Nous avancerions \u00e0 pas compt\u00e9s, presque comme sur des œufs, quant \u00e0 donner une analyse et un commentaire assur\u00e9s et \u00e0 longue \u00e9ch\u00e9ance sur les propositions de r\u00e9forme politique que vient de lancer Poutine, par le biais de modifications tr\u00e8s importantes de la Constitution qui seraient soumises \u00e0 r\u00e9f\u00e9rendum (sans doute en septembre). Assez paradoxalement, comme le soulignent notamment Tom Luongo et m\u00eame Bryan MacDonald, ces r\u00e9formes sembleraient faites pour emp\u00eacher l’arriv\u00e9e au pouvoir d’un nouveau… Poutine : r\u00e9duction des pouvoirs du Pr\u00e9sident, de son mandat de pouvoir (r\u00e9duit \u00e0 deux ans pour un terme, deux termes au plus), plus de pouvoirs au gouvernement et au Parlement, participation de l'\u00a0\u00bbopposition\u00a0\u00bb patriotique, etc. Cela tendrait \u00e0 transmuter l'\u00a0\u00bbhyperpr\u00e9sidence\u00a0\u00bb qui a marqu\u00e9 le poutinisme en un syst\u00e8me plus \u00e9quilibr\u00e9 où la pr\u00e9sidence, m\u00eame si elle est au sommet, est comptable de divers domaines et actes aupr\u00e8s des autres \u00e9chelons du pouvoir.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n
Ce train de r\u00e9forme, d\u00e9crit comme un v\u00e9ritable \u00ab\u00a0tremblement de terre\u00a0\u00bb, transforme la question de la succession de Poutine (qui a confirm\u00e9 son intention de ne pas se repr\u00e9senter en 2024) en une interrogation sur le fonctionnement d’une nouvelle forme de pouvoir en Russie. La structure nouvelle implique la recherche d’une plus grande stabilit\u00e9, d’une d\u00e9mocratisation mais aussi d’une garantie de l’orientation patriotique russe du pouvoir.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n
Dans RT.com, tout en notant que « le but de Poutine est de pr\u00e9server le syst\u00e8me qu’il a h\u00e9rit\u00e9 d’Eltsine, mais modifi\u00e9<\/em> », Bryan MacDonald explique le16 janvier 2020<\/a>l’implication personnelle de Poutine dans cette d\u00e9marche et met en \u00e9vidence un des points importants de la r\u00e9forme propos\u00e9e. <\/p>\n<\/p>\n « La place de Poutine dans l’histoire serait alors \u00e0 peu pr\u00e8s la m\u00eame que celle de Franklin Delano Roosevelt en Am\u00e9rique, un pr\u00e9sident unique \u00e0 quatre mandats qui a r\u00e9par\u00e9 le pays apr\u00e8s une catastrophe financi\u00e8re et sociale (dans le cas de la Russie, l’effondrement sovi\u00e9tique et les d\u00e9sastreuses ann\u00e9es 1990). Cela correspond \u00e9galement \u00e0 ce que les initi\u00e9s de Moscou soulignent fr\u00e9quemment : Poutine veut qu’on se souvienne bien de lui dans l’histoire. Un statut dont jouissent relativement peu de dirigeants russes<\/em>.<\/p>\n » Une suggestion notable est que les futurs pr\u00e9sidents doivent avoir v\u00e9cu en Russie pendant 25 ans sans interruption avant d’entrer en fonction, et n’avoir jamais d\u00e9tenu un passeport \u00e9tranger ou un permis de r\u00e9sidence. Cela emp\u00eacherait une grande partie de l’opposition de Moscou, qui est orient\u00e9e vers l’Ouest, de se pr\u00e9senter. Sans parler d’une grande partie des lib\u00e9raux russes, dont un grand nombre ont v\u00e9cu \u00e0 l’\u00e9tranger \u00e0 un moment ou \u00e0 un autre..<\/em>. »<\/p>\n<\/p>\n En plus d’une analyse structurelle des r\u00e9formes projet\u00e9es, c’est sur ce dernier point que Tom Luongo appuie son analyse politique, toute enti\u00e8re tourn\u00e9e vers ce qu’il juge \u00eatre une intention affirm\u00e9e de Poutine d’emp\u00eacher l’acc\u00e8s au pouvoir de la plupart des repr\u00e9sentants de l’aile \u00ab\u00a0atlantiste\u00a0\u00bb de l’opposition et des oligarques qui, les uns et les autres, s\u00e9journent souvent hors de Russie. (Certains jugent probable que la d\u00e9mission imm\u00e9diate de Medvedev, d\u00e8s l’annonce des intentions de Poutine, est li\u00e9e \u00e0 cet aspect de la situation. D’autres<\/a> jugent au contraire que Medvedev, nomm\u00e9 adjoint au pr\u00e9sident du Conseil de S\u00e9curit\u00e9, reste en bonne position.)<\/p>\n<\/p>\n Nous avons pens\u00e9 que le reprise du texte de Tom Luongo du 17 janvier 2020<\/a> (« Putin’s Now Purged the West from the Kremlin<\/em> ») pouvait amener une lumi\u00e8re et une interpr\u00e9tation int\u00e9ressantes sur la d\u00e9cision de Poutine.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n _________________________<\/p>\n<\/p>\n It came as the biggest shock of the day on Wednesday. The Russian government resigned. The day before President Vladimir Putin gave his State of the Nation address and outlined a slate of constitutional changes.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n That speech prompted an overhaul of Russia’s government.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n Putin’s plan is to devolve some of the President’s overwhelming power to the legislature and the State Council, while beefing up the Constitutional Court’s ability to provide checks on legislation.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n From TASS:<\/p>\n<\/p>\n \u00ab\u00a0In Wednesday’s State of the Nation Address, Putin put forward a number of initiatives changing the framework of power structures at all levels, from municipal authorities to the president. <\/em>The initiatives particularly stipulate that the powers of the legislative and judicial branches, including the Constitutional Court, will be expanded. <\/em>The president also proposed to expand the role of the Russian State Council. Putin suggested giving the State Duma (the lower house of parliament) the right to approve the appointment of the country’s prime minister, deputy prime ministers and ministers.<\/em>\u00ab\u00a0<\/p>\n<\/p>\n The bigger shock was that in response to this Prime Minister Dmitri Medvedev dissolved the current government willingly and resigned as Prime Minister.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n Within hours Putin recommended Federal Tax Service chief, Mikhail Mishustin as Prime Minister. The State Duma approved Putin’s recommendation and Mishustin was sworn in by Putin all within a day.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n While this came on suddenly it also shouldn’t be a surprise. These changes have been discussed for months leading up to Putin’s speech. And it’s been clear for the past few years that Putin has been engaged in the second phase of his long-term plan to first rebuild and then remake Russia during his time in office.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n The first phase was rescuing Russia from economic, societal and demographic collapse. It was in serious danger of this when Putin took over from Boris Yeltsin. <\/p>\n<\/p>\n It meant regaining control over strategic state resources, rebuilding Russia’s economy and defense, stabilizing its population, getting some semblance of political control within the Kremlin and bringing hope back to a country in desperate need of it.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n Hostile analysts, both domestic and foreign, criticized Putin constantly for his tactics. Russia’s reliance on its base commodities sectors to revive its economy was seen as a structural weakness. But, an honest assessment of the situation begs the question, \u00ab\u00a0How else was Putin going to back Russia away from the edge of that abyss?\u00a0\u00bb<\/p>\n<\/p>\n These same experts never seem to have an answer. <\/p>\n<\/p>\n And when those critics were able to answer, since they were people connected to monied interests in the West who Putin stymied from continuing to loot Russia’s natural wealth, their answer was usually to keep doing that. <\/p>\n<\/p>\n Don’t kid yourself, most of the so-called Russia experts out there are deeply back to Wall St. through one William Browder and his partner-in-crime Mikhail Khordokovsky. <\/p>\n<\/p>\n Nearly all of them in the U.S. Senate are severely compromised or just garden variety neocons still hell-bent on subjugating Russia to their hegemonic plans.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n Their voices should be discounted heavily since they are the same criminals actively destroying U.S. and European politics today.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n In the West these events were spun to suggest Putin is consolidating power. The initial reports were that he would remove the restraint on Presidential service of two consecutive terms. And that this would pave the way to his staying in office after his current term expires in 2024. <\/p>\n<\/p>\n That, as always when regarding Russia, is the opposite of the truth. Putin’s recommendation is to remove the word \u00ab\u00a0consecutive\u00a0\u00bb from the Constitution making it clear that a President can only ever serve two terms. Moreover, that president will have had to have lived in Russia for the previous 25 years. <\/p>\n<\/p>\n No one will be allowed to rule Russia like he has after he departs the office. Because Putin understands that the Russian presidency under the current constitution is far to powerful and leaves the country vulnerable to a man who isn’t a patriot being corrupted by that power. <\/p>\n<\/p>\n There are a number of issues that most commentators and analysts in the West do not understand about Putin. Their insistence on presenting Putin only in the worst possible terms is tired and nonsensical to anyone who spends even a cursory amount of time studying him.<\/p>\n<\/p>\ndde.org<\/em><\/h4>\n<\/p>\n
Purging the West from the Kremlin<\/h2>\n<\/p>\n