":[13475,6896,6678,2729,13265,12418,4357],"class_list":["post-77563","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-ouverture-libre","tag-catalogne","tag-centralisation","tag-decentralisation","tag-espagne","tag-krieger","tag-libertariens","tag-michael"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/77563","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=77563"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/77563\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=77563"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=77563"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.dedefensa.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=77563"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}